Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
6 |
6 |
Macuto |
3.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
5 |
5 |
Builder Jak |
2.50 |
3.6 |
7-1 |
8 |
8 |
Sixteen Cigarettes |
2.00 |
3.8 |
7-1 |
2 |
2 |
Stable Storm |
8.00 |
4.5 |
8-1 |
1 |
1 |
Sleipnir |
30.00 |
4.9 |
9-1 |
4 |
4 |
Purecrazigroove |
20.00 |
7 |
13-1 |
9 |
9 |
Dancing Bullet |
15.00 |
7.1 |
13-1 |
3 |
3 |
Decisive Warrior |
12.00 |
8.7 |
16-1 |
7 |
7 |
Designated Hitter |
12.00 |
9 |
17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
2 |
2 |
St. Joe Louis (GB) |
4.50 |
1 |
2-1 |
3 |
3 |
Tiz the Coast |
30.00 |
3.5 |
7-1 |
7 |
7 |
King Silvio |
8.00 |
3.5 |
7-1 |
10 |
10 |
Bold Majestic |
12.00 |
4.6 |
9-1 |
11 |
11 |
Harrington |
10.00 |
4.8 |
9-1 |
5 |
5 |
Jerry’s Turn |
20.00 |
6.5 |
12-1 |
6 |
6 |
Sterling Harmony |
12.00 |
6.8 |
13-1 |
1 |
1 |
Palace View (IRE) |
5.00 |
7.2 |
14-1 |
8 |
8 |
Ask in My Name |
30.00 |
9.6 |
18-1 |
4 |
4 |
Frisson |
20.00 |
10.9 |
21-1 |
9 |
9 |
What Say Thee |
1.40 |
11 |
21-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
4 |
4 |
Imapeppa |
3.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
5 |
5 |
Spin the Boulevard |
1.80 |
1.3 |
2-1 |
7 |
7 |
Sir Banana Brian |
2.00 |
2.6 |
5-1 |
2 |
2 |
First Coast Storm |
15.00 |
3.8 |
7-1 |
3 |
3 |
Ozone |
6.00 |
4.7 |
9-1 |
1 |
1 |
Hercules N Love |
30.00 |
4.7 |
9-1 |
6 |
6 |
Bourbon Warrior |
10.00 |
7 |
13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
1 |
1 |
Arak |
3.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
2 |
2 |
Mannix (IRE) |
2.00 |
3.1 |
6-1 |
8 |
8 |
Mister Moore |
1.80 |
3.8 |
7-1 |
4 |
4 |
Peja Du |
5.00 |
5.2 |
10-1 |
3 |
3 |
Glorious Tribute |
20.00 |
7.1 |
13-1 |
6 |
6 |
Euphoria Star |
30.00 |
7.4 |
14-1 |
7 |
7 |
Pluma Roja |
15.00 |
7.5 |
14-1 |
5 |
5 |
Eyes of Champion |
30.00 |
8 |
15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Optional Claiming) – Maiden Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
1 |
1 |
Never Say Never |
12.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
5 |
5 |
Amazing Jett |
30.00 |
2.8 |
5-1 |
6 |
6 |
Marceau |
2.00 |
4.6 |
9-1 |
8 |
8 |
Halon |
4.50 |
4.8 |
9-1 |
2 |
2 |
Darth |
12.00 |
7 |
13-1 |
9 |
9 |
Tour the City |
8.00 |
7.2 |
14-1 |
7 |
7 |
No Plebeian |
12.00 |
7.2 |
14-1 |
4 |
4 |
Homer Jones |
20.00 |
9.5 |
18-1 |
3 |
3 |
Admiral Nimitz (GB) |
10.00 |
9.9 |
19-1 |
10 |
10 |
Street Earnings |
3.00 |
10 |
19-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
5 |
5 |
Paradise Lane |
2.50 |
1 |
2-1 |
2 |
2 |
Charm of the Song |
3.00 |
1.1 |
2-1 |
1 |
1 |
Classic Ballad |
4.00 |
2.3 |
4-1 |
7 |
7 |
Mas Vino |
20.00 |
3.6 |
7-1 |
6 |
6 |
Flower Mound |
10.00 |
3.8 |
7-1 |
4 |
4 |
Vincey Girl |
3.50 |
5.6 |
10-1 |
3 |
3 |
Luna Love |
5.00 |
7 |
13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Handicap) – Handicap
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
1 |
1 |
Sand and Sea |
1.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
3 |
3 |
Le Boiana |
30.00 |
1.3 |
3-1 |
4 |
4 |
In a Spin |
6.00 |
2.3 |
4-1 |
2 |
2 |
Jan’s Girl |
4.50 |
3.1 |
6-1 |
8 |
8 |
Libretto (IRE) |
5.00 |
3.3 |
6-1 |
5 |
5 |
Implosion |
30.00 |
5.5 |
10-1 |
7 |
7 |
Lady Arsinoe |
6.00 |
7.3 |
14-1 |
6 |
6 |
Maria’s Revenge |
20.00 |
8 |
15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Abundantia S.) – Abundantia S.
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
9 |
9 |
One Identity |
10.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
3 |
3 |
Choose Joy |
8.00 |
2.2 |
4-1 |
8 |
8 |
Stone Silent |
10.00 |
3.1 |
6-1 |
12 |
12 |
Accomplished Girl |
4.50 |
3.8 |
7-1 |
2 |
2 |
Bedtime Story |
30.00 |
4.4 |
8-1 |
6 |
6 |
Sassy Nature |
12.00 |
4.6 |
9-1 |
1 |
1 |
Lady Milagro |
8.00 |
4.8 |
9-1 |
10 |
10 |
Twilight Gleaming (IRE) |
1.60 |
5.8 |
11-1 |
11 |
11 |
Isabel Alexandra (IRE) |
15.00 |
6.2 |
12-1 |
4 |
4 |
Baby Steps |
15.00 |
6.2 |
12-1 |
5 |
5 |
La Traviesa |
20.00 |
6.6 |
12-1 |
7 |
7 |
Talkin Tipsy |
20.00 |
7.3 |
14-1 |
15 |
15 |
Fulminate |
30.00 |
11.1 |
21-1 |
13 |
13 |
Glitter Up |
20.00 |
12.3 |
23-1 |
14 |
14 |
Mainline |
12.00 |
15 |
28-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
6 |
6 |
Pure Class |
6.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
5 |
5 |
Big Effect |
2.50 |
2.1 |
4-1 |
8 |
8 |
Rezasrolex |
15.00 |
4.6 |
9-1 |
7 |
7 |
Holiday Pay |
5.00 |
6.9 |
13-1 |
1 |
1 |
Hades |
4.50 |
7 |
13-1 |
3 |
3 |
Lace Up |
8.00 |
7.6 |
14-1 |
4 |
4 |
Lasso |
8.00 |
7.7 |
15-1 |
2 |
2 |
Northshore Drive |
3.50 |
8 |
15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 10 (Janus S.) – Janus S.
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
5 |
5 |
Panther Island |
12.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
4 |
4 |
Biz Biz Buzz |
6.00 |
1.3 |
2-1 |
8 |
8 |
Bad Beat Brian |
6.00 |
1.9 |
4-1 |
10 |
10 |
Yes I Am Free |
2.50 |
2.2 |
4-1 |
1 |
1 |
Extendo |
30.00 |
2.8 |
5-1 |
2 |
2 |
Coppola |
10.00 |
3.2 |
6-1 |
9 |
9 |
Eamonn |
3.00 |
3.3 |
6-1 |
3 |
3 |
Cloudy |
5.00 |
4 |
8-1 |
6 |
6 |
Warrior’s Pride |
15.00 |
4.1 |
8-1 |
7 |
7 |
Crispy Cat (GB) |
20.00 |
4.5 |
9-1 |
|
|
Panther Island |
|
11 |
21-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.