Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Isayso | 6.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Scored | 2.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Mi Amore | 5.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Problematica | 8.00 | 4 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Sand Wedge | 8.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Khozanka | 4.50 | 6.7 | 13-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Warda | 6.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Reassess | 10.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | 11 | Zyramid | 6.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Marley Luck | 20.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Exprompt (FR) | 6.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Resist the Devil | 8.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 10 | 10 | King James | 3.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Executive Search | 6.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Courageous Copper | 12.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 |
| 13 | 13 | Fast Fixer | 12.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Exchange Day | 4.50 | 10.2 | 19-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Neophyte | 8.00 | 11.4 | 22-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Lunar Rocket | 30.00 | 11.6 | 22-1 |
| 12 | 12 | Thenorthremembers | 30.00 | 11.8 | 22-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Uranium | 30.00 | 13.5 | 26-1 |
| 14 | 14 | Skipperini | 20.00 | 14 | 26-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Willy Boi | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | American Pure | 8.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Game Boy Benny | 5.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Celestial Glaze | 3.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Float On | 10.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Cattin | 3.50 | 6.8 | 13-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Doc Amster | 6.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | On the Payroll | 4.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Lovin Makes Cents | 10.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Wild Army Brat | 15.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Nikee Kan | 3.50 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Admiral Hopper | 2.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
| 1 | 1 | It’s Nora Now | 30.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Trevess | 3.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Girls House | 20.00 | 8.4 | 16-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Peach Cobbler | 20.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Smithwick’s Spice | 4.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Rock the Stars | 8.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Tatanka | 4.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Runningwscissors | 1.60 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Space Launch | 6.00 | 4 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Alley Oop Johnny | 3.50 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 3 | 3 | The Great Oz | 30.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Top Gun Rocket | 5.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Bourbon Society | 6.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Heat Lightning | 15.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Turn Up the Trees | 2.00 | 8.1 | 15-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Rags Special | 30.00 | 8.5 | 16-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Mortgage Rate | 20.00 | 8.6 | 16-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Maximus Speed | 6.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Live High Live Low | 10.00 | 9.4 | 18-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Sicilian Defense | 4.50 | 9.6 | 18-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Mellifluous | 15.00 | 9.9 | 19-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Celtic Pride | 30.00 | 11 | 21-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Chasing After You | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Flirtini | 3.50 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Moor Strength | 4.50 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Mo Touring | 3.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Kavala | 5.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | No Action | 8.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Avatal Hero | 15.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Katheeb | 8.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Typhoon Fury | 4.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Deadpan | 15.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Abrumar | 10.00 | 6.1 | 11-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Beyond Stoked | 3.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Nomos | 6.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Cugino | 3.50 | 8.6 | 16-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Full Nelson | 20.00 | 9.2 | 17-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Cuban Thunder (IRE) | 8.00 | 9.7 | 18-1 |
| 10 | 10 | The Process | 30.00 | 10 | 19-1 |
| 5 | 5 | K’s Storm Ready | 30.00 | 11 | 21-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Wistucky | 20.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | D Day Sky | 8.00 | 1.2 | 2-1 |
| 12 | 12 | Be You | 2.50 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Military Road | 6.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Taparino | 20.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Wasamattafoyou | 50.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Conquest Warrior | 3.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Goes the Clown | 15.00 | 8.9 | 17-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Droptop Caddy | 15.00 | 10.3 | 20-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Antiquarian | 8.00 | 11.3 | 21-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Causeway | 8.00 | 11.4 | 21-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Princetown | 20.00 | 12 | 23-1 |
RACE NUMBER 10 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Sandra D | 4.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | American of Course | 3.00 | 1.3 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Take Charge Chloe | 15.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Socially Selective | 1.20 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Shoppingforpharoah | 12.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Euphima (ARG) | 4.50 | 6.7 | 13-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Drum Roll | 20.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 11 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Kick a Rhyme (IRE) | 4.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Ivory Moon | 3.50 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 12 | 12 | Call Me Spicy | 8.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Miss Sakamoto | 4.50 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 13 | 13 | Get the Candy | 15.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Three Polks | 20.00 | 7.7 | 15-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Ya Mar | 12.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 |
| 10 | 10 | My Lady James | 8.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Bossy Diva | 20.00 | 8.3 | 16-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Alla Breve | 8.00 | 9.4 | 18-1 |
| 3 | 3 | David’s Rose | 20.00 | 11.3 | 21-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Work of Fiction | 10.00 | 11.4 | 22-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Sheza Spitfire | 30.00 | 13 | 25-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.