Fair Grounds Horse Racing Picks for Sunday, January 7, 2024

Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
Homeview 0 0-1
4 4 Super Wise 2.00 1 2-1
2 2 Smokey Harbor 1.60 1.1 2-1
6 6 One Time Gem 4.00 1.7 3-1
1 1 Homeview 8.00 2.4 5-1
5 5 Pharaoh’s Prophecy 20.00 4.5 8-1
3 3 Max Pandowdy 15.00 6 11-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Classic Performer 3.00 1 2-1
5 5 Amaretto Di Amore 8.00 3.2 6-1
2 2 Mahomebred 4.00 3.3 6-1
8 8 Hurricane Lassie 3.50 3.9 7-1
1 1 Mally’s Monsoon 12.00 4 7-1
6 6 My Lady Luna 6.00 5 10-1
7 7 Dreaming Always 6.00 5.3 10-1
4 4 My Royal Princess 10.00 8 15-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Regimental 4.00 1 2-1
3 3 Solomon Vandy 2.50 2.3 4-1
1 1 Z Z’s Prince 8.00 2.8 5-1
10 10 Knock’em Out Jerry 6.00 3.1 6-1
12 12 Active Duty 5.00 3.3 6-1
11 11 Without Equal 12.00 3.6 7-1
7 7 Social Solution 20.00 6.7 13-1
9 9 Gemstone Warrior 20.00 7.4 14-1
6 6 Free Drop Rob 20.00 7.4 14-1
4 4 Sweet Present 30.00 SCRATCH
5 5 My Tennis Shoes 30.00 SCRATCH
8 8 Bel Ami 3.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 4 (Allowance) – Allowance

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Anita’s Vision 3.00 1 2-1
7 7 Starsnmotion 2.50 2.8 5-1
5 5 Smart Izzy 12.00 3.4 6-1
2 2 Mo Smoking 6.00 5 9-1
4 4 Entitlement 4.00 5.1 10-1
8 8 Fitts N Starts 8.00 5.7 11-1
1 1 Trinity Hope 6.00 6.6 12-1
6 6 Queen of the Moon 20.00 8 15-1

RACE NUMBER 5 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Blown Cover 4.00 1 2-1
1 1 Maycocks Bay 6.00 1.3 2-1
2 2 Hawks Creek 10.00 2.4 4-1
8 8 Not Listening 8.00 2.9 5-1
7 7 Mighty Kai 6.00 5.5 10-1
6 6 Dumbstruck 20.00 5.7 11-1
4 4 Card Trick 2.50 SCRATCH
9 9 St. Armands Key 3.50 SCRATCH
3 3 Elevated Game 20.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Uphold the Law 4.00 1 2-1
3 3 Topper T 8.00 3.6 7-1
7 7 High Cruise 10.00 3.9 7-1
1 1 Missed the Boat 4.00 4.4 8-1
6 6 All West 3.50 4.4 8-1
8 8 Wicked Trick 8.00 5.9 11-1
2 2 Palace Kitten 5.00 6.2 12-1
4 4 Herd Immunity 12.00 6.6 13-1
9 9 Kaely’s Brother 12.00 9 17-1

RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance) – Allowance

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
10 10 Empire of My Own 6.00 1 2-1
6 6 Firing Bullets 8.00 1.6 3-1
4 4 Catskill Humor 4.50 1.6 3-1
9 9 Rue Lala 12.00 2.5 5-1
8 8 Empires Princess 20.00 3.7 7-1
11 11 Miss River Rat 12.00 3.9 7-1
5 5 Ocean Spirit (GB) 6.00 5 9-1
14 14 Neutralize 10.00 5.1 10-1
13 13 Ruby Foo 12.00 6.8 13-1
7 7 Dulcia 12.00 SCRATCH
3 3 Fouralivia 6.00 SCRATCH
1 1 Port Townsend 3.50 SCRATCH
2 2 Numero Seis 8.00 SCRATCH
12 12 The Rage of Art 30.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 8 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 Cced for Steph 2.50 1 2-1
1 1 Madam Blue 2.00 1.1 2-1
10 10 Serenadingthemoon 12.00 2.2 4-1
4 4 Customized Twin 5.00 3.4 6-1
9 9 Cece Wave 12.00 6 11-1
2 2 Sho Nuff 15.00 6.5 12-1
3 3 Absolutely Mindy 20.00 7.4 14-1
6 6 Just Another Win 10.00 9.4 18-1
5 5 Continental Red 20.00 9.6 18-1
8 8 Sum Charm 6.00 10 19-1

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.