Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Derecho Dandy | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Tiz Tok | 5.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Tokamak | 5.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Montana | 4.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Chickasaw | 6.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Tahoe Secrets | 8.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Arrest | 8.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Rusty B Cause | 8.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Queens Command (IRE) | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Kleen Karma | 3.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Hennys Crazy Train | 8.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Milagre Do Sol | 3.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Outside the Law | 15.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Havana Angel (IRE) | 2.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Stay On the Fence | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Prince Prancealot | 2.00 | 2.4 | 4-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Mischiefs Causeway | 2.50 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Catmansue | 2.50 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Fact Or Fiction | 12.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Halo Uncle | 12.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Crosby Beach | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Goliad | 2.50 | 1.2 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Castle Leoch | 4.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Santo Dios (ARG) | 4.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Great King (FR) | 5.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Midnight Mammoth | 8.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Elwood Blues | 1.80 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Hard to Figure | 4.00 | 1.3 | 2-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Super Chief | 8.00 | 1.4 | 3-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Desmond Doss | 3.50 | 1.5 | 3-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Good Vibes Only | 5.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Princip | 5.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Santos to Wilson | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Curlin’s Kaos | 4.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Shady Tiger | 2.50 | 1.3 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Petesoldfashioned | 6.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Final Storm | 6.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 9 | 9 | J Dutton | 5.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Uncle Chilly | 12.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Dance Man | 12.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Two by Four | 5.00 | 8.6 | 16-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Vodka Vodka | 15.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Sanger | 4.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Mega Moon | 2.50 | 1.4 | 3-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Syntactic | 12.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Goldeneye | 5.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | St Ignacio | 6.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Remote | 10.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Crypto Man | 8.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 2 | 2 | National Generaux (IRE) | 12.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Enahm | 5.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Santa Ynez S.) – Santa Ynez S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Tambo | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Don’t Bring Crazy | 6.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Kopion | 0.60 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Bossy Bruin Gal | 15.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Petit Filet | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| City Exile (GB) | 0 | 0-1 | |||
| 3 | 3 | City Exile (GB) | 4.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Khantaro d’Oro | 3.50 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Excel Calculator | 5.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Captain Choochies | 6.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Sea of Cortez (IRE) | 5.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Player B | 15.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Ashcroft | 20.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Devilish Desire | 5.00 | 8.6 | 16-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Petcoff | 12.00 | 9.8 | 18-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Uncle Reg | 12.00 | 10 | 19-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.