Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Joe Hernandez S.) – Joe Hernandez S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Forbidden Kingdom | 0 | 0-1 | ||||
| 10 | 10 | Turn On The Jets (IRE) | 5.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Balnikhov (IRE) | 4.00 | 1.1 | 2-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Forbidden Kingdom | 3.00 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Peaceful Waters | 6.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Lucky Score | 5.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Tahoe Sunrise | 4.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | I’m A Gambler (IRE) | 5.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Front Run the Fed | 15.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Daniel’s Magic | 12.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 13 | 13 | Dancing Buck | 6.00 | 6.1 | 11-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Olympic Runner | 8.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Johnny Podres | 30.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Lovesick Blues | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | King Zog | 1.80 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Bluegrass Ryder | 8.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 6 | 6 | The Giants Candy | 2.50 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Grand Tiger | 1.60 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Venom | 12.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Mongolian Gold | 10.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Robert J. Frankel S.) – Robert J. Frankel S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Angel Nadeshiko | 0 | 0-1 | |||
| 6 | 6 | Yerwanthere (IRE) | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Oakhurst | 2.50 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Lakota Spirit | 2.50 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Luminiferous | 8.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Angel Nadeshiko | 5.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Rebel Girl | 8.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Settecento | 5.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Direct Line | 2.50 | 1.4 | 3-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Zimba Warrior | 4.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Good Juju | 2.50 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Big Buzz | 2.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 2 | Lamporghini | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | O K Rose | 2.50 | 1.3 | 2-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Quick Kate | 2.50 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Almost Got Lucky | 8.00 | 2.9 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Be a Goldfish | 6.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Sneaker | 6.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 98 | Signora Vittoria | 0.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 6 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Hondo Crouch | 1.80 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Del Mar Jerry | 2.50 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Bendettijoe | 2.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Quincy Market | 4.50 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Dual Threat | 8.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Midnight Love | 5.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Mr. Chivas | 6.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Naukanauka | 20.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Sharp Lorenzo | 8.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Sunset Storm | 6.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Smiling Jojo | 3.50 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Letshaveonemore | 8.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Mischievous Dylan | 30.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Polis | 12.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Audible Silence | 15.00 | 8.9 | 17-1 | |
| 12 | 98 | Running Tiger | 0.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 9 | Lettheliquortalk | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 8 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Antibes | 4.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Ghostly Act | 2.50 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Maxville | 15.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Dark Marcus | 4.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Get the Gold | 3.50 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Be Punctual | 4.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Toppers Wager | 15.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Bert’s Prospect | 15.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | 12 | Lansdowne (GB) | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Ferociously | 6.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Curly Esa | 12.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Magnificent Ride | 6.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Elevado | 6.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Muhammad Ali (PER) | 20.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Conch Daddy | 30.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Hot Memories | 20.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Big Splash | 12.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Tenth Street Don | 4.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Crosskirk | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | Buck Owens | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.