Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | What Can I Say | 6.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Guanajuato | 2.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 4 | 4 | She’s My Priority | 2.50 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Gurkha Gold (IRE) | 6.00 | 2.4 | 4-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Texas Tidelands | 10.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Hot Patootie | 5.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Wait On Me | 8.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Starter Allowance) – Starter Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Devil’s Tower | 1.60 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | All West | 3.00 | 1.3 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Secret Rules | 1.20 | 1.5 | 3-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Missed the Boat | 10.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Gimme Some Mo | 20.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Smokin Richie | 4.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Premium | 8.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 14 | 14 | He’s a Bomb | 5.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Men of Kyle | 5.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Lyrical Poet | 8.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 13 | 13 | Saint Selby | 1.60 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Heza Priority | 12.00 | 8.4 | 16-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Jake the Band Man | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 7 | Alicia’s Kid | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 8 | Seven Scents | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 11 | Custom Kat | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | Sign of War | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Kleinmeister | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 5 | Fireinthestorm | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Fabled Ruler | 4.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Humor Me Please | 6.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Offshore Tithe | 10.00 | 3.4 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Izeondec | 2.50 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Time to Meddle | 3.50 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Chili Red | 4.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Classic Runner | 12.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sunday Breeze | 0 | 0-1 | ||||
| 12 | 12 | Sunday Breeze | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Silver Galaxy | 10.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Touchdown Joe | 5.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Monarch’s Mischief | 12.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Pepper Jack | 15.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Coffee County | 5.00 | 6.6 | 13-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Jeb’s Lucky Eight | 20.00 | 8.6 | 16-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Deer Crossing | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Charlie G | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | Perrins | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 11 | Hudson’s Turn | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | Calibrachoa Kid | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Musical Maestro | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Auto Dial | 6.00 | 1.3 | 2-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Dazzlemesilver | 4.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Free Rambling Man | 4.50 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | South Side | 4.00 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Beautiful Life | 3.50 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Cloud Without Rein | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Galadini | 8.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Oh Macarena | 15.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Spin the Breeze | 8.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Mischievousness | 8.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Clear Voice | 2.50 | 7.7 | 15-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Sotona | 12.00 | 8.1 | 15-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Saranac Lake | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Beautiful Mischief | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 16 | 16 | Fleet Frost | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13 | 13 | Tipsy Runner | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 14 | 14 | Joke Master | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 15 | 15 | Plagne Champagne | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 9 | Matching Energy | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | Renfrew | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Lightning Myqueen | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 5 | Tammy Lynn | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 8 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 9 | Ronalds Gatsby | 5.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Vero Campione | 4.50 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 2 | 2 | American Dollars | 1.80 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Lincoln Production | 8.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 1 | 1 | St Pierre | 20.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Parker Now | 5.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Punchie | 20.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Lacey’s Star | 12.00 | 8.2 | 15-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Renati | 10.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.