Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
1 |
1 |
Payoff Cycle |
2.50 |
1 |
2-1 |
4 |
4 |
My Lil Dude |
3.00 |
1.5 |
3-1 |
5 |
5 |
Jimmie’s Halo |
6.00 |
2.7 |
5-1 |
8 |
8 |
Gypsy’s Soulmate |
4.00 |
3 |
6-1 |
2 |
2 |
Main Dude |
8.00 |
5.1 |
10-1 |
7 |
7 |
Lone Star Max |
10.00 |
7.2 |
14-1 |
3 |
3 |
Stone Alliance |
10.00 |
7.4 |
14-1 |
6 |
6 |
Rock Star Alex |
12.00 |
8 |
15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
3 |
3 |
Johnnny’s Game |
4.50 |
1 |
2-1 |
7 |
7 |
Rockall |
12.00 |
1.4 |
3-1 |
2 |
2 |
Savage Kiss |
4.50 |
1.6 |
3-1 |
4 |
4 |
Foe |
3.50 |
1.6 |
3-1 |
5 |
5 |
Moesahandful |
10.00 |
2.1 |
4-1 |
6 |
6 |
Boliver |
10.00 |
2.7 |
5-1 |
1 |
1 |
Meet George Jetson |
15.00 |
3.1 |
6-1 |
10 |
10 |
Larry’s Lunchbox |
6.00 |
3.2 |
6-1 |
8 |
8 |
Dats True Love |
4.50 |
9.7 |
18-1 |
9 |
9 |
Malibu Money |
30.00 |
10 |
19-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
5 |
5 |
Notable Queen |
3.50 |
1 |
2-1 |
2 |
2 |
Missile |
8.00 |
2.6 |
5-1 |
1 |
1 |
Not Today Geegee |
12.00 |
2.9 |
5-1 |
4 |
4 |
Goddess of War |
12.00 |
3 |
6-1 |
3 |
3 |
Speedy Traveler |
1.80 |
3.7 |
7-1 |
7 |
7 |
Default |
8.00 |
4.2 |
8-1 |
6 |
6 |
Orloff |
2.00 |
SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Louisiana Futurity) – Louisiana Futurity
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
5 |
5 |
Carpis |
2.50 |
1 |
2-1 |
7 |
7 |
Strong Promise |
3.00 |
1.4 |
3-1 |
4 |
4 |
Stovall |
4.50 |
3.6 |
7-1 |
1 |
1 |
Tdzshininluckystar |
5.00 |
4 |
8-1 |
6 |
6 |
Take Charge J J |
4.50 |
5.3 |
10-1 |
3 |
3 |
Cajun Cyclone |
8.00 |
5.7 |
11-1 |
2 |
2 |
Deacon Jones |
12.00 |
7 |
13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
8 |
8 |
Sonofaship |
3.50 |
1 |
2-1 |
4 |
4 |
Bobby Two Shot’s |
6.00 |
4.6 |
9-1 |
6 |
6 |
Pass On Nothing |
8.00 |
5.2 |
10-1 |
5 |
5 |
Matzoh Ball |
12.00 |
5.4 |
10-1 |
1 |
1 |
Aries Honor |
12.00 |
7.2 |
14-1 |
11 |
11 |
Alvarado Cat |
4.00 |
7.4 |
14-1 |
12 |
12 |
Ells |
12.00 |
7.4 |
14-1 |
13 |
13 |
Top Priority |
10.00 |
7.8 |
15-1 |
2 |
2 |
Midnight Halo |
15.00 |
7.8 |
15-1 |
9 |
9 |
Starry Eyed |
8.00 |
8.1 |
15-1 |
7 |
7 |
Gordito Hermoso |
8.00 |
8.2 |
16-1 |
10 |
10 |
Jayde’s Bandit |
20.00 |
8.5 |
16-1 |
3 |
3 |
Game and Gormley |
15.00 |
SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
3 |
3 |
Belgian Blue |
6.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
6 |
6 |
Ervadean |
4.00 |
2.1 |
4-1 |
7 |
7 |
The Great Maybe |
1.80 |
2.2 |
4-1 |
2 |
2 |
Little Blaze |
12.00 |
2.7 |
5-1 |
1 |
1 |
Coexist |
5.00 |
2.7 |
5-1 |
8 |
8 |
Travaille |
6.00 |
5.2 |
10-1 |
5 |
5 |
Unrivaled Queen |
15.00 |
5.5 |
10-1 |
4 |
4 |
Rockets Sister |
6.00 |
SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
4 |
4 |
Ms Quality Control |
5.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
2 |
2 |
Just a Coed |
10.00 |
5.2 |
10-1 |
10 |
10 |
Montclair Road |
6.00 |
6.5 |
12-1 |
12 |
12 |
Hauntress |
8.00 |
7.2 |
14-1 |
7 |
7 |
Star Anise |
10.00 |
7.5 |
14-1 |
5 |
5 |
Pink Polkadots |
10.00 |
7.6 |
14-1 |
3 |
3 |
Luminous Ruler |
30.00 |
7.6 |
14-1 |
6 |
6 |
Washashore |
8.00 |
8.5 |
16-1 |
8 |
8 |
Sweet Miss Maggie |
8.00 |
8.8 |
17-1 |
9 |
9 |
Tarneema |
4.50 |
9.5 |
18-1 |
11 |
11 |
Silverheels |
10.00 |
9.6 |
18-1 |
1 |
1 |
Jam’s Paper Moon |
10.00 |
9.6 |
18-1 |
15 |
15 |
Saranac Lake |
8.00 |
SCRATCH |
13 |
13 |
Cora’s Legacy |
6.00 |
SCRATCH |
14 |
14 |
Money Works |
8.00 |
SCRATCH |
16 |
16 |
Matching Energy |
10.00 |
SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
5 |
5 |
Willtorun |
3.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
1 |
1 |
Boss’ Dialin In |
3.50 |
1.1 |
2-1 |
2 |
2 |
Invulnerable |
2.50 |
1.3 |
2-1 |
4 |
4 |
Comiskey Park |
5.00 |
1.6 |
3-1 |
8 |
8 |
Saint Selby |
8.00 |
3.7 |
7-1 |
3 |
3 |
Happy Dancer |
10.00 |
7.2 |
14-1 |
7 |
7 |
Double Edge Sword |
8.00 |
7.5 |
14-1 |
6 |
6 |
Swing Shift |
20.00 |
8 |
15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
3 |
3 |
Marquette Warrior |
12.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
5 |
5 |
L. A. Woman |
6.00 |
1.5 |
3-1 |
4 |
4 |
Pursuit of Liberty |
3.50 |
2 |
4-1 |
6 |
6 |
Mixer |
6.00 |
2.5 |
5-1 |
12 |
12 |
Livi Me Dreaming |
8.00 |
2.6 |
5-1 |
7 |
7 |
Love to Eat |
6.00 |
3.7 |
7-1 |
2 |
2 |
Modern Sound |
8.00 |
3.9 |
7-1 |
9 |
9 |
Scoop |
10.00 |
4.2 |
8-1 |
8 |
8 |
Reagan’s Flame |
6.00 |
6.4 |
12-1 |
10 |
10 |
Jocasta |
20.00 |
6.7 |
13-1 |
13 |
13 |
Smart With Heart |
12.00 |
8.5 |
16-1 |
11 |
11 |
Pageant Purrfect |
20.00 |
10.8 |
20-1 |
14 |
14 |
Noriskit Nobiscuit |
4.00 |
SCRATCH |
1 |
1 |
Espere |
20.00 |
SCRATCH |
15 |
15 |
Ba Dee Yah |
4.50 |
SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 10 (Louisiana Futurity) – Louisiana Futurity
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
2 |
2 |
Guitar Solo |
4.50 |
1 |
2-1 |
9 |
9 |
Freeburn |
3.50 |
3.1 |
6-1 |
6 |
6 |
Clearly a Test |
4.00 |
3.5 |
7-1 |
7 |
7 |
Diamond Deal |
10.00 |
4.3 |
8-1 |
8 |
8 |
Platinum Minit |
6.00 |
4.3 |
8-1 |
10 |
10 |
Tommie G |
8.00 |
4.7 |
9-1 |
4 |
4 |
Custom Sunshine |
12.00 |
5.3 |
10-1 |
1 |
1 |
Lil Chilly |
8.00 |
SCRATCH |
5 |
5 |
Radiant Rebel |
20.00 |
SCRATCH |
3 |
3 |
Lulu’s Magic |
12.00 |
SCRATCH |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.