Fair Grounds Horse Racing Picks for Saturday, January 13, 2024

Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
10 10 Great Coolness 4.00 1 2-1
9 9 Mi Solution 4.50 3 6-1
4 4 Bates Court 12.00 4.5 8-1
6 6 Scoring Drive 20.00 4.7 9-1
3 3 Commander Scott 4.50 5.2 10-1
7 7 Callinginthenight 6.00 5.5 10-1
1 1 Moment of Stardom 6.00 6.5 12-1
5 5 Joey’s Game 20.00 7.4 14-1
2 2 Senator Con 20.00 8.5 16-1
11 11 Afleet Ascent 3.50 SCRATCH
12 12 Knockalittlelouder 6.00 SCRATCH
8 8 Unanimously 3.50 SCRATCH
13 13 Magawildtime 8.00 SCRATCH
15 15 Charlie G 5.00 SCRATCH
16 16 Courtman 5.00 SCRATCH
14 14 Oak Hill Solution 20.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Sacred Saint 1.60 1 2-1
6 6 Eurostorm 4.00 1.4 3-1
3 3 Cana Gris 4.00 3.6 7-1
1 1 Our Indian Girl 12.00 3.8 7-1
4 4 C C Senora 8.00 5.4 10-1
2 2 Radiant Rebel 4.50 7 13-1
7 7 Bayou Bertie 10.00 7 13-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 Truly Grateful 3.00 1 2-1
6 6 Liffey 6.00 1 2-1
1 1 Candy Bar 2.50 1.1 2-1
3 3 Controlled Temper 8.00 2.4 5-1
8 8 Fiesta Besta 15.00 3.3 6-1
4 4 Riley Jean 3.50 5.1 10-1
5 5 Miss Golden Penny 8.00 SCRATCH
2 2 Eduwiges 12.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Naughty Lottie 2.50 1 2-1
2 2 Yolanda Who 3.00 2.4 4-1
7 7 De’ Ans Eighty 3.00 2.5 5-1
5 5 Madelyn Belle 5.00 2.7 5-1
1 1 Tu Cha 4.50 3.1 6-1
3 3 The Rage of Art 20.00 4.4 8-1
6 6 Royal Blood 12.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 5 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Real City Speed 2.00 1 2-1
1 1 Deer Crossing 4.50 3.9 7-1
8 8 Monarch’s Mischief 12.00 5 9-1
2 2 Touchdown Joe 8.00 5.7 11-1
4 4 Hudson’s Turn 12.00 6.5 12-1
9 9 Coffee County 12.00 7.4 14-1
6 6 Jeb’s Lucky Eight 20.00 7.6 14-1
7 7 Calicoco 3.50 7.7 15-1
3 3 Perrins 5.00 9 17-1

RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 Highland Falls 1.40 1 2-1
3 3 El Oriente (CHI) 5.00 1.7 3-1
1 1 Banishing 1.60 2.3 4-1
6 6 Runway Magic 10.00 2.3 4-1
8 8 Monaasib 20.00 4.4 8-1
4 4 He’s Got This 20.00 5.4 10-1
2 2 Bright Spark 10.00 6.8 13-1
5 5 Baseline Beater 20.00 8 15-1

RACE NUMBER 7 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Camaro Z 3.50 1 2-1
1 1 Curlin Gunner 8.00 1.9 4-1
6 6 El Alacran 6.00 2 4-1
8 8 Mill Street 4.00 2.9 6-1
4 4 Den’s Good Grace 8.00 3.9 7-1
7 7 Rock N Roll Bolt 6.00 3.9 7-1
5 5 Gotta Keep Him 8.00 4.6 9-1
10 10 Hold Your Applause 8.00 4.6 9-1
9 9 King of the Palace 15.00 6.1 11-1
2 2 Sharp Spark 12.00 10.2 19-1
14 14 Exemption 8.00 SCRATCH
11 11 Hope Joe’s Right 8.00 SCRATCH
15 15 Double Neat 8.00 SCRATCH
16 16 Donegal Dreamer 20.00 SCRATCH
13 13 Summer in Adriane 3.00 SCRATCH
12 12 Pearl of Aclaim (GB) 10.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance) – Allowance

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
9 9 Behemah Star 2.50 1 2-1
3 3 Highland Creek 4.50 2.4 5-1
2 2 Budro Talking 4.00 2.5 5-1
5 5 Cosmic Train 6.00 2.7 5-1
6 6 Blue Cheese 8.00 3.4 6-1
4 4 Pacificislandtime 6.00 3.5 7-1
7 7 Allnight Moonlight 8.00 3.5 7-1
1 1 Drilling Report 20.00 5.9 11-1
8 8 Runninginthemoney 15.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 9 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Lil Bro Coop 3.00 1 2-1
6 6 Flat Out American 8.00 2.7 5-1
9 9 Absolute Courage 4.50 3.3 6-1
1 1 Action Seeker 4.00 4.1 8-1
3 3 Path to Success 8.00 4.2 8-1
5 5 Taraashoq 15.00 6.1 12-1
7 7 Whiskey and Easy 8.00 6.7 13-1
2 2 Red Moscato 10.00 7.3 14-1
8 8 Fabled Ruler 6.00 9 17-1

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.