Fair Grounds Horse Racing Picks for Sunday, December 31, 2023

Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Payoff Cycle 2.50 1 2-1
4 4 My Lil Dude 3.00 1.5 3-1
5 5 Jimmie’s Halo 6.00 2.7 5-1
8 8 Gypsy’s Soulmate 4.00 3 6-1
2 2 Main Dude 8.00 5.1 10-1
7 7 Lone Star Max 10.00 7.2 14-1
3 3 Stone Alliance 10.00 7.4 14-1
6 6 Rock Star Alex 12.00 8 15-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Johnnny’s Game 4.50 1 2-1
7 7 Rockall 12.00 1.4 3-1
2 2 Savage Kiss 4.50 1.6 3-1
4 4 Foe 3.50 1.6 3-1
5 5 Moesahandful 10.00 2.1 4-1
6 6 Boliver 10.00 2.7 5-1
1 1 Meet George Jetson 15.00 3.1 6-1
10 10 Larry’s Lunchbox 6.00 3.2 6-1
8 8 Dats True Love 4.50 9.7 18-1
9 9 Malibu Money 30.00 10 19-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Notable Queen 3.50 1 2-1
2 2 Missile 8.00 2.6 5-1
1 1 Not Today Geegee 12.00 2.9 5-1
4 4 Goddess of War 12.00 3 6-1
3 3 Speedy Traveler 1.80 3.7 7-1
7 7 Default 8.00 4.2 8-1
6 6 Orloff 2.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 4 (Louisiana Futurity) – Louisiana Futurity

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Carpis 2.50 1 2-1
7 7 Strong Promise 3.00 1.4 3-1
4 4 Stovall 4.50 3.6 7-1
1 1 Tdzshininluckystar 5.00 4 8-1
6 6 Take Charge J J 4.50 5.3 10-1
3 3 Cajun Cyclone 8.00 5.7 11-1
2 2 Deacon Jones 12.00 7 13-1

RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
8 8 Sonofaship 3.50 1 2-1
4 4 Bobby Two Shot’s 6.00 4.6 9-1
6 6 Pass On Nothing 8.00 5.2 10-1
5 5 Matzoh Ball 12.00 5.4 10-1
1 1 Aries Honor 12.00 7.2 14-1
11 11 Alvarado Cat 4.00 7.4 14-1
12 12 Ells 12.00 7.4 14-1
13 13 Top Priority 10.00 7.8 15-1
2 2 Midnight Halo 15.00 7.8 15-1
9 9 Starry Eyed 8.00 8.1 15-1
7 7 Gordito Hermoso 8.00 8.2 16-1
10 10 Jayde’s Bandit 20.00 8.5 16-1
3 3 Game and Gormley 15.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance) – Allowance

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Belgian Blue 6.00 1 2-1
6 6 Ervadean 4.00 2.1 4-1
7 7 The Great Maybe 1.80 2.2 4-1
2 2 Little Blaze 12.00 2.7 5-1
1 1 Coexist 5.00 2.7 5-1
8 8 Travaille 6.00 5.2 10-1
5 5 Unrivaled Queen 15.00 5.5 10-1
4 4 Rockets Sister 6.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 7 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Ms Quality Control 5.00 1 2-1
2 2 Just a Coed 10.00 5.2 10-1
10 10 Montclair Road 6.00 6.5 12-1
12 12 Hauntress 8.00 7.2 14-1
7 7 Star Anise 10.00 7.5 14-1
5 5 Pink Polkadots 10.00 7.6 14-1
3 3 Luminous Ruler 30.00 7.6 14-1
6 6 Washashore 8.00 8.5 16-1
8 8 Sweet Miss Maggie 8.00 8.8 17-1
9 9 Tarneema 4.50 9.5 18-1
11 11 Silverheels 10.00 9.6 18-1
1 1 Jam’s Paper Moon 10.00 9.6 18-1
15 15 Saranac Lake 8.00 SCRATCH
13 13 Cora’s Legacy 6.00 SCRATCH
14 14 Money Works 8.00 SCRATCH
16 16 Matching Energy 10.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Willtorun 3.00 1 2-1
1 1 Boss’ Dialin In 3.50 1.1 2-1
2 2 Invulnerable 2.50 1.3 2-1
4 4 Comiskey Park 5.00 1.6 3-1
8 8 Saint Selby 8.00 3.7 7-1
3 3 Happy Dancer 10.00 7.2 14-1
7 7 Double Edge Sword 8.00 7.5 14-1
6 6 Swing Shift 20.00 8 15-1

RACE NUMBER 9 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Marquette Warrior 12.00 1 2-1
5 5 L. A. Woman 6.00 1.5 3-1
4 4 Pursuit of Liberty 3.50 2 4-1
6 6 Mixer 6.00 2.5 5-1
12 12 Livi Me Dreaming 8.00 2.6 5-1
7 7 Love to Eat 6.00 3.7 7-1
2 2 Modern Sound 8.00 3.9 7-1
9 9 Scoop 10.00 4.2 8-1
8 8 Reagan’s Flame 6.00 6.4 12-1
10 10 Jocasta 20.00 6.7 13-1
13 13 Smart With Heart 12.00 8.5 16-1
11 11 Pageant Purrfect 20.00 10.8 20-1
14 14 Noriskit Nobiscuit 4.00 SCRATCH
1 1 Espere 20.00 SCRATCH
15 15 Ba Dee Yah 4.50 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 10 (Louisiana Futurity) – Louisiana Futurity

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Guitar Solo 4.50 1 2-1
9 9 Freeburn 3.50 3.1 6-1
6 6 Clearly a Test 4.00 3.5 7-1
7 7 Diamond Deal 10.00 4.3 8-1
8 8 Platinum Minit 6.00 4.3 8-1
10 10 Tommie G 8.00 4.7 9-1
4 4 Custom Sunshine 12.00 5.3 10-1
1 1 Lil Chilly 8.00 SCRATCH
5 5 Radiant Rebel 20.00 SCRATCH
3 3 Lulu’s Magic 12.00 SCRATCH

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.