Gulfstream Park Horse Racing Picks for Thursday, January 4, 2024

Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 Marshmallow Queen 2.00 1 2-1
2 2 Castellana 3.00 3.5 7-1
4 4 Maelstrom Spirit 30.00 4.1 8-1
1 1 Fontina 4.00 4.1 8-1
3 3 Miss Athletic 12.00 4.3 8-1
6 6 Regal Miss 10.00 5.4 10-1
8 8 Ragazza 3.50 5.9 11-1
5 5 Amy the Butcher 20.00 8 15-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
8 8 Italian Symphony 3.00 1 2-1
6 6 Seaver 15.00 2.9 6-1
2 2 Phileas Fogg 3.50 3.5 7-1
7 7 Mister Abarrio 2.50 3.7 7-1
4 4 Sunshine Frolic 4.50 5.2 10-1
5 5 Admiral’s Wave 8.00 6.1 11-1
3 3 Cartographer 10.00 7 13-1
1 1 Classic Mo Town 10.00 8 15-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Curlin’s Girl 1.60 1 2-1
6 6 Speak Up 6.00 3.2 6-1
5 5 Scalable 1.00 3.4 6-1
4 4 Whocouldaskformo 99.00 4 8-1
1 1 Miss Enchanted 20.00 4.8 9-1
7 7 Fantomah 8.00 5.4 10-1
3 3 Above the Sky 12.00 7 13-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Race Craft 1.80 1 2-1
5 5 Valentine Bug 10.00 2.1 4-1
6 6 Tiz Romantic 1.40 3.1 6-1
8 8 The Best Distance 3.50 3.8 7-1
7 7 Gliding Afleet 30.00 3.9 7-1
1 1 Tommy Bee 12.00 4.1 8-1
3 3 Pound Green 20.00 6.2 12-1
4 4 People Force 30.00 8 15-1

RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Mad Madame Mim (IRE) 5.00 1 2-1
4 4 She’s So Bearrish 6.00 2.1 4-1
1 1 Pasajera 1.60 3.7 7-1
9 9 Krabi 30.00 4.2 8-1
2 2 Funtastica 30.00 5.3 10-1
6 6 Bullet Valentina 15.00 6 11-1
8 8 Sweet Sensation 20.00 6.7 13-1
7 7 R Awesome Sauce 1.80 7.2 14-1
3 3 General Robinson 15.00 9 17-1

RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Champagne Juan 2.00 1 2-1
5 5 Scat Tu Tap 3.00 2.5 5-1
7 7 War Officer 3.50 2.8 5-1
2 2 Bee Well 6.00 4.1 8-1
1 1 Honor Gold 30.00 4.9 9-1
6 6 Brees 4.00 5.2 10-1
3 3 Hazon 12.00 7 13-1

RACE NUMBER 7 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
8 8 Comedy Town 12.00 1 2-1
7 7 Destin’s Mission 20.00 1 2-1
2 2 Full Disclosure 3.00 1.8 3-1
10 10 Cotton 6.00 3.4 6-1
9 9 Uncle B 6.00 3.8 7-1
3 3 Mamba On Three 2.50 4 8-1
4 4 Extendo 12.00 4.4 8-1
5 5 Phantom Smoke 10.00 6.1 12-1
6 6 Rigel 30.00 9.3 18-1
1 1 Rockin Roller 6.00 10 19-1

RACE NUMBER 8 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Heaven in Mind 15.00 1 2-1
7 7 Wisco Disco 15.00 2.2 4-1
6 6 Nicky Jolene 8.00 3.1 6-1
1 1 Anajuliaforever 3.50 3.4 6-1
3 3 Lucy’s Cookie 2.00 3.5 7-1
5 5 Dr. Ray D. 2.50 4 8-1
4 4 Art Show Lady 4.00 7 13-1

RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Wow Lucky 4.00 1 2-1
6 6 Skinny Cosmo 3.50 4.1 8-1
4 4 Daddy’s Pigeon 30.00 4.2 8-1
9 9 Time Miss 15.00 5.1 10-1
7 7 Spirit of Victory 3.00 5.1 10-1
2 2 Shinka 30.00 6 11-1
8 8 Looks Lucky to Me 6.00 7.6 14-1
1 1 Royal Upstart 4.00 8.4 16-1
3 3 My Blessing 6.00 9 17-1

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.