Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | On the Dot | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Sky Divine | 3.50 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Vayesta | 4.50 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Mobay Princess | 15.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Nipsey | 30.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Smart Jenny | 10.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Collected Dreams | 30.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Freeway Fame | 20.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Lady Monique | 12.00 | 8.4 | 16-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Cajun Dove | 3.00 | 10 | 19-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | In a Jam | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Simsoum | 30.00 | 1.2 | 2-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Heartened | 3.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Farm Team | 12.00 | 2.9 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Ocala Rocket | 5.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 12 | 12 | Rapture Bay | 12.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Oscar’s World | 4.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Kuwait Towers | 30.00 | 8.8 | 17-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Yankee Drummer | 30.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Four Top | 12.00 | 9.4 | 18-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Got Sunny | 15.00 | 11.8 | 22-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Parakeet (IRE) | 15.00 | 12 | 23-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Lynx | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Flakes | 1.20 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Four Dawn | 4.50 | 1.1 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Starship Nala | 15.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Music City Star | 6.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Simplify (ARG) | 10.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| Music City Star | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Optional Claiming) – Maiden Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Cajun Fool | 6.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Valued Cajun | 5.00 | 1.2 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Paisan | 8.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | White Series | 10.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Mister Cooper | 10.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Mighty Mekong | 6.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Etendre | 2.50 | 6.9 | 13-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Far From a Star | 3.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Never Satisfied | 5.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Joe Di Baggio | 2.50 | 1.5 | 3-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Ragtime Blues | 3.50 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Pure Speight | 2.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 7 | 7 | The Last Fact | 15.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Earth | 15.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Verrazanointhesky | 8.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Lee Ann’s Warrior | 30.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Gitana | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Sadie Bear | 3.50 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Adios Babe | 15.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Minxy | 4.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Atalanta Alexandra | 15.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Major Pryce | 6.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Girvin Girl | 2.50 | 7 | 13-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Principia | 15.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Happyisashappydoes | 20.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Fredo | 10.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Blamethegoodtimes | 5.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Camilo | 12.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Tapthespeedofsound | 30.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Mackillop | 6.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Quality G | 2.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Ruse | 12.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Jamestown | 20.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 |
| 8 | 8 | American Diamond | 12.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 |
| 12 | 12 | Hakkimi (CHI) | 8.00 | 8.5 | 16-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Game Change | 12.00 | 12 | 23-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Severance | 15.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Tapit Three Times | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Tenth Mountain | 20.00 | 1.3 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Magicshadow | 8.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Rezasrolex | 1.80 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Flight Catcher | 30.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Pirate Radio | 6.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Papa Do Papa Do | 8.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Paynter’s Prodigy | 10.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Ginger Brew S.) – Ginger Brew S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Buttercream Babe | 15.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Time to Dazzle | 15.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Independenceavenue | 15.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Yatta | 8.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Ozara (IRE) | 2.50 | 7.1 | 13-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Dancing N Dixie | 30.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Waskesiu | 8.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Omaha Girl | 30.00 | 9.2 | 17-1 |
| 7 | 7 | San Pantaleo | 10.00 | 9.7 | 18-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Madame Mischief | 15.00 | 10.4 | 20-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Golden Ghost (GB) | 15.00 | 11.3 | 21-1 |
| 12 | 12 | Life’s an Audible | 2.00 | 11.6 | 22-1 |
| 13 | 13 | Mojave Desert | 20.00 | 13 | 25-1 |
RACE NUMBER 10 (Limehouse S.) – Limehouse S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Sir Flash | 8.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Ship to Shore | 8.00 | 2.4 | 4-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Steeler Mischief | 6.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Hermoso Hombre | 12.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Cuban Thunder (IRE) | 1.80 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Louie the Sun King | 20.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Valiant Force | 1.40 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 11 (Dania Beach S.) – Dania Beach S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Edgartown | 15.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Air Recruit | 3.00 | 1.9 | 3-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Typhoon Fury | 10.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Tocayo | 30.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Reminder | 6.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Wine Collector | 30.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Palm Tree | 6.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Frontline Warrior | 15.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Agate Road | 1.60 | 9.3 | 18-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Depiction | 8.00 | 10 | 19-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.