Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Film Academy | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Rapid Grey | 3.50 | 1.2 | 2-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Mackville | 4.00 | 2.9 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Last Post | 30.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Art and Design | 4.50 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Tie Breaker Lennie | 30.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Who Said Go | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 7 | Mekele | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Sierra Sky | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Day Away | 20.00 | 2.4 | 4-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Blue Horseshoe | 1.40 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Yes to Champagne | 3.50 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Take Your Point | 20.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Pacific Front | 12.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | O’Nice Girl (FR) | 30.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Grinning | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Gangly | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Celestial Glaze | 1.60 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Float On | 3.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Pay Zone | 12.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Sainthoodforbrian | 8.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Dangerous Ride | 6.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Rose E Holiday | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Awesome Annmarie | 4.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Wheelingndealing | 8.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Anotherdaygoneby | 5.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Trotting Gear | 8.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
| 7 | 7 | She’s Outta Here | 2.50 | 6.4 | 12-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Bargainaire | 20.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Ashima | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Betty | 1.80 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Jazzin | 12.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Umbral | 6.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Wonderfulvenezuela | 3.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | New Baby | 30.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Maelstrom Spirit | 30.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Nouveau Riche | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 6 (H. Allen Jerkens H.) – H. Allen Jerkens H.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | F Five | 5.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Value Engineering | 1.80 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 5 | 5 | McLovin | 2.50 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Swore | 12.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Catch That Party | 8.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Six Minus | 8.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Serifos | 15.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Shawdyshawdyshawdy | 8.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Maiden Optional Claiming) – Maiden Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Gullfaxi | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Shining Skye | 3.50 | 1.5 | 3-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Darling Darley | 2.50 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Musthavebeenlove | 20.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Olivia’s Sparkle | 4.50 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | The Big Banshee | 20.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Flower Mound | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 8 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Get the Candy | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Six Feet Apart | 3.50 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Ala Turka | 2.50 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Talk Much | 12.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Blazingly | 4.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Demurely | 15.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Lexinator | 8.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Flip My Id | 12.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Super Chow | 1.60 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Ticking | 12.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Loco Abarrio | 3.50 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | X Y Point | 8.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Real Talk | 2.50 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Ribbons and Medals | 30.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Doc Amster | 5.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 10 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Steel Lute | 1.80 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Lauriston (IRE) | 2.50 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Style Points | 8.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Little Miss Munny | 12.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Round the Town | 12.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | No Consequences | 8.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Just Maryann | 4.50 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Gossiper | 15.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Don’t Touch Me (IRE) | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.