Fair Grounds Horse Racing Picks for Friday, December 29, 2023

Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Nicely Unified 3.50 1 2-1
4 4 Brielle Evangeline 3.00 1.1 2-1
2 2 Custom Comedy 10.00 1.9 4-1
7 7 Hot Golden Girl 6.00 2.3 4-1
8 8 Carolina Jacy 3.50 2.3 4-1
9 9 Avie J 10.00 2.8 5-1
6 6 Strummin Mary 6.00 3.1 6-1
3 3 My Sugar Fix 15.00 5.5 10-1
5 5 Jazz Jazz Jazz 30.00 7.2 14-1
10 10 Dreamed I Am Fast 30.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 2 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Knight’s Cross 2.50 1 2-1
1 1 Classic King 3.00 1.9 4-1
2 2 My Bariley 3.00 3.1 6-1
5 5 Blurt 10.00 5.4 10-1
4 4 Millard’s Smile 4.00 5.4 10-1
6 6 Warrior’s Run 10.00 6.1 12-1
7 7 Nate’s Revenge 15.00 7 13-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
12 12 Noble Pursuit 12.00 1 2-1
8 8 Easter Snap 30.00 2.3 4-1
11 11 Bakeneko 20.00 2.7 5-1
2 2 Telephone Talker 6.00 3.6 7-1
9 9 Of the Moment 6.00 3.6 7-1
10 10 Monarchs Glen (GB) 4.00 3.7 7-1
4 4 Niles Channel 10.00 3.7 7-1
6 6 Devamani (FR) 20.00 3.9 7-1
1 1 Shady McGee (IRE) 4.00 4.3 8-1
7 7 One Time Gem 12.00 4.4 8-1
5 5 Scoring Drive 30.00 9.2 17-1
3 3 Optimus Kat 3.50 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 Watrugonnadokaren 1.80 1 2-1
3 3 She’s a Big Star 8.00 2.4 5-1
8 8 Pelletier 8.00 4.2 8-1
2 2 No Nannette No 3.50 4.3 8-1
10 10 Caviar Resolution 5.00 5.4 10-1
9 9 Ryan’s Grace 8.00 5.7 11-1
4 4 Averi Ever After 12.00 6 11-1
6 6 Morning Line News 20.00 6.3 12-1
1 1 Sweet Perfection 12.00 SCRATCH
5 5 Lady Lana 20.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Just Battle 3.00 1 2-1
3 3 Liquid Addiction (IRE) 4.50 2.5 5-1
8 8 Sir Liam 8.00 2.6 5-1
10 10 Billy’s Got Issues 6.00 3.8 7-1
2 2 El Perfecto 4.50 4.6 9-1
7 7 Bubba Can Dance 6.00 4.6 9-1
4 4 Kahala 12.00 5.2 10-1
6 6 He Gots to Go 10.00 5.5 10-1
1 1 Faith Runner 12.00 7.2 14-1
9 9 Vortex 20.00 10.3 20-1
12 12 Overanalytical 6.00 SCRATCH
11 11 Single Ruler 3.50 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance) – Allowance

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Cajun Eddie 8.00 1 2-1
3 3 Duvee 6.00 1.1 2-1
7 7 Star Redemption 4.50 1.6 3-1
1 1 Benoit 8.00 2.4 5-1
6 6 Big Boo 10.00 4.3 8-1
9 9 Buck Doll Taylor 12.00 4.9 9-1
10 10 Joey’s Game 12.00 5.6 11-1
5 5 Ranch Water 5.00 6.1 12-1
4 4 Ranch Badge 10.00 6.4 12-1
8 8 Dude Drop Kid 15.00 6.5 12-1
11 11 Syvestar 4.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 7 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
Fleet Frost 0 0-1
10 10 Tipsy Runner 4.50 1 2-1
7 7 Lightning Myqueen 6.00 1.8 3-1
12 12 Joke Master 12.00 2.1 4-1
1 1 Berlaine 3.50 2.3 4-1
2 2 Plagne Champagne 10.00 2.9 5-1
5 5 La Scaloneta 6.00 3.6 7-1
11 11 Fleet Frost 20.00 4.2 8-1
4 4 Lady Chai 10.00 6 11-1
3 3 Catapulted 12.00 7 13-1
6 6 Brooklynn Drew 6.00 7.8 15-1
8 8 Allegrodimolto 15.00 8 15-1
9 9 Sharper Gal 20.00 10.3 19-1
14 14 Candy Lover 3.00 SCRATCH
15 15 Hayai Uma 12.00 SCRATCH
13 13 Hub City 10.00 SCRATCH
16 16 Sybarite 12.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 8 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 Calibrachoamatters 1.40 1 2-1
5 5 Vero Campione 4.50 1 2-1
9 9 Inglis 6.00 3.6 7-1
10 10 Samurai’s Grandson 10.00 4.2 8-1
1 1 Mine Your Biz 15.00 5.3 10-1
3 3 Flash N Class 5.00 5.3 10-1
2 2 Star Ready 10.00 5.4 10-1
8 8 Ondatrackpimpernel 20.00 6.8 13-1
4 4 Spirit of Dreams 20.00 7.1 13-1
6 6 Queenie’s Leroy 20.00 10 19-1

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.