Laurel Park Horse Racing Picks for Friday, December 29, 2023

Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Strong Finish 8.00 1 2-1
2 2 Great Days Ahead 5.00 1.3 2-1
1 1 Crazy Odds 30.00 3.5 7-1
3 3 Entrust 6.00 4 7-1
6 6 Great Call 6.00 5.9 11-1
8 8 Twice Gold 4.00 7.4 14-1
10 10 Rennie 12.00 7.7 14-1
7 7 O T C Wiz 30.00 7.7 15-1
9 9 Jolly by Golly 6.00 8 15-1
5 5 Victors Valiant 4.50 8.5 16-1
11 11 Boruff 20.00 11 21-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Miss Stones 2.50 1 2-1
5 5 Jackson’s Dixie 3.50 1.4 3-1
7 7 O Shaughesey 10.00 1.6 3-1
4 4 Sweet Heidelberg 6.00 1.8 3-1
2 2 Alas and Alack 15.00 2.4 5-1
6 6 Grace and Charm 5.00 2.7 5-1
8 8 Lady Serenity 8.00 2.9 5-1
1 1 Meetmeatthebeach 30.00 3.5 7-1
9 9 Lovely Liza 4.50 5.9 11-1
Jackson’s Dixie 10 19-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Blue Trillion 10.00 1 2-1
3 3 Destination 3.00 2.6 5-1
8 8 Shared Authority 15.00 4.4 8-1
1 1 Gate Song 4.00 4.9 9-1
5 5 La Macchina Rossa 8.00 5.1 10-1
7 7 Keep It Safe 30.00 5.7 11-1
6 6 Heart 1.60 6.1 11-1
4 4 Maddie Ten 6.00 6.3 12-1
Heart 9 17-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Dixie Giant 8.00 1 2-1
2 2 Free Square 2.00 3.2 6-1
1 1 Crownedcountcristo 12.00 5.6 11-1
8 8 Rad Paisley 3.50 5.9 11-1
7 7 Remembering Wilbur 8.00 6.2 12-1
10 10 He Hate Me 6.00 6.9 13-1
5 5 His Royal G 30.00 7.1 13-1
4 4 Big Hambone 30.00 7.3 14-1
6 6 Mocephus 30.00 8.4 16-1
9 9 Velvet Ghost 4.00 10 19-1

RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 My Catholic Girl 15.00 1 2-1
2 2 Tohonorstelle 12.00 1.6 3-1
5 5 Flag Song Flyin 3.00 4.4 8-1
8 8 Lisa’s Palace 6.00 4.7 9-1
1 1 Breaking Rules 8.00 5 9-1
7 7 Champagne Dance 5.00 5.3 10-1
10 10 Sheherhers 6.00 6.3 12-1
6 6 Lorraine’s Way 15.00 6.3 12-1
4 4 Missy Boss 20.00 7 13-1
9 9 Ree Nee’s Six 4.00 10 19-1

RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
15 15 Closer Look 20.00 1 2-1
1 1 Northern Thunder 30.00 3.4 6-1
2 2 Assembly Point (BRZ) 2.50 3.8 7-1
7 7 Prince Khozan 15.00 4.9 9-1
6 6 Subject to Change 30.00 5.3 10-1
5 5 Virginia Fulla 1.00 5.3 10-1
3 3 Forloveofcountry 15.00 6.1 12-1
4 4 Lookin for Justice 6.00 6.5 12-1
10 10 Patriotic Party 12.00 7.1 13-1
11 11 Power Back 10.00 8.1 15-1
8 8 Oxide 2.00 11 21-1
14 14 Southern Lad 30.00 12 23-1
12 12 Science (IRE) 20.00 12.4 23-1
9 9 My Boy Colton 30.00 13.7 26-1
16 16 Nepotism 6.00 15.5 29-1
13 13 Notion to Tapit 30.00 16 30-1

RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance) – Allowance

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Great Heavens 8.00 1 2-1
8 8 Brilliant Ice 6.00 2.6 5-1
6 6 Heads Or Tails 5.00 3.4 6-1
2 2 Byk 12.00 3.8 7-1
1 1 Mr. Antonelli 12.00 3.9 7-1
5 5 Ampersand 8.00 5 9-1
3 3 Goodafternoonoscar 20.00 5.4 10-1
9 9 Class Actor 30.00 6.1 12-1
10 10 Assume Nothing 10.00 6.3 12-1
7 7 Fole’s Notion 30.00 6.5 12-1
11 11 Rominski 2.00 8 15-1
12 12 Union Fleet 20.00 11.2 21-1
13 13 Elle’sbigseacret 20.00 13 25-1

RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Karan’s Notion 20.00 1 2-1
7 7 Johnyz From Albany 4.50 2.1 4-1
4 4 Spun and Won 3.00 4.2 8-1
2 2 Swill 2.50 4.7 9-1
5 5 Brother Conway 6.00 4.7 9-1
6 6 Divine Armor 4.00 5.2 10-1
1 1 Monday Morning Qb 20.00 7.9 15-1
8 8 Threes Over Deuces 15.00 8.4 16-1
9 9 Golden Candy 20.00 9 17-1

RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Great Kostas 15.00 1 2-1
2 2 Marvin’s Gray 30.00 2.9 5-1
4 4 Dangerous Mind 2.50 3.6 7-1
5 5 Telecast 10.00 4.2 8-1
3 3 I Wanna Rock 4.00 4.6 9-1
6 6 General J R 15.00 6.9 13-1
8 8 William’s Cause 20.00 7.9 15-1
7 7 Maryland Moon 1.00 8 15-1

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.