Gulfstream Park Horse Racing Picks for Sunday, December 17, 2023

Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Noble Wave 2.00 1 2-1
2 2 Solar Flash 20.00 3.9 7-1
3 3 Mohay Please 30.00 6.2 12-1
8 8 Boy With a Dream 3.00 SCRATCH
1 1 Xy Face 6.00 SCRATCH
4 4 Always Dialed 8.00 SCRATCH
6 6 Quantum 10.00 SCRATCH
7 7 Parakeet (IRE) 2.50 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Zaino 3.00 1 2-1
4 4 Magma 6.00 2.3 4-1
5 5 Ozone 10.00 2.8 5-1
7 7 Vinsanity 3.50 4.3 8-1
8 8 Adios Now 8.00 4.6 9-1
3 3 Eastbostonbenny 15.00 5.8 11-1
1 1 Giuro 20.00 6.1 12-1
9 9 Air Force Royalty 15.00 6.1 12-1
2 2 Souper Crunchy 2.50 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Defended 6.00 1 2-1
4 4 Fast Kimmie 1.80 2.9 5-1
6 6 Lady Azteca 2.00 3.3 6-1
3 3 Flirtini 4.00 3.7 7-1
1 1 Vingativa 30.00 4.7 9-1
2 2 Talking Wonders 8.00 5 9-1
7 7 Moonshining 10.00 7 13-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Teshima 1.20 1 2-1
1 1 True Martini 4.00 3 6-1
2 2 J J Monet 10.00 4.2 8-1
8 8 Queen Valentina 4.50 4.8 9-1
3 3 Love Paradox 12.00 5.8 11-1
5 5 Samurai’sdon’tcry 30.00 5.9 11-1
6 6 Mystical Lady 30.00 6.4 12-1
7 7 Corazona 30.00 7.4 14-1
9 9 Ritamarley 5.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 5 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Our Legal Tender 3.50 1 2-1
8 8 Steeler Mischief 12.00 1.5 3-1
3 3 Salvattore Prince 4.00 1.6 3-1
9 9 Banneker 8.00 2.1 4-1
2 2 Cuban Thunder (IRE) 2.00 2.8 5-1
7 7 Zio Lorenzo 4.50 3.8 7-1
1 1 Dontbesoogrouchy 30.00 4 8-1
5 5 K’s Storm Ready 12.00 5.2 10-1
6 6 Brawn 20.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Change of Command 2.50 1 2-1
6 6 He’s a Butte 6.00 1.4 3-1
2 2 Rapture Bay 3.50 1.5 3-1
4 4 Jabran 12.00 1.6 3-1
5 5 Bourbon Society 20.00 2.9 6-1
1 1 Last Run 30.00 4.8 9-1
7 7 Resilience 1.60 SCRATCH
8 8 Princetown 12.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
10 10 Just a Care (IRE) 1.80 1 2-1
2 2 Kick a Rhyme (IRE) 6.00 1.9 4-1
3 3 Miss Sakamoto 5.00 1.9 4-1
8 8 Grace Darling (IRE) 8.00 2.6 5-1
7 7 My Lady James 10.00 3.7 7-1
9 9 Call Me Spicy 20.00 4.2 8-1
5 5 Alla Breve 10.00 5 9-1
6 6 One of One 30.00 5 10-1
11 11 Gunesh 20.00 5.7 11-1
4 4 Lovin Makes Cents 30.00 6.2 12-1
1 1 Ivory Moon 4.50 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 8 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
Scootaloo 0 0-1
7 7 Urgence 5.00 1 2-1
8 8 On Command 4.50 2.2 4-1
3 3 Tapit’s Starlet 3.00 2.3 4-1
2 2 Scootaloo 20.00 2.7 5-1
9 9 Vandella 15.00 3.4 6-1
1 1 Cosmic Symphony 15.00 4.4 8-1
5 5 Fantomah 12.00 4.5 9-1
6 6 Sun Azteca 2.50 SCRATCH
4 4 Paradise Lane 6.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 9 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Gitana 8.00 1 2-1
4 4 St. Pat’s Day 1.40 1.6 3-1
2 2 Walks Like a Lady 4.50 1.6 3-1
6 6 Shasta Star 2.00 2.4 4-1
5 5 Temerity 30.00 4.6 9-1
1 1 Hay Hay Paula 6.00 SCRATCH
7 7 Magna Massa 20.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 10 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 I’m a Sure Thing 3.50 1 2-1
5 5 Lady Emily Kathryn 2.50 1.2 2-1
1 1 Boltoro 6.00 2.1 4-1
7 7 Peace Cruiser 10.00 2.3 4-1
12 12 The Contessa 15.00 4.6 9-1
11 11 Milieu 8.00 5.2 10-1
6 6 Madaket’s Arrow 8.00 5.6 11-1
3 3 Charging Lady 20.00 5.6 11-1
4 4 Cerchi 30.00 6 11-1
10 10 Lucky Combination 15.00 6.4 12-1
8 8 Isola (IRE) 12.00 7.4 14-1
9 9 La Fantasma 15.00 7.5 14-1
13 13 Maman Joon (IRE) 2.00 SCRATCH

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.