Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Energy Efficient | 4.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Master of None | 1.80 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Entrust | 15.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | King Covee | 3.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Inspired Irish | 10.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Bill of Rights | 2.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Agarramesipuedes | 10.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Overly Critical | 6.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Hunter Joe | 3.50 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Dolice Vita | 8.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Apollo Rising | 10.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Bode’s Maker | 2.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Exit Right | 3.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Jardani | 8.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Sun Streaming | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Sharmin | 15.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | It Starts Now | 5.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Outfactored | 3.50 | 6.7 | 13-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Leave Drama Behind | 30.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Cashpoint | 6.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Notafraidtocharge | 2.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Martha’s Heart | 30.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Starter Allowance) – Starter Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Wild Behavior | 6.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Super Quality | 10.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Montauk Daddy | 15.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Nottoway | 1.40 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 4 | 4 | His Name Is Sue | 15.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Top Boss | 2.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Grand Manner | 5.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Tiny Tin | 20.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Saponara | 20.00 | 1.4 | 3-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Brasstown | 4.50 | 1.5 | 3-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Zipper Zapper | 50.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Krug | 3.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Bahama Channel | 12.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Polar Wind | 15.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Southern District | 1.20 | 6 | 11-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Transfer the Funds | 8.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Imstillhere | 30.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Band Camp | 6.00 | 1.1 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | I Know | 15.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 8 | 8 | The Last Jumpstart | 15.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Money Room | 6.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Holey Moley | 4.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Nico Lucky | 8.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Army Cadet | 8.00 | 8.1 | 15-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Hurrying Home | 1.60 | 9 | 17-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Corrected Pedigree | 20.00 | 10 | 19-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Sweet Talia | 6.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Redwhiteandtacos | 8.00 | 1.3 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Thunder Buggy | 4.50 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Irish Lace | 4.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Matoula | 1.60 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Thea’s Theme | 20.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Instinctive | 5.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Rationalmillennial | 30.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Noah Chance | 1.80 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Arden’sluckytobe | 4.50 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Freeze the Fire | 6.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Hemp | 20.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Boss Man J J | 8.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Take a Hint | 2.50 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
| 7 | 7 | By Its Absence | 6.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Savoy | 1.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Notion to Tapit | 20.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Grand Escape | 2.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Buffalo Shuffle | 6.00 | 6.1 | 11-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Unleveraged | 10.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Claw | 15.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Mice and Men | 10.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.