Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Optional Claiming) – Maiden Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Heart N Soul | 1.60 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Song On the Radio | 3.00 | 2.4 | 4-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Little Nick | 3.50 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 6 | This Dude a Breeze | 10.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | For the Chief | 8.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Zozan | 4.50 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Mungo | 30.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Optional Claiming) – Maiden Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Vybes | 4.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Baby Blocks | 8.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Cairnhill | 2.50 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Genting | 6.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Blueish | 4.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Verdugirl | 8.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Khozall | 15.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 |
| 5 | 5 | It’s Only Words | 5.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Vindicate Cha Cha | 30.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Derby Gift | 12.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Mainstream Sellout | 3.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Sweet Miss | 10.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Red Sun Dress | 4.00 | 2.9 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Singing Sandra | 1.80 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Nunofthisnunofthat | 5.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Perfectly Mperfect | 8.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Improptude | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Superfight | 3.50 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Ekati King | 5.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Kinsman Redeemer | 2.50 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Blazing Tyreek | 15.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Fuji Fire | 4.50 | 6.7 | 13-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Uzziah | 8.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Ramsey Solution | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Eyes On Target | 4.50 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Gentleman Gerry | 30.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Citizen K | 6.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Chanceux | 4.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Night Jumper | 15.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Red Hornet | 30.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Rough Draft | 8.00 | 8.8 | 17-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Good Governance (GB) | 6.00 | 9.6 | 18-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Lights of Broadway | 20.00 | 10 | 19-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Marthamaywhovier | 12.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Shez Speightful | 4.50 | 1.4 | 3-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Subtle Faith | 5.00 | 4 | 7-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Glass Star | 20.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Upstreet | 8.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Ave Fenix | 30.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Mo Town Madison | 2.50 | 7.9 | 15-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Novellie | 1.80 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Raguel | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Chisparrajos | 2.50 | 1.5 | 3-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Change of Command | 1.80 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Orb Alpha | 30.00 | 4 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Real Macho | 4.50 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Cardinale | 5.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Run Curtis Run | 4.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Bohemian Boy | 8.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Oxymore | 12.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Avant Glory | 20.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Kanthari | 10.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Carotari | 1.60 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Axthelm | 3.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Crispy Cat (GB) | 6.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 9 | Roan | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Adios Now | 5.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Flashover | 3.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Curlins Cruzin | 8.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Eastbostonbenny | 10.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 7 | 7 | First Shot Fired | 8.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Ahorsewithnoname | 30.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Wemby | 8.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Yasur | 20.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.