Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Riley G | 0.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Somebody Loves Me | 30.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Flowerdew | 5.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Dearly | 30.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Conceptualize | 6.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Princess Cairo | 4.50 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 5 | My Sassy Valentine | 12.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 1 | Poggibonsi | 10.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 2 | My Flicker | 6.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 5 | Canoodle | 15.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 7 | Mystic Seaport | 1.80 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 4 | Winkiwinki | 12.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 3 | Black Ice | 30.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Whistler’s Style | 6.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 7 | 6 | Brzina | 6.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 9 | 10 | Killy Start | 15.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 |
| 1A | 9 | Knowing Glance | 1.80 | 10.1 | 19-1 |
| 10 | 11 | Proper Attire | 10.00 | 11 | 21-1 |
| 11 | 12 | Royal Whisper | 8.00 | 12 | 23-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Return Fire | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Minimo | 6.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | El de Larry | 3.50 | 1.2 | 2-1 |
| 7 | 7 | How U Doin | 5.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Notion in Motion | 30.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Seeker | 10.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Double Nickel | 8.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Dashing d’Artagnan | 20.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Simon’s Choice | 30.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 12 | 12 | Whatahardmanfidead | 8.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Volpe | 15.00 | 6.6 | 13-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Mucho de La Mancha | 30.00 | 8.7 | 16-1 |
| Notion in Motion | 14 | 26-1 | |||
| How U Doin | 14 | 26-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Willa On The Move S.) – Willa On The Move S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Moody Woman | 4.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Headland | 1.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Worst Behaviour | 20.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Apple Picker | 1.40 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | I’m Gittin There | 30.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Dream Chaser | 10.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Sharp Eyes | 12.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Discreet Ops | 2.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Kapatude | 20.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 1 | 1 | I’m a Cutie Pie | 12.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Shake It Baby | 8.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Mucho Tigger | 12.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Beachfront Breeze | 8.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Sky Victory | 1.80 | 7.7 | 15-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Bunny Hop | 30.00 | 9.1 | 17-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Still Game | 15.00 | 10 | 19-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Dave’s Friend S.) – Dave’s Friend S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | He’smyhoneybadger | 12.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Nico | 20.00 | 1.3 | 3-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Cowan | 4.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Greeley and Ben | 12.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Sir Alfred James | 4.50 | 2.9 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Mystic O’Shaunesie | 50.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | No Cents | 15.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Dollarization | 20.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Manny Wah | 5.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Threes Over Deuces | 30.00 | 8.3 | 16-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Factor It In | 6.00 | 10 | 19-1 |
| 12 | 12 | Stage Left | 3.50 | 12 | 23-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Carousel S.) – Carousel S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Lady Brew | 6.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Saddle Up Jessie | 1.60 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Warrior’s Ransom | 3.50 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Peyton Elizabeth | 30.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Hybrid Eclipse | 1.40 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Circle Home | 12.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Robert T. Manfuso S.) – Robert T. Manfuso S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Double Crown | 20.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Offaly Cool | 2.00 | 1.1 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Forewarned | 10.00 | 2.9 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Luigi’s Spirit | 20.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Ain’t Da Beer Cold | 20.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Kinetic Sky | 3.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Be Better | 2.50 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Magic Michael | 5.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Little Baby Girl | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Titian Tyrant | 3.50 | 4.5 | 9-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Get Loaded | 8.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Quality Weekend | 5.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Fortuitous | 10.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Mo Tough | 4.50 | 7.6 | 14-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Virologist | 12.00 | 7.7 | 14-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Finaljump | 10.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.