Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | 10 | Stagger Lee | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Western Grit | 3.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Don’t Hit Me Bash | 4.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Travelin’ Show | 6.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 6 | A Walk On the Moon | 8.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Oobubbakakayo | 8.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Clubhouse Charlie | 12.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 2 | 2 | No Show Jones | 20.00 | 8.3 | 16-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Jetfire | 20.00 | 9.8 | 18-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Got My Prance On | 20.00 | 10 | 19-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Never Seen Before (IRE) | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Oh Great (IRE) | 4.00 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Divine Feminine | 2.50 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Oncoming | 4.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Top of My Game | 4.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Noble Union | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Dancing Dana | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | La Paloma Blanca | 4.00 | 1.2 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Court Snort | 12.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 7 | 7 | On Purpose | 3.50 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Vulin | 5.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Back On the Street | 4.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Majestic Oops | 8.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Sugar Sugar | 12.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (California Chrome Cal Cup Derby) – California Chrome Cal Cup Derby
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mici’s Express | 0 | 0-1 | |||
| 5 | 5 | Wild Jewels | 1.80 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Stolen Treasure | 3.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Last Call London | 2.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Mici’s Express | 3.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Gentlemen’s Club | 12.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Leigh Ann Howard California Cup Oaks) – Leigh Ann Howard California Cup Oaks
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Asada Fries | 4.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Grand Slam Smile | 2.50 | 1.2 | 2-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Petit Filet | 8.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Prancingthruparis | 8.00 | 1.9 | 3-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Sushi Sticks | 3.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | R Sweet Candy | 12.00 | 2.4 | 4-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Madison Rae | 5.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Recalcitrant | 15.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Putt for Dough | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 6 | Bag’s Gold | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Minister Shane | 2.50 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Jamming Eddy | 6.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | El Rey Dorado | 3.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Buck Owens | 6.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Fly the Sky | 8.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 98 | Seaboard | 0.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 3 | Crypto Ride | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (Sunshine Millions Filly And Mare Turf Sprint S. Presented By John Deere) – Sunshine Millions Filly And Mare Turf Sprint S. Presented By John Deere
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Rose Maddox | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Stay and Scam | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Chancery Way | 4.00 | 1.3 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Rose Dawson | 6.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Tam’s Little Angel | 12.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Unwritten Code | 15.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Chismosa | 6.00 | 7.7 | 14-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Madiha | 6.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Don Valpredo California Cup Sprint S.) – Don Valpredo California Cup Sprint S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brickyard Ride | 0 | 0-1 | |||
| 2 | 2 | The Chosen Vron | 0.40 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Brickyard Ride | 2.50 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Moose Mitchell | 6.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Geezer | 15.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Principe Carlo | 12.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Unusual Heat Turf Classic S. Presented By City National Bank) – Unusual Heat Turf Classic S. Presented By City National Bank
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Bally’s Charm | 4.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Kings River Knight | 1.20 | 1.3 | 2-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Aligato | 6.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | None Above the Law | 8.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Catalina Eddy | 20.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Carmelita’s Man | 5.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Royal ‘n Rando | 20.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Silent Heat | 20.00 | 9.3 | 17-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Passarando | 15.00 | 9.6 | 18-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Mogollon Rim | 20.00 | 10 | 19-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.