Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
4 |
4 |
Strong Finish |
8.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
2 |
2 |
Great Days Ahead |
5.00 |
1.3 |
2-1 |
1 |
1 |
Crazy Odds |
30.00 |
3.5 |
7-1 |
3 |
3 |
Entrust |
6.00 |
4 |
7-1 |
6 |
6 |
Great Call |
6.00 |
5.9 |
11-1 |
8 |
8 |
Twice Gold |
4.00 |
7.4 |
14-1 |
10 |
10 |
Rennie |
12.00 |
7.7 |
14-1 |
7 |
7 |
O T C Wiz |
30.00 |
7.7 |
15-1 |
9 |
9 |
Jolly by Golly |
6.00 |
8 |
15-1 |
5 |
5 |
Victors Valiant |
4.50 |
8.5 |
16-1 |
11 |
11 |
Boruff |
20.00 |
11 |
21-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
3 |
3 |
Miss Stones |
2.50 |
1 |
2-1 |
5 |
5 |
Jackson’s Dixie |
3.50 |
1.4 |
3-1 |
7 |
7 |
O Shaughesey |
10.00 |
1.6 |
3-1 |
4 |
4 |
Sweet Heidelberg |
6.00 |
1.8 |
3-1 |
2 |
2 |
Alas and Alack |
15.00 |
2.4 |
5-1 |
6 |
6 |
Grace and Charm |
5.00 |
2.7 |
5-1 |
8 |
8 |
Lady Serenity |
8.00 |
2.9 |
5-1 |
1 |
1 |
Meetmeatthebeach |
30.00 |
3.5 |
7-1 |
9 |
9 |
Lovely Liza |
4.50 |
5.9 |
11-1 |
|
|
Jackson’s Dixie |
|
10 |
19-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
2 |
2 |
Blue Trillion |
10.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
3 |
3 |
Destination |
3.00 |
2.6 |
5-1 |
8 |
8 |
Shared Authority |
15.00 |
4.4 |
8-1 |
1 |
1 |
Gate Song |
4.00 |
4.9 |
9-1 |
5 |
5 |
La Macchina Rossa |
8.00 |
5.1 |
10-1 |
7 |
7 |
Keep It Safe |
30.00 |
5.7 |
11-1 |
6 |
6 |
Heart |
1.60 |
6.1 |
11-1 |
4 |
4 |
Maddie Ten |
6.00 |
6.3 |
12-1 |
|
|
Heart |
|
9 |
17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
3 |
3 |
Dixie Giant |
8.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
2 |
2 |
Free Square |
2.00 |
3.2 |
6-1 |
1 |
1 |
Crownedcountcristo |
12.00 |
5.6 |
11-1 |
8 |
8 |
Rad Paisley |
3.50 |
5.9 |
11-1 |
7 |
7 |
Remembering Wilbur |
8.00 |
6.2 |
12-1 |
10 |
10 |
He Hate Me |
6.00 |
6.9 |
13-1 |
5 |
5 |
His Royal G |
30.00 |
7.1 |
13-1 |
4 |
4 |
Big Hambone |
30.00 |
7.3 |
14-1 |
6 |
6 |
Mocephus |
30.00 |
8.4 |
16-1 |
9 |
9 |
Velvet Ghost |
4.00 |
10 |
19-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
3 |
3 |
My Catholic Girl |
15.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
2 |
2 |
Tohonorstelle |
12.00 |
1.6 |
3-1 |
5 |
5 |
Flag Song Flyin |
3.00 |
4.4 |
8-1 |
8 |
8 |
Lisa’s Palace |
6.00 |
4.7 |
9-1 |
1 |
1 |
Breaking Rules |
8.00 |
5 |
9-1 |
7 |
7 |
Champagne Dance |
5.00 |
5.3 |
10-1 |
10 |
10 |
Sheherhers |
6.00 |
6.3 |
12-1 |
6 |
6 |
Lorraine’s Way |
15.00 |
6.3 |
12-1 |
4 |
4 |
Missy Boss |
20.00 |
7 |
13-1 |
9 |
9 |
Ree Nee’s Six |
4.00 |
10 |
19-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
15 |
15 |
Closer Look |
20.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
1 |
1 |
Northern Thunder |
30.00 |
3.4 |
6-1 |
2 |
2 |
Assembly Point (BRZ) |
2.50 |
3.8 |
7-1 |
7 |
7 |
Prince Khozan |
15.00 |
4.9 |
9-1 |
6 |
6 |
Subject to Change |
30.00 |
5.3 |
10-1 |
5 |
5 |
Virginia Fulla |
1.00 |
5.3 |
10-1 |
3 |
3 |
Forloveofcountry |
15.00 |
6.1 |
12-1 |
4 |
4 |
Lookin for Justice |
6.00 |
6.5 |
12-1 |
10 |
10 |
Patriotic Party |
12.00 |
7.1 |
13-1 |
11 |
11 |
Power Back |
10.00 |
8.1 |
15-1 |
8 |
8 |
Oxide |
2.00 |
11 |
21-1 |
14 |
14 |
Southern Lad |
30.00 |
12 |
23-1 |
12 |
12 |
Science (IRE) |
20.00 |
12.4 |
23-1 |
9 |
9 |
My Boy Colton |
30.00 |
13.7 |
26-1 |
16 |
16 |
Nepotism |
6.00 |
15.5 |
29-1 |
13 |
13 |
Notion to Tapit |
30.00 |
16 |
30-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
4 |
4 |
Great Heavens |
8.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
8 |
8 |
Brilliant Ice |
6.00 |
2.6 |
5-1 |
6 |
6 |
Heads Or Tails |
5.00 |
3.4 |
6-1 |
2 |
2 |
Byk |
12.00 |
3.8 |
7-1 |
1 |
1 |
Mr. Antonelli |
12.00 |
3.9 |
7-1 |
5 |
5 |
Ampersand |
8.00 |
5 |
9-1 |
3 |
3 |
Goodafternoonoscar |
20.00 |
5.4 |
10-1 |
9 |
9 |
Class Actor |
30.00 |
6.1 |
12-1 |
10 |
10 |
Assume Nothing |
10.00 |
6.3 |
12-1 |
7 |
7 |
Fole’s Notion |
30.00 |
6.5 |
12-1 |
11 |
11 |
Rominski |
2.00 |
8 |
15-1 |
12 |
12 |
Union Fleet |
20.00 |
11.2 |
21-1 |
13 |
13 |
Elle’sbigseacret |
20.00 |
13 |
25-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
3 |
3 |
Karan’s Notion |
20.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
7 |
7 |
Johnyz From Albany |
4.50 |
2.1 |
4-1 |
4 |
4 |
Spun and Won |
3.00 |
4.2 |
8-1 |
2 |
2 |
Swill |
2.50 |
4.7 |
9-1 |
5 |
5 |
Brother Conway |
6.00 |
4.7 |
9-1 |
6 |
6 |
Divine Armor |
4.00 |
5.2 |
10-1 |
1 |
1 |
Monday Morning Qb |
20.00 |
7.9 |
15-1 |
8 |
8 |
Threes Over Deuces |
15.00 |
8.4 |
16-1 |
9 |
9 |
Golden Candy |
20.00 |
9 |
17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
1 |
1 |
Great Kostas |
15.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
2 |
2 |
Marvin’s Gray |
30.00 |
2.9 |
5-1 |
4 |
4 |
Dangerous Mind |
2.50 |
3.6 |
7-1 |
5 |
5 |
Telecast |
10.00 |
4.2 |
8-1 |
3 |
3 |
I Wanna Rock |
4.00 |
4.6 |
9-1 |
6 |
6 |
General J R |
15.00 |
6.9 |
13-1 |
8 |
8 |
William’s Cause |
20.00 |
7.9 |
15-1 |
7 |
7 |
Maryland Moon |
1.00 |
8 |
15-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.