Fair Grounds Horse Racing Picks for Friday, December 22, 2023

Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Purple Octopus 1.40 1 2-1
3 3 Scat Free 2.50 1 2-1
6 6 High Enough 3.50 1.9 4-1
2 2 Majestic Craken 5.00 4.1 8-1
5 5 Dromas 8.00 5 9-1
1 1 Sixteen Degrees 20.00 6 11-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Quitegirl 5.00 1 2-1
6 6 Emilyhasherturn 4.00 1.3 2-1
8 8 Our Last Half 3.50 1.6 3-1
1 1 Aurora Australis 8.00 5.1 10-1
4 4 Gigi’s Luv 8.00 5.3 10-1
7 7 Front and Silver 12.00 5.3 10-1
2 2 Costa Lady 12.00 6.1 11-1
11 11 Flash It Wide Open 6.00 6.3 12-1
10 10 Soy Tu Suerte 15.00 6.6 13-1
9 9 Lexi’s Fury 20.00 6.7 13-1
3 3 Marion Roses Girl 15.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Almost Dialed Out 1.60 1 2-1
5 5 Khozy Tap 4.00 1.8 3-1
3 3 Hey Madalyn Claire 10.00 4.1 8-1
9 9 Be Bo 4.00 4.3 8-1
8 8 Jessica Blah Blah 6.00 5.6 11-1
1 1 Purrfect Moon 15.00 6.4 12-1
6 6 Secret Melody 20.00 7.6 14-1
10 10 Ms. Priestly 12.00 8.5 16-1
7 7 Graceful Street 12.00 8.5 16-1
4 4 Brightnmorningstar 30.00 10 19-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
10 10 Finn and Brennan 3.00 1 2-1
12 12 Max Is G Money 8.00 3.6 7-1
1 1 Dustin the Diamond 5.00 4.5 9-1
2 2 Spoken Code 8.00 5.6 11-1
3 3 Performance Plus 8.00 6.3 12-1
4 4 Yo Daddy 15.00 6.4 12-1
11 11 This Time Blue 15.00 7.9 15-1
9 9 English Bobby 20.00 8.2 16-1
5 5 Hastkrafter 20.00 9.1 17-1
6 6 Max S 30.00 10.2 19-1
8 8 Very Satisfactory 4.50 SCRATCH
7 7 Gianno 8.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 5 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Onerollofthedice 8.00 1 2-1
3 3 Miss Arlington 3.50 2.8 5-1
6 6 Charriere 4.00 3.9 7-1
1 1 Rastani 6.00 4.4 8-1
2 2 Bali Dreamin 10.00 5.1 10-1
8 8 Naughty Lottie 12.00 5.6 11-1
7 7 Take Charge Woman 20.00 6.8 13-1
9 9 Rose Palace 6.00 SCRATCH
5 5 Joke Sisi (CHI) 3.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
8 8 Victory for Vets 8.00 1 2-1
4 4 Aspenite 3.00 1.2 2-1
7 7 Sponge Bath 6.00 1.3 2-1
2 2 Hidden Class 3.50 2.1 4-1
9 9 Cowes 5.00 3 6-1
5 5 Classic Power (IRE) 20.00 4.3 8-1
6 6 Tipsy Tales 8.00 5.1 10-1
3 3 Awesome Ruta 8.00 5.9 11-1
10 10 Lemon Meringue 20.00 6.9 13-1
11 11 Vitement 15.00 9.1 17-1
1 1 Gone Elvis 20.00 11 21-1

RACE NUMBER 7 (Joseph E. Spanky Broussard Memorial S.) – Joseph E. Spanky Broussard Memorial S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Corningstone 4.00 1 2-1
8 8 Rose Palace 12.00 1.2 2-1
2 2 The Alys Look 3.00 1.9 4-1
4 4 Unbridled Mary 8.00 2.3 4-1
5 5 Hidden Connection 2.50 2.8 5-1
6 6 Skratch Kat 4.00 4.5 9-1
3 3 Bow Draw 50.00 5.8 11-1
7 7 Lexa 12.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
9 9 Sailing Solo 4.50 1 2-1
4 4 James Aloysius 4.00 2.4 5-1
5 5 Parrot Head 10.00 3.6 7-1
1 1 Ocelot 8.00 5.5 10-1
13 13 Alex Joon 10.00 6.1 11-1
2 2 Kentucky Ghost 3.00 6.2 12-1
7 7 He’s Got This 20.00 7 13-1
11 11 Microphone (IRE) 10.00 8.2 16-1
8 8 Native Thunder 12.00 8.7 16-1
3 3 Split the Wickets 15.00 8.8 17-1
10 10 Bourbon Day 10.00 8.8 17-1
6 6 Group Eighteen 20.00 8.8 17-1
14 14 Sonny Smack 20.00 SCRATCH
12 12 Betwithbothhands 15.00 SCRATCH
16 16 The Reds 6.00 SCRATCH
15 15 Bright Spark 10.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 9 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Canada’s Customs 4.00 1 2-1
8 8 Royal O’Haigain 12.00 3.8 7-1
2 2 Country Lady 4.50 4.7 9-1
3 3 Ours and Theirs 5.00 5.4 10-1
1 1 Miss Priority 3.50 5.7 11-1
10 10 Galaxy Thirtysix 10.00 6.9 13-1
6 6 Lovers Never Say 10.00 8.7 16-1
7 7 Sumitup 8.00 9.1 17-1
9 9 Sienna Breeze 8.00 9.8 19-1
4 4 Miss Kennedy 20.00 10 19-1

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.