Gulfstream Park Horse Racing Picks for Friday, December 22, 2023

Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
Battle of Dover 0 0-1
6 6 T B Twelve Always 10.00 1 2-1
5 5 Pirate Radio 1.80 2 4-1
2 2 Battle of Dover 1.60 2.7 5-1
7 7 Stable Storm 6.00 3.5 7-1
4 4 Jake’s Affection 15.00 4 8-1
1 1 Cryptonym 20.00 5.3 10-1
3 3 Bachman 4.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
Determined Effort 0 0-1
2 2 Alexis Zorba (GB) 2.50 1 2-1
1 1 Exercise of Power 5.00 5.1 10-1
8 8 Secret Threat 15.00 5.3 10-1
4 4 Bear Bear 8.00 5.6 11-1
7 7 Ajaayb 30.00 5.9 11-1
5 5 Dundie 10.00 7.5 14-1
10 10 Determined Effort 3.00 8.3 16-1
9 9 Kake’s Arrow 12.00 8.7 16-1
6 6 Charge Off 12.00 9.1 17-1
3 3 Power of Justice 6.00 10 19-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Lucky Peridot 1.40 1 2-1
2 2 Hits Different 4.50 2.2 4-1
3 3 Miles of Smiles 5.00 3 6-1
6 6 Steel Racer 1.60 3.6 7-1
4 4 Principia 15.00 4.6 9-1
5 5 Esoteric 20.00 6 11-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Optional Claiming) – Maiden Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Reef Runner 8.00 1 2-1
6 6 Test Factor 1.60 2.3 4-1
3 3 Wild Caught 3.50 2.5 5-1
4 4 Souper Crunchy 12.00 3.8 7-1
7 7 Ike’s Gamble 20.00 5.1 10-1
1 1 Fulanito 8.00 5.4 10-1
8 8 Coercive 6.00 SCRATCH
5 5 Junction Road 4.50 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Founder’s Day 2.50 1 2-1
3 3 Latin Nikkita 4.00 1.3 2-1
1 1 Flying Black 3.00 3.8 7-1
7 7 Empress Ellie 10.00 4.2 8-1
4 4 Sals Dream Girl 5.00 4.5 9-1
9 9 French Franc (FR) 12.00 7.6 14-1
5 5 Musical Romance (GB) 6.00 7.9 15-1
6 6 She Fled the Scene 20.00 8.4 16-1
8 8 Sheza Spitfire 30.00 9 17-1

RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Zisisit (IRE) 2.50 1 2-1
5 5 Le Boiana 5.00 1.2 2-1
7 7 Win Dixie Ronnie 4.50 1.6 3-1
1 1 Dubstep 15.00 2.1 4-1
3 3 Bletchley Girl 2.00 2.2 4-1
4 4 Wicklow Gal 20.00 5.8 11-1
6 6 Tiz Enough 4.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Dynamic One 1.20 1 2-1
3 3 Positive Review 8.00 2.3 4-1
8 8 Cooke Creek 4.50 2.6 5-1
1 1 Picking Up Pennies 5.00 2.9 6-1
6 6 Slim Slow Slider 10.00 4.6 9-1
2 2 Black Belt 4.00 4.7 9-1
5 5 Picture This 30.00 5.1 10-1
7 7 Boca Boy 30.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 8 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Stride 5.00 1 2-1
7 7 Leo Monte 6.00 1.1 2-1
8 8 Born a Gambler 2.00 2.3 4-1
3 3 Mo Vanishing 20.00 4.8 9-1
5 5 Swashbuckle 12.00 4.8 9-1
10 10 Jesters Honor 8.00 6.6 12-1
9 9 Sonic Speed 2.50 6.8 13-1
2 2 Captain Anthony 20.00 7.7 15-1
6 6 Wideright 30.00 9.3 18-1
4 4 Assiduously (GB) 30.00 10 19-1

RACE NUMBER 9 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
9 9 Cardio Princess (JPN) 6.00 1 2-1
2 2 Stuck in Malibu 8.00 2.1 4-1
3 3 Crimson Princess 6.00 2.3 4-1
4 4 Confer 6.00 2.9 5-1
1 1 Amunet 5.00 3.1 6-1
7 7 Queen Deymar 15.00 3.7 7-1
11 11 Grandma’s Pudding 10.00 4.6 9-1
10 10 Dream Trap 12.00 6 11-1
8 8 Gratia 30.00 8.2 15-1
5 5 Bullet Valentina 20.00 8.4 16-1
6 6 Nightsaber (GB) 2.50 SCRATCH

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.