Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Optional Claiming) – Maiden Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Mauna Kea Bound | 1.20 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Smoke Wagon | 3.50 | 1.7 | 3-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Hey River | 4.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Top Maverick | 15.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Adios Papa Chico | 8.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Cacciatore | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | First Slew | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 9 | Heals the Soul | 1.60 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Frosted Faith | 4.00 | 1.4 | 3-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Exchange Day | 3.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Marley Luck | 15.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Unsociable | 15.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Kingpin | 10.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Officer Country | 30.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Tiz a Prince | 30.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Dazzling Truths | 30.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Executive Search | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Top Look | 1.80 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Baby’s Dialed In | 5.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | She’s So Bearrish | 2.50 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Tovia | 3.50 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Val’s Gal | 10.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Ylang Ylang | 20.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Rough Enough | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Enticing Sunset | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Red Hot Spark | 4.50 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Panther Crossing | 5.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Shinka | 30.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Spread the Risk | 2.50 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Lets Go Koko | 8.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Uptown Cat | 6.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Lady O’Brien | 6.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Variable Cost (GB) | 6.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Belly of Jelly | 4.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Thethrillofvictory | 1.20 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Media Sensation | 3.50 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Little Steven | 10.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 4 | 4 | No Regard | 12.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Wednesdaynight Lad | 12.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Isayso | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Lucy’s Cookie | 1.60 | 1.1 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Mo Twilight | 3.50 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 8 | 8 | No Violence | 5.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Mobay Princess | 20.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Oya Thunder | 10.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Inablink | 12.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Oro Oro | 30.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Maptitude | 0 | 0-1 | ||||
| 2 | 2 | Practiko | 1.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Midnight Onyx | 20.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Maptitude | 4.50 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Austonian | 5.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Moonstrike (GB) | 15.00 | 4 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Unikee | 4.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Solomons Gold | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 8 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Mitole Magic | 5.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | St. Susan | 10.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Hidden Presence | 6.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Sally Albright | 15.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Joyful Lass | 15.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Tony Blue Tape | 10.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Agra | 6.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Street View | 30.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Flower Mound | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Palmetto Fury | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | Lauriston (IRE) | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Kalispera (IRE) | 2.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 9 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Pay Zone | 12.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Celestial Glaze | 1.80 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Gangly | 2.50 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Sainthoodforbrian | 8.00 | 2.9 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Float On | 3.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Dangerous Ride | 6.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Friar Tuck | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 10 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Super Chow | 1.60 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Ticking | 12.00 | 1.9 | 3-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | X Y Point | 6.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Real Talk | 2.50 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Doc Amster | 6.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Ribbons and Medals | 30.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Avant Glory | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 11 (H. Allen Jerkens H.) – H. Allen Jerkens H.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | F Five | 6.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Swore | 12.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Six Minus | 10.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Value Engineering | 2.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Catch That Party | 8.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | McLovin | 2.50 | 5.6 | 10-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Shawdyshawdyshawdy | 8.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Serifos | 15.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Knox | 30.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Twowaycrossing | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.