Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Optional Claiming) – Maiden Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Derby Hangover | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Contrabbanda | 8.00 | 1.1 | 2-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Darling Darley | 3.50 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Glitter Bomb | 6.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Theforcebewithyou | 8.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Lady Oakridge | 30.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 4 | 4 | True Spun | 3.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Boot’s On the Moon | 8.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Whiting Field | 4.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Praiseworthy | 12.00 | 1.2 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Echo Lane | 4.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Bad Hombre | 30.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Intransigent | 10.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Poliglota | 3.50 | 4.5 | 9-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Carnival Dancer | 3.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Passage | 5.00 | 8.5 | 16-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Joe From Kiev | 30.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | I Am the Game | 1.40 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Belly of Jelly | 8.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Candy Street | 15.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Simply Jack | 12.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Make ‘Em Tap | 6.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Aramos | 30.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Ensign Skip | 10.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Three O One | 12.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Mufrih | 5.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Shake Your Bones | 8.00 | 10 | 19-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Peace Cruiser | 4.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Lady Emily Kathryn | 1.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Astrila | 4.50 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 4 | 4 | La Fantasma | 10.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Johanny | 15.00 | 2.9 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Self Confident | 5.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Lady Astoria | 15.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Above Par | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Fedalia | 20.00 | 4 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Six Feet Apart | 3.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Talk Much | 20.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 12 | 12 | Ala Turka | 8.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 |
| 11 | 11 | American Gamble | 12.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Barbara | 30.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Temerity | 4.50 | 8 | 15-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Wheelingndealing | 15.00 | 9.2 | 17-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Demurely | 10.00 | 10.8 | 20-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Runaway Breeze | 8.00 | 11.5 | 22-1 |
| 5 | 5 | L. E. Gray | 20.00 | 12 | 23-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Rod Two Rod | 1.60 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Rhymes Like Dimes | 6.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Verrazanointhesky | 10.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Burning Man | 15.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Toscanito | 3.50 | 6.1 | 11-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Boldness | 4.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Gliding Afleet | 10.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Watch the Music | 20.00 | 8.8 | 17-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Lee Ann’s Warrior | 30.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Triple Espresso | 1.40 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Black Diamond | 10.00 | 2.4 | 4-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Live to Ride (GB) | 4.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Modica | 6.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Oconee Life | 12.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Stud Muffin | 30.00 | 7.7 | 15-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Artempus | 30.00 | 7.7 | 15-1 |
| 1 | 1 | White Palomino | 8.00 | 8.4 | 16-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Riverwalk | 8.00 | 8.6 | 16-1 |
| 2 | 2 | We Live This Game | 12.00 | 10 | 19-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Heals the Soul | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Cruzin Man | 1.40 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Loyal Louie | 8.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Putin Online | 10.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Devils Only Friend | 30.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 6 | No Name Dude | 6.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Impressive Speed | 30.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Bella Future | 4.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Jet Wings | 15.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| Cruzin Man | 10 | 19-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Sunshine Classic S.) – Sunshine Classic S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Octane | 1.40 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Khozeiress | 8.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Lure Him In | 2.50 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | The Skipper Too | 6.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Slim Slow Slider | 4.50 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Cashier Check | 12.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Granted Success | 15.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 10 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Deer District | 4.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Loyal Company | 6.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Let It Ride | 3.50 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Super Chow | 3.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Capture the Lion | 10.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Baby Yoda | 5.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Scaramouche | 10.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Implementation | 8.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Ticking | 30.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 11 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Mo’ Spresso | 12.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Bourbon Outlaw | 20.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 10 | 10 | The Dover Specter | 15.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Trap Line | 30.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Pet Mat | 15.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Royal Majesty (GB) | 5.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Dilger (IRE) | 6.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Coinvest | 2.50 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Linesman | 12.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Zapata (IRE) | 3.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Steadfast Resolve | 10.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 |
| Zapata (IRE) | 12 | 23-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.