Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
|
|
Maymun |
|
0 |
0-1 |
1 |
1 |
Tessuto |
4.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
3 |
3 |
Mc Vay |
10.00 |
2.6 |
5-1 |
8 |
8 |
All That Glory |
6.00 |
2.7 |
5-1 |
2 |
2 |
Maymun |
1.20 |
6.1 |
12-1 |
7 |
7 |
Normandy Landing |
3.00 |
6.5 |
12-1 |
4 |
4 |
Mardy’s Fish |
12.00 |
7.7 |
15-1 |
6 |
6 |
Sinful King |
20.00 |
8 |
15-1 |
5 |
5 |
Mongolian Max |
20.00 |
8 |
15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
3 |
3 |
Pat’s Paddock Pick |
3.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
4 |
4 |
The Bullion Bomber (IRE) |
2.00 |
2.6 |
5-1 |
5 |
5 |
Houndstooth |
2.50 |
2.6 |
5-1 |
6 |
6 |
Blue Cheese Olive |
2.50 |
2.9 |
5-1 |
1 |
1 |
Magnificent Ride |
12.00 |
5.2 |
10-1 |
2 |
2 |
Eagles Landing |
12.00 |
6 |
11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
1 |
1 |
She Is Romantic |
3.50 |
1 |
2-1 |
4 |
4 |
Hattie T |
8.00 |
1.1 |
2-1 |
2 |
2 |
Mo Fox Givin |
1.60 |
1.2 |
2-1 |
5 |
5 |
Ms Brightside (IRE) |
1.80 |
1.6 |
3-1 |
3 |
3 |
Spice |
4.00 |
5 |
9-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
3 |
3 |
Syntactic |
8.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
4 |
4 |
Mystic Flyer |
5.00 |
1.1 |
2-1 |
6 |
6 |
Derecho Dandy |
2.50 |
2.3 |
4-1 |
5 |
5 |
Bendettijoe |
2.00 |
5.2 |
10-1 |
1 |
1 |
Montana |
2.50 |
5.5 |
10-1 |
2 |
2 |
Hotrod Ride |
8.00 |
6 |
11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
2 |
2 |
Maximum Capacity |
3.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
8 |
8 |
Potential Spam |
2.50 |
1.4 |
3-1 |
1 |
1 |
When Heroes Fly |
15.00 |
2.5 |
5-1 |
7 |
7 |
Gold Foot |
4.00 |
4.4 |
8-1 |
5 |
5 |
Bigredsandribeyes |
5.00 |
4.6 |
9-1 |
3 |
3 |
Ringtone |
15.00 |
7.2 |
14-1 |
4 |
4 |
Daddy Justify |
5.00 |
7.9 |
15-1 |
6 |
6 |
Audible Silence |
8.00 |
8 |
15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
5 |
5 |
Scary Fast Ride |
1.80 |
1 |
2-1 |
3 |
3 |
Diamonds Danzing |
4.00 |
1.7 |
3-1 |
1 |
1 |
Irish Wahine |
4.00 |
2.5 |
5-1 |
6 |
6 |
Shanghai Sunrise |
8.00 |
3.4 |
6-1 |
7 |
7 |
Wishtheyallcouldbe |
3.00 |
4.1 |
8-1 |
4 |
4 |
Soul Sweet |
30.00 |
6 |
11-1 |
2 |
2 |
Lady Maryann |
6.00 |
SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
1 |
1 |
Sea Dancer |
3.50 |
1 |
2-1 |
6 |
6 |
Auratium |
8.00 |
2.7 |
5-1 |
3 |
3 |
Circle of Trust |
3.00 |
3 |
6-1 |
4 |
4 |
Gerwig |
12.00 |
4.4 |
8-1 |
5 |
5 |
Blue Fashion |
15.00 |
4.6 |
9-1 |
9 |
9 |
Americandreammaker |
4.00 |
5.3 |
10-1 |
8 |
8 |
Ima Joker |
8.00 |
6 |
11-1 |
2 |
2 |
Poppy’s Joy |
4.00 |
6 |
11-1 |
7 |
7 |
Flight to Quality (FR) |
15.00 |
SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 8 (La Canada S.) – La Canada S.
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
6 |
6 |
Midnight Memories |
1.20 |
1 |
2-1 |
4 |
4 |
Desert Dawn |
2.00 |
1.2 |
2-1 |
3 |
3 |
Signorina Merisi (GB) |
12.00 |
2.8 |
5-1 |
2 |
2 |
Coffee in Bed |
6.00 |
3.3 |
6-1 |
1 |
1 |
Musical Mischief |
4.00 |
3.4 |
6-1 |
5 |
5 |
Cliquish |
10.00 |
SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
1 |
1 |
Khantaro d’Oro |
4.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
4 |
4 |
Caribbean King |
3.50 |
2.1 |
4-1 |
6 |
6 |
Quintecents |
6.00 |
3 |
6-1 |
8 |
8 |
Smooth Salute |
6.00 |
4.1 |
8-1 |
9 |
9 |
Player B |
6.00 |
4.4 |
8-1 |
2 |
2 |
Baldoro |
8.00 |
4.8 |
9-1 |
3 |
3 |
Hardmoneymuchachos |
12.00 |
4.8 |
9-1 |
7 |
7 |
Gaelic Nation (IRE) |
12.00 |
5.8 |
11-1 |
5 |
5 |
Pioneer Prince |
4.00 |
SCRATCH |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.