Gulfstream Park Horse Racing Picks for Sunday, January 21, 2024

Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Castellana 2.50 1 2-1
5 5 Mochi Girl 20.00 1.5 3-1
3 3 Field of Blossoms 10.00 2.3 4-1
6 6 She Can Scat 3.00 2.9 5-1
7 7 Wildcat Fire 4.50 5.9 11-1
1 1 In American 30.00 6.8 13-1
8 8 Frosted Queen 12.00 7.2 14-1
9 9 Amy the Butcher 4.00 8.4 16-1
4 4 Spread the Risk 8.00 9 17-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
10 10 Crevalle d’Oro 6.00 1 2-1
3 3 Katherine Thomas 6.00 3.4 6-1
9 9 Lorraine (FR) 10.00 5.3 10-1
2 2 Pacific Front 4.50 6.1 11-1
7 7 Priscilla’s Cove 15.00 6.5 12-1
1 1 St. Susan 12.00 7.1 13-1
6 6 Palmetto Fury 30.00 7.5 14-1
8 8 Segesta 1.60 7.8 15-1
5 5 Rabdah 8.00 9.2 17-1
4 4 Grayosh 12.00 10 19-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Forever Uncaptured 1.80 1 2-1
4 4 Forces Sweetheart 2.00 4 7-1
2 2 Gav’s Dream Girl 12.00 4.1 8-1
5 5 Mudshaft 8.00 5.5 10-1
1 1 Bargainaire 15.00 5.6 11-1
7 7 Its a Birdie 10.00 5.9 11-1
3 3 How Bout Dat 3.00 7 13-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
13 13 Tourist Style 6.00 1 2-1
14 14 Crown Jak 20.00 2.6 5-1
9 9 Oya Thunder 15.00 3.7 7-1
4 4 Dreamy 5.00 5.1 10-1
6 6 Spanish Girl 3.00 5.1 10-1
12 12 Wonderfulvenezuela 4.00 6.1 12-1
10 10 Shinka 12.00 8.5 16-1
7 7 New Baby 30.00 9 17-1
1 1 Lunetta Jak 10.00 9 17-1
3 3 Jess’s Moment 30.00 9.3 18-1
5 5 My Little Secret 15.00 10 19-1
2 2 House of Melody 4.50 12.5 24-1
8 8 Ragazza 20.00 13.6 26-1
11 11 Lady Bonheur 12.00 13.6 26-1
15 15 Taking It All 30.00 15 28-1

RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 King Silvio 3.50 1 2-1
3 3 Beganingreenpoint 12.00 3.1 6-1
11 11 Truth and Honesty 15.00 3.4 6-1
12 12 Basketball Jones 15.00 4.6 9-1
5 5 Frisson 30.00 4.7 9-1
4 4 Emboite (IRE) 1.20 6.1 12-1
2 2 Leslie Chow 8.00 6.5 12-1
15 15 Mister Abarrio 8.00 8.3 16-1
16 16 Victors Valiant 15.00 8.7 16-1
14 14 Good Rapport 15.00 8.8 17-1
8 8 Wideright 8.00 9 17-1
9 9 Midnight Onyx 30.00 9.5 18-1
10 10 Christensen 20.00 9.7 18-1
6 6 High Stakes 30.00 11.8 22-1
7 7 Just for Luck 20.00 13 25-1
13 13 Jerry’s Turn 30.00 16 30-1

RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 On the Payroll 2.50 1 2-1
7 7 Explosive Exchange 6.00 1.5 3-1
5 5 Jokes Up 3.00 2.2 4-1
6 6 Sara Mia 3.50 2.9 5-1
8 8 Miss M M 10.00 4.1 8-1
1 1 Looking for Hope 20.00 4.8 9-1
4 4 Patria 20.00 7.9 15-1
3 3 Empress Ellie 4.00 8 15-1

RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Valentine Bug 3.50 1 2-1
1 1 Mr Crowley 4.00 2.1 4-1
6 6 Call My Banker 5.00 2.3 4-1
4 4 Mailman Money 3.00 2.4 5-1
2 2 Be Like Clint 4.50 3.7 7-1
7 7 You Talkin to Me 10.00 6.4 12-1
8 8 Veterans Beach 12.00 6.8 13-1
9 9 People Force 20.00 7.2 14-1
5 5 McMoney 30.00 9 17-1

RACE NUMBER 8 (Sunshine Turf S.) – Sunshine Turf S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 Souper Blessing 6.00 1 2-1
2 2 Forever Souper 4.50 2.8 5-1
1 1 Me and Mr. C 1.40 2.9 5-1
4 4 Boppy O 3.50 3.8 7-1
3 3 Max K. O. 8.00 5.3 10-1
6 6 Space Runner 15.00 7 13-1
5 5 Roaring Forties 6.00 7 13-1

RACE NUMBER 9 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Mutaawid 8.00 1 2-1
1 1 Possiblemente 3.50 1.4 3-1
7 7 Tapthespeedofsound 6.00 5.6 11-1
10 10 Swore 8.00 6.9 13-1
5 5 Whistler’s Honor 20.00 7.9 15-1
2 2 Patou Road 4.50 7.9 15-1
3 3 Uno Tiger 4.00 8 15-1
9 9 Standard of Proof 8.00 8.9 17-1
4 4 Sara’s Shaman 6.00 9 17-1
8 8 Flawless Bourbon 30.00 10 19-1

RACE NUMBER 10 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 Just Maryann 8.00 1 2-1
6 6 Lauriston (IRE) 5.00 1.4 3-1
8 8 Hidden Presence 4.50 2.1 4-1
10 10 Big Beautiful (IRE) 15.00 3.8 7-1
1 1 Time Stone 12.00 4.4 8-1
4 4 Luna Love 30.00 4.9 9-1
2 2 Street View 15.00 5.1 10-1
5 5 Joyful Lass 12.00 5.2 10-1
9 9 Investment Process 1.80 5.7 11-1
11 11 Procrastinate 30.00 6.4 12-1
3 3 Our Finest Hour (FR) 6.00 6.5 12-1
Hidden Presence 12 23-1

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.