Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Gepard | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Warlord Cruzan | 6.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Allen Diggs | 6.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Commandant | 3.50 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Tiz a Tale | 8.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Cajun Hope | 6.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Harry’s Onthebeach | 5.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Gone Nuts | 30.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Optional Claiming) – Maiden Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Royal Quality | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Bear Bear | 6.00 | 1.4 | 3-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Acquisitive | 12.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Highland Lord | 2.50 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Dundie | 3.50 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Cheyenne Brave | 10.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Mr. American | 10.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Mighty Miracle | 30.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Great Analogy | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | I Believe in Magic | 1.60 | 1.9 | 3-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Too Much Vino | 10.00 | 2.9 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Awesome Annmarie | 4.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Burnaway | 6.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Esoteric | 4.50 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Yoga | 8.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Busy Morning | 2.50 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Cymbal Court | 3.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Defended | 5.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 7 | 7 | One of One | 2.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Only Kidding | 12.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Whiskey Diamond | 20.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| Cymbal Court | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Etnico | 8.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Grand Bey | 3.50 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Souper Sunshine | 4.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Dr. Perry | 4.50 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Gotta Like Him | 5.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Cooler King | 6.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Summer Bee | 6.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 |
| 3 | 3 | One America | 20.00 | 8.9 | 17-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Academy Choice | 12.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Braccesca | 5.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Savanah Lady | 4.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Cherokee | 3.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Devil At Midnight | 3.50 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Just Take Notes | 2.50 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Derby Gift | 8.00 | 5 | 10-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Survival Rose | 30.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Starter Allowance) – Starter Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Alybaer | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Ipanema Princess (IRE) | 6.00 | 3.4 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Boston Princess | 4.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Miscreant | 5.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Judge Judith | 2.50 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Amunet | 12.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Except Temptation | 20.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Little Gia | 8.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | The Distractor | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Zydeceaux | 1.80 | 1.2 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Lightning Tones | 6.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Klugman | 4.50 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Scoot Daddy | 15.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Threethirtythree | 5.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
| 2 | 2 | The Red Man | 30.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | One Fast Dream | 1.60 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Whaddya Mean | 15.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Tapit’s Direction | 5.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Last Shift | 6.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Bernardo’s Legacy | 12.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Makizan | 20.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Jackson’s Webb | 30.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Tizaduke | 6.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Carsown | 4.50 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 2 | 2 | El Chico Malo | 30.00 | 10 | 19-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.