Santa Anita Horse Racing Picks for Friday, January 12, 2024

Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
8 8 North East Star (IRE) 6.00 1 2-1
3 3 Aventapp 4.00 1.8 3-1
5 5 Red Diamond 3.50 2.1 4-1
7 7 Leopardess (GB) 5.00 2.5 5-1
2 2 Ankyrah 6.00 3.4 6-1
1 1 Corporal Violette (IRE) 20.00 3.8 7-1
4 4 Dolly May (IRE) 4.00 3.9 7-1
9 9 De Joria 15.00 4.3 8-1
6 6 Miss Commander 15.00 4.7 9-1
10 10 Grazen Touch 15.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 I Got a Guy 2.50 1 2-1
2 2 Fifty Cinco 2.50 2.6 5-1
5 5 Torleif 10.00 3.4 6-1
4 4 Sure Prospect 5.00 3.7 7-1
1 1 Number One Son 15.00 4.1 8-1
6 6 Aviator Nation 1.80 4.1 8-1
7 7 Running for Cosi 15.00 7 13-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Rhythem On Stage 3.00 1 2-1
6 6 Bronko Nagurski 8.00 1.8 3-1
7 7 More Try 6.00 2 4-1
2 2 Sneak a Smile 1.60 2.1 4-1
5 5 Antonsen 2.50 2.2 4-1
3 3 Thank You Honey 15.00 3.6 7-1
4 4 Remi Or Not 15.00 7 13-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Crimson Rose 2.00 1 2-1
5 5 Irish Wahine 5.00 2.9 5-1
4 4 Nokie 2.50 5.3 10-1
3 3 Keen Lady 15.00 5.6 11-1
7 7 Sherlyn Go Go 4.00 6.5 12-1
6 6 Bella Renella 8.00 6.6 12-1
1 1 A New Peace 6.00 7 13-1

RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Optional Claiming) – Maiden Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Sharpazano 2.50 1 2-1
7 7 Tapalo 1.60 2.6 5-1
9 9 Bowtie Boys 3.50 4.4 8-1
5 5 Mischief Moments 50.00 5.7 11-1
8 8 Explosively 10.00 6.5 12-1
2 2 Citadino 20.00 7 13-1
4 4 Gavea 8.00 7.4 14-1
1 1 Big Gain 8.00 8.8 17-1
3 3 Deal Em 20.00 9 17-1

RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 Last Call Paul 1.60 1 2-1
3 3 Buraq’s Reflection 4.00 2.1 4-1
5 5 Uncle Juju 3.50 2.5 5-1
1 1 Cody Boy 6.00 3.3 6-1
4 4 Thirsty Gambler 15.00 4.4 8-1
2 2 Running Tiger 6.00 5.5 10-1
6 6 Tiger by the Tail 6.00 7 13-1

RACE NUMBER 7 (Starter Allowance) – Starter Allowance

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Annie’s Joy 2.50 1 2-1
5 5 Katerini 4.00 2.2 4-1
4 4 Strange Addiction 8.00 2.3 4-1
7 7 In Your Face 3.00 2.3 4-1
2 2 Control Function 4.00 2.4 5-1
3 3 Ruff Ride 8.00 3.5 7-1
6 6 Shezmisbehaving 10.00 5.4 10-1
8 8 Ice Queen 20.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Kerry Gold 1.40 1 2-1
2 2 Rodrigoknows 3.50 1.6 3-1
4 4 Speed Grazy 2.50 1.7 3-1
6 6 Spiritual Advisor 8.00 1.7 3-1
3 3 Mystic Flyer 6.00 SCRATCH
1 1 Brazenly 8.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Adventuresome 4.00 1 2-1
4 4 Six Magpies (IRE) 8.00 1.6 3-1
6 6 Nobel Gary 20.00 1.8 3-1
8 8 Picota (GB) 2.50 1.8 3-1
9 9 Johnny Drama 8.00 2.1 4-1
1 1 Mobe Town 8.00 2.6 5-1
10 10 Palagio 3.00 2.9 5-1
3 3 Defensor Fortis 20.00 3.1 6-1
2 2 Big Juanito 15.00 5.6 11-1
7 7 Night Music 10.00 SCRATCH

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.