Gulfstream Park Horse Racing Picks for Thursday, December 28, 2023

Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Grey Princess 2.00 1 2-1
8 8 Okay Fine 2.50 1.7 3-1
6 6 Battling Bubbles 4.00 2.3 4-1
4 4 Aperol Spritz 3.00 3.1 6-1
5 5 Starship Sigrun 6.00 5.1 10-1
2 2 Kindness Is Free 30.00 6 11-1
7 7 Zully Bella 30.00 6.6 12-1
1 1 Huge G 50.00 8 15-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Movin’ On Up 2.00 1 2-1
9 9 Wonder Wave (IRE) 2.50 3.4 6-1
5 5 Maybe Magic 8.00 4.9 9-1
8 8 Momma Kim 12.00 5.4 10-1
6 6 Channel Loop 10.00 5.6 11-1
4 4 Skinny Cosmo 8.00 6.1 11-1
1 1 La Picasita 20.00 6.3 12-1
7 7 Threedots Andadash 4.50 7.4 14-1
2 2 Madonnina 20.00 9 17-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Silvia V’s Heroes 2.00 1 2-1
4 4 Jellicle Katz 5.00 3 6-1
1 1 Kiss Me Hardy 3.00 3.1 6-1
2 2 Karen’s Honor 4.00 4.2 8-1
6 6 Miss Ucrania 6.00 4.4 8-1
3 3 Hidden Road 4.50 6 11-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Whats Up Buttercup 30.00 1 2-1
3 3 Dreamy 2.50 2.1 4-1
8 8 My Sweetheart Dani 30.00 2.3 4-1
7 7 Mo Twilight 4.00 2.4 4-1
5 5 Cajun Anthem 6.00 2.5 5-1
9 9 She Can Scat 5.00 4 8-1
4 4 Platinum Rocker 6.00 5 10-1
2 2 Blue Eyed Warrior 4.50 6.9 13-1
6 6 Ellie’s Runner 8.00 9 17-1

RACE NUMBER 5 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Pawky 2.00 1 2-1
7 7 Royal Dame 3.00 1.8 3-1
2 2 Queen Macha 2.50 2.9 5-1
3 3 Mary Katherine 30.00 3.5 7-1
4 4 Mint Edition 8.00 4 8-1
6 6 Apple Shake Shake 10.00 4.7 9-1
5 5 My Lion (GB) 4.50 7 13-1

RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Optional Claiming) – Maiden Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Secret Lover 2.00 1 2-1
2 2 Tiz Marks Spirit 8.00 1.8 3-1
5 5 Khoolzan 1.00 2.2 4-1
1 1 Head Lad 6.00 2.7 5-1
6 6 Team Travis 10.00 4.7 9-1
7 7 Khopesh 12.00 5.1 10-1
3 3 Wasamattafoyou 30.00 5.3 10-1
Secret Lover 8 15-1

RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Frosted Faith 2.00 1 2-1
6 6 Exprompt (FR) 8.00 2.9 5-1
3 3 Friar Tuck 12.00 3.1 6-1
8 8 Cantaro 6.00 3.2 6-1
7 7 Souper Success 1.80 4 8-1
1 1 Volkert 6.00 4.7 9-1
5 5 Cheerful Charlie 30.00 4.9 9-1
2 2 Amor Lejano (ARG) 10.00 8 15-1

RACE NUMBER 8 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 English Painter 5.00 1 2-1
6 6 Space Launch 1.80 4.6 9-1
2 2 K. C. Chief 20.00 5.5 10-1
1 1 Mr Matuschek 8.00 6.9 13-1
10 10 Fighter in the Win 2.50 7.8 15-1
8 8 Bringer of Rain 20.00 8.8 17-1
5 5 Tapit Brio 30.00 9.1 17-1
7 7 Red Flag Alert 8.00 9.2 17-1
4 4 Swing Low 10.00 9.2 17-1
9 9 Big Venezuela 30.00 10 19-1

RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Break Out 12.00 1 2-1
1 1 Inherent Promise 4.00 2.9 5-1
10 10 Salacious 6.00 6.4 12-1
5 5 Dangerous Driver 30.00 6.9 13-1
6 6 Streamsong 5.00 7.2 14-1
8 8 Mythic Performance 3.50 8.3 16-1
3 3 El Rezeen 8.00 8.5 16-1
7 7 Trikari 20.00 9.1 17-1
4 4 Always Be Smart 4.50 9.1 17-1
9 9 Team Captain 10.00 10 19-1

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.