Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Nami | 1.60 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Finaljump | 6.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Little Baby Girl | 1.40 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Peachessweetnotion | 8.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Marley’s Ghost | 8.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Rees | 20.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Daylight Queen | 15.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Nepotism | 8.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Never Change | 3.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Alottacents | 4.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Bobby G | 2.50 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Up Against It | 10.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Southern District | 8.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Krug | 12.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Walk Away Joe | 8.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Bonded | 30.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 9 | Mr. McMahon | 1.80 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Petingas Twin | 2.50 | 1.3 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Startswithadream | 6.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Without Pretence | 12.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Davyjonz | 8.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Celtic Contender | 8.00 | 6.1 | 11-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Dats My Pharaoh | 15.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Keigs | 10.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Tasker | 20.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | One Way Farrior | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Le Vin | 2.50 | 1.5 | 3-1 |
| 7 | 8 | Bigdaddysboy | 5.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 1A | 4 | Little Lance | 2.50 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | King’s River | 3.50 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 7 | Dancing Mischief | 12.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 8 | 9 | Whiskeyinthejaro | 4.50 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 4 | 5 | Kingdom Force | 20.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 |
| 5 | 6 | Mister Agent | 30.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Six o’Clock Sarah | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Miss Georgie | 2.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Proper Attire | 12.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Brzina | 3.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Spicy Margarita | 10.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Breezy Connection | 8.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Speak Your Mind | 15.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Olive Kat | 15.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Lady Serenity | 20.00 | 9.2 | 17-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Organized Chaos | 30.00 | 10 | 19-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Breaking Rules | 4.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Buckin’ Lucky | 2.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Sunny Sunshine | 5.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Dennison Girls | 3.00 | 2.4 | 4-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Notafraidtocharge | 15.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 |
| 1 | 1 | My Catholic Girl | 15.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Grace in Excess | 15.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Flinny Tin Tin | 20.00 | 8.6 | 16-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Pagan Mystique | 20.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Three’s a Crowd | 20.00 | 10.2 | 19-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Leave Drama Behind | 30.00 | 11 | 21-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Iywaan | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 1 | It’s Viper | 6.00 | 1.1 | 2-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Armando R | 6.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Luigi’s Spirit | 3.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 3 | Supreme Law | 8.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Irish Boolum | 12.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 1 | 4 | Uncle Irish | 10.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 1A | 11 | Helium | 10.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 3 | 2 | North Highland | 6.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 9 | 9 | One Ten | 12.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Napa Valley | 30.00 | 11 | 21-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Swill | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | No Cents | 2.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Bourbon Music | 6.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Ournationonparade | 4.50 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Threes Over Deuces | 3.50 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Exculpatory | 12.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Karan’s Notion | 20.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Pressing Concern | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Shoot Themessenger | 2.50 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Class Actor | 8.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Claw | 3.50 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Royal Spy | 5.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Grand Manner | 8.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Unleveraged | 12.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Patriotic Party | 20.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.