Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Carvellian Quest | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Jester’s Song | 1.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Capital Conquest | 3.50 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Roan for the Rose | 6.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Aliferous | 15.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Abuelo Paps | 30.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Galilee | 20.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Grumpy Grin | 1.40 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Imaginized | 4.50 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Hundred Proof | 5.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Brother Lad | 3.50 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Restless | 8.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Aspendos | 10.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Better Watch It | 30.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Valleyshark | 20.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Stop the Cap | 4.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Cookie Bank | 5.00 | 1.2 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Roses Are Free | 4.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Divine Romance | 3.50 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Sky Buy | 8.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Honor the Truth | 10.00 | 6.1 | 11-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Fivecommatwo | 2.50 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Lovely Liza | 1.80 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Ginger Girl | 4.50 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | For Cryin Out Loud | 5.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Levisa | 2.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Stephanie My Love | 20.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Devil Pays in Gold | 6.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Meetmeatthebeach | 30.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Steele Money | 6.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Galatians | 1.40 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Southern Lad | 30.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Northern Thunder | 30.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Lookin for Justice | 6.00 | 7.7 | 14-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Cavalry Command | 2.50 | 8.6 | 16-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Dream of Blessings | 30.00 | 9.6 | 18-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Workin On a Dream | 8.00 | 9.7 | 18-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Fermat | 20.00 | 10.8 | 20-1 |
| 12 | 12 | Forloveofcountry | 20.00 | 11.1 | 21-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Bermondsey | 15.00 | 11.5 | 22-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Miracle Silver | 30.00 | 12 | 23-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | 10 | Minxzluckystarfyre | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Gabriel Seven | 3.50 | 1.2 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Never Grew Up | 4.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Homecoming King | 15.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Eric’s Gift | 20.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Spy Wars | 20.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
| 3 | 3 | No Worries | 15.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Simon’s Choice | 20.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Not Thistimerandy | 15.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
| 9 | 9 | A B C Ya | 8.00 | 9.2 | 17-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Uncle Chinito | 12.00 | 11 | 21-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Mystic Seaport | 1.40 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Sweet Shugs | 2.50 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Flowerdew | 8.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 1 | 1 | New Rome | 4.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Ice Cube Baby | 20.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Hidewright Away | 8.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Touisset | 10.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Beneath the Stars | 5.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Tappin Josie | 1.80 | 1.4 | 3-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Anonymously | 2.50 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Fuhgeddaboudit | 8.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Prodigy Doll | 8.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | In My Opinion | 4.50 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Sweet Gracie | 15.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Hurrying Home | 1.60 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Money Room | 1.80 | 2.4 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Here Comes Rusty | 6.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Band Camp | 4.50 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | General J R | 20.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Bridge to Success | 20.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Imstillhere | 30.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Great Kostas | 20.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Heart of Fire | 20.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.