Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elevated Causeway | 0 | 0-1 | |||
| 7 | 7 | Elevated Causeway | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 9 | 9 | High Stakes | 12.00 | 1.3 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Decisive Pride | 4.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Networking | 15.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Paradise Drive | 12.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Royal Fox Hills | 3.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Bulletonthecharts | 20.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Hartsbeatlikthundr | 4.50 | 7.4 | 14-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Kadar Indy | 30.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Missouri River | 0 | 0-1 | ||||
| 7 | 7 | Enlighten | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Az U Chase Me | 30.00 | 1.4 | 3-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Modica | 12.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Dashman | 6.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Thornbury | 8.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Urge to Merge (IRE) | 30.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Bee Plus | 30.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | My G | 4.00 | 7.7 | 15-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Wonderfinn | 15.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Hammerstein | 5.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Sir Magestrate (IRE) | 20.00 | 10.2 | 19-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Missouri River | 15.00 | 10.9 | 21-1 | |
| 15 | 15 | Trikari | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 14 | 14 | Dangerous Driver | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13 | 13 | Salacious | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Midnight Chaos | 4.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Tiz a Tale | 1.80 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Peach Nectar | 2.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | On Jet Heir | 15.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Blue Lieutenant | 30.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Anthony’s Rocket | 30.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Drama’s Prayer | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Optional Claiming) – Maiden Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Karaya | 0 | 0-1 | ||||
| 6 | 6 | Cool Tricks | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Karaya | 1.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Nobatia | 12.00 | 1.2 | 2-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Grand Lady Mo | 6.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Glitter Bomb | 20.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Zipfire | 5.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Trumpets | 30.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | My Blessing | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Rebelde | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Joe Di Baggio | 6.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Self Taught | 1.80 | 1.5 | 3-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Morgan Point | 3.50 | 1.6 | 3-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Toscanito | 10.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Menelik | 12.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Sensei Lawrence | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Emboite (IRE) | 1.20 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Aruba | 3.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Wow Wish | 8.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Opposites Attract | 6.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Jeby | 6.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Racket | 20.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Truth and Honesty | 15.00 | 8.7 | 17-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Chacharero | 30.00 | 8.8 | 17-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Christensen | 30.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | English Bob | 1.40 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Rhymes Like Dimes | 30.00 | 1.2 | 2-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Burgee | 2.50 | 1.3 | 2-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Here Comes Bullet | 4.50 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Boldness | 3.50 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Thenorthremembers | 20.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | China Beach | 30.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Dubby Dubbie | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 8 (Tropical Park Oaks) – Tropical Park Oaks
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Cairo Consort | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Startup Mentality (IRE) | 4.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Breath Away (GB) | 4.50 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Implicated | 3.50 | 4.5 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Zipadoo | 20.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Be My Sunshine | 12.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Sun Bee | 30.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Alpha Bella | 10.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Dolce Sopresa | 15.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Riding Pretty | 30.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Personal Pursuit | 15.00 | 8.3 | 16-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Speed Trap | 30.00 | 9 | 17-1 | |
| 13 | 13 | Notinamillionyears (IRE) | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 9 (Sugar Swirl S.) – Sugar Swirl S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Olivia Darling | 0 | 0-1 | ||||
| 1 | 1 | Bluefield | 4.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Intrepid Daydream | 3.00 | 1.3 | 2-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Spirit Wind | 3.50 | 1.4 | 3-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | My Destiny | 6.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Olivia Darling | 6.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Napa Candy | 8.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Magna Massa | 30.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Headland | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 10 (Mr. Prospector S.) – Mr. Prospector S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Great Navigator | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Sibelius | 2.50 | 1.4 | 3-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Gilmore | 4.00 | 1.4 | 3-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Winfromwithin | 10.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Dreaming of Kona | 15.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Long Range Toddy | 8.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Scaramouche | 20.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Hurricane J | 4.50 | 7.8 | 15-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Howbeit | 20.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 11 (Tropical Park Derby) – Tropical Park Derby
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Boppy O | 5.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Anglophile | 3.50 | 1.4 | 3-1 | |
| 13 | 13 | Irish Aces | 6.00 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Smokey Mandate | 4.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | April Fools Andy | 15.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Eyes On the King | 20.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Amstrong | 12.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Mutaawid | 30.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Souper Blessing | 8.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Legacy Isle | 30.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Ohana Honor | 3.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Torigo | 30.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
| 14 | 14 | Harrington | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Souzak (FR) | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.