Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Reverent | 1.40 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Chad’s Flash | 3.50 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Ourquickdrawmcgraw | 4.50 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Problem Child | 5.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Lone Star Max | 8.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Perfect Strike | 12.00 | 5 | 10-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Ole Stud Muffin | 12.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Lions Not Sheep | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | My Bariley | 3.50 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Bonus Appreciation | 3.50 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Big Power Red | 5.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Pharaoh’s Prophecy | 20.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Big Blue | 20.00 | 6.1 | 11-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Max Pandowdy | 15.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Mo Them Down | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Lunar Module | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Herd Immunity | 3.50 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Starburst | 3.50 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Mischief’s Machine | 3.50 | 4.5 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Silver Wings | 8.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Peso in My Pocket | 10.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Gotta Go | 10.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Le Monstre Rapide | 4.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Sassi D | 3.50 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Boston Blitz | 8.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Yockey’s Drivethru | 8.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Contraband Early | 6.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 |
| 5 | 5 | City of Love | 3.00 | 6.6 | 13-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Measure of Faith | 20.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Passing Judgment | 8.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Social Solution | 12.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Agent Creed | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Smarty Alex | 12.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Solid Country Gold | 6.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Brigade Commander | 4.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Summer Lover | 8.00 | 2.9 | 6-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Baseline Beater | 12.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Gluckstadt | 8.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Treaty | 12.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Old Alliance | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 3 | Dapper Dude | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | De’ Ans Eighty | 4.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Tu Cha | 5.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Madelyn Belle | 4.50 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Mystic Storm | 8.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Hannah’s Haven | 8.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Loveyoulikecrazy | 15.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | The Rage of Art | 20.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Belmar Summer | 12.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Copper Moon | 10.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Girl Afraid | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Honky Tonk Highway | 6.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Baltimore Heart | 12.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Redeposit | 3.50 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Mighty Message | 4.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Hold Your Applause | 4.50 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Big Fig | 12.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Seven Anniversary | 12.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Gavel | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 11 | Gotta Keep Him | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | Sharp Strike | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 7 | Finish the Mission | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Brennan’s Honor | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 8 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oh My Mia | 0 | 0-1 | ||||
| 8 | 8 | Liuzza | 6.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Into Stars | 4.50 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Beelieve Her | 3.50 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Plum Tricky | 8.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Remunzel | 10.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Velvet Kisses | 4.50 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Oh My Mia | 8.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Sybarite | 12.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | A Lil Psychotic | 20.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Mt. Masada | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 9 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Lady Jeopardy | 15.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Academic Honor | 4.50 | 1.1 | 2-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Tryinmyheartout | 12.00 | 1.1 | 2-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Miss Riddler | 4.50 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Happy Helen | 8.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Cotton Candy Annie | 20.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 13 | 13 | Nomadic Pride | 5.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Flamand | 20.00 | 5.6 | 10-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Russian Mafia | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 5 | Elle Est Forte | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 7 | Tasweya | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 11 | Musical Score | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Present Moment (IRE) | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 10 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | 11 | Tsuris | 5.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Imindycatbirdseat | 6.00 | 1.4 | 3-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Oak Hill Solution | 4.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Juju Nineteen | 10.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Arctic Rose | 5.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Northernreflection | 8.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Fort Bonz | 20.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Unwanted Intruder | 20.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Steal It Back | 6.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Gallant Star | 12.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Caeus in Pasadena | 50.00 | 11.4 | 22-1 | |
| 13 | 13 | Payday Too | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Meditate | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.