Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Duvee | 4.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Ranch Badge | 5.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Big Boo | 8.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Ranch Water | 3.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Peso Pesado | 6.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Field of Vision | 5.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Courtman | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Pursuit l’Harmonie | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Moion | 6.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Broadway Star | 8.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Lawless Times | 3.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Everylittlesingh | 6.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Lightening Mo | 5.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Tap Iron Fist | 8.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Mo Diva | 6.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Sir Liam | 8.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | El Perfecto | 8.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Mauritius | 1.60 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | First Class Harlow | 10.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Under Surveillance | 6.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | He Gots to Go | 12.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Ronic | 12.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Overanalytical | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | Faith Runner | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Watrugonnadokaren | 4.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Pi Yo Princess | 4.50 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 10 | 10 | No Nannette No | 4.50 | 4.5 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Averi Ever After | 6.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 2 | 2 | J Z’s First | 3.00 | 6.1 | 11-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Fat and Furious | 10.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Suporb | 20.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Caviar Resolution | 8.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Lacis Jewel | 20.00 | 9.2 | 17-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Lake Runner | 30.00 | 10 | 19-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Scoop | 8.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Miss Jeopardy | 3.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Smiling Ellie | 4.00 | 2.9 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Guest of Honor | 4.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Jocasta | 8.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Smart With Heart | 15.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Katies Factor | 8.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Saved by Grace | 8.00 | 6.1 | 11-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Espere | 8.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Play Good Pay Good | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Tempting Lady | 4.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Lady Aberdeen | 3.50 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Galadini | 4.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Sweet Charlize | 8.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Sterling Luck | 6.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Splash Master | 8.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Flathead Finale | 8.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Bagel and Deli | 4.50 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Gabarra | 15.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Cowes | 4.00 | 1.1 | 2-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Aspenite | 2.50 | 1.7 | 3-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Classic Power (IRE) | 3.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Prodigy Paradise | 5.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Summertime Peppers | 4.50 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Scat Free | 15.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Gone Elvis | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Morello | 12.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Surveillance | 5.00 | 1.3 | 2-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Corona Bolt | 1.80 | 1.3 | 3-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Kavod | 10.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Pro Oxidant | 5.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Chasing Time | 8.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Bridleuptothebar | 15.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Strong Eagle | 12.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Midnight Escape | 20.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Went West | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 5 | Saint Selby | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Razor Crest | 6.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Cypress Gold | 4.50 | 1.3 | 3-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Gamer Nate | 3.50 | 1.4 | 3-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Court Jester | 3.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Captivating Star | 6.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Bitsy’s Star | 20.00 | 2.9 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Regatta Bay | 20.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Coal Coal Beer | 20.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Ace | 20.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Star Star Star | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.