Fair Grounds Horse Racing Picks for Saturday, December 23, 2023

Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Wish Carefully 1.80 1 2-1
4 4 Hennessy Wild 15.00 7.4 14-1
1 1 Razor Crest 12.00 7.5 14-1
2 2 Achromedoutcat 8.00 7.8 15-1
9 9 Regatta Bay 20.00 8 15-1
3 3 Autie 2.00 8.2 15-1
7 7 Kickin Chip 15.00 8.4 16-1
8 8 Brittany’s Dream 8.00 8.4 16-1
5 5 Blame Me Seriously 6.00 9 17-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 El Magnifico 2.50 1 2-1
3 3 San Siro 5.00 1.6 3-1
6 6 Popweiser 5.00 2.9 5-1
8 8 Phantom Speed 3.50 3.3 6-1
1 1 Cathy’s Boy 6.00 5.7 11-1
2 2 Ethan Energy 5.00 6.2 12-1
4 4 Kissthemoon 30.00 7 13-1
5 5 Ruleroftheuniverse 12.00 8 15-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Blushing K. D. S.) – Blushing K. D. S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Yankee Dollar 6.00 1 2-1
3 3 Lovely Princess 1.60 2.4 4-1
7 7 Creative Cairo 4.00 5.7 11-1
4 4 Tasweya 5.00 5.8 11-1
6 6 Join the Dance 6.00 6 11-1
1 1 Colors of the Wind 6.00 6.9 13-1
2 2 Dana’s Beauty 10.00 7 13-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Sugar Bowl S.) – Sugar Bowl S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Agoo 1.40 1 2-1
6 6 American Rascal 3.50 1.7 3-1
4 4 Legalize 1.60 2.9 5-1
1 1 Triple Trea 10.00 3.5 7-1
5 5 The Donegal Clan 15.00 4.5 9-1
2 2 Malibu Rain 20.00 6 11-1

RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Bourbon’s Fault 6.00 1 2-1
9 9 Funnyflame 6.00 1.6 3-1
2 2 Justifreak 3.50 2.8 5-1
6 6 Mosaico Man 3.00 3 6-1
4 4 Dimatic 8.00 4.8 9-1
7 7 King Anthony 8.00 5.4 10-1
1 1 Good Lord 10.00 5.9 11-1
8 8 Ice Wolf 12.00 6.8 13-1
5 5 Bisate 6.00 9 17-1

RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
12 12 Le Gris 4.00 1 2-1
7 7 Greers Ferry 8.00 2.2 4-1
2 2 Empire’s Classic 12.00 2.7 5-1
8 8 Sir Exton 8.00 3 6-1
5 5 Ocean Victory 4.50 4.1 8-1
10 10 Bayou Magic 8.00 4.3 8-1
9 9 Cabernaydo 5.00 4.5 8-1
1 1 Double Neat 8.00 5.1 10-1
3 3 Without Equal 20.00 5.6 11-1
6 6 Sugar Hook 10.00 6.2 12-1
11 11 Count Dracula 15.00 7 13-1
4 4 Cesnola 20.00 8.6 16-1
13 13 Exemption 5.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 7 (Letellier Memorial S.) – Letellier Memorial S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Halina’s Forte 2.00 1 2-1
2 2 Kant Resist It 8.00 2.4 5-1
7 7 Deboisblanc 3.00 2.9 5-1
5 5 Twirl Around 4.00 3.7 7-1
8 8 Leslie’s Loot 15.00 4.1 8-1
6 6 Brunch Punch 4.50 4.1 8-1
4 4 Bedowntofoolaround 30.00 4.5 9-1
1 1 Mixer 8.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 8 (Richard R. Scherer Memorial S.) – Richard R. Scherer Memorial S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
11 11 High Limit Room 8.00 1 2-1
3 3 Bodenheimer 12.00 1.2 2-1
4 4 Just Might 8.00 2.3 4-1
10 10 Evan Sing 4.50 2.3 4-1
7 7 Bushido 15.00 2.7 5-1
8 8 Minnesota Ready 8.00 4.1 8-1
9 9 Sosua Summer 4.50 4.2 8-1
1 1 Kavod 10.00 4.8 9-1
2 2 Swift as I Am 30.00 6.8 13-1
5 5 Went West 12.00 SCRATCH
6 6 Private Creed 3.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 9 (Untapable S.) – Untapable S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Sistina Chapel 5.00 1 2-1
5 5 Legadema 3.00 2.7 5-1
6 6 West Omaha 2.50 4.7 9-1
2 2 Band of Gold 8.00 5.5 10-1
1 1 Alpine Princess 3.00 5.6 11-1
4 4 Fibber 4.00 6 11-1

RACE NUMBER 10 (Buddy Diliberto Memorial S.) – Buddy Diliberto Memorial S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
13 13 Law Professor 8.00 1 2-1
10 10 Beatbox 6.00 1.4 3-1
11 11 Harlan Estate 6.00 2.7 5-1
6 6 English Tavern 12.00 2.8 5-1
12 12 Two Emmys 3.00 3.1 6-1
4 4 Johny’s Fireball 12.00 3.7 7-1
9 9 Rising Empire 6.00 4.2 8-1
2 2 Fair Dinkum 12.00 4.7 9-1
7 7 Street Ready 10.00 5.8 11-1
5 5 Protonic Power 15.00 7.9 15-1
1 1 Sonny Smack 30.00 8.4 16-1
3 3 Duke of Carthania 30.00 9.5 18-1
8 8 Happy American 15.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 11 (Tenacious S.) – Tenacious S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
Pioneer of Medina 0 0-1
6 6 Five Star General 5.00 1 2-1
1 1 Dash Attack 4.00 2.7 5-1
5 5 Happy American 4.00 3.7 7-1
2 2 Confidence Game 12.00 4.3 8-1
3 3 Mbagnick (CHI) 12.00 4.4 8-1
4 4 Stage Raider 5.00 4.9 9-1
7 7 Pioneer of Medina 3.50 5.1 10-1
8 8 Brigadier General 6.00 8 15-1

RACE NUMBER 12 (Gun Runner S.) – Gun Runner S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
Nash 0 0-1
Nash 0 0-1
3 3 Risk It 5.00 1 2-1
6 6 Nash 1.40 1.5 3-1
8 8 Track Phantom 3.50 1.7 3-1
5 5 Footprint 20.00 3.1 6-1
7 7 Snead 6.00 3.1 6-1
1 1 Next Level 20.00 4.9 9-1
4 4 Neat 12.00 5.6 11-1
2 2 Catching Freedom 5.00 SCRATCH

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.