Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Va Voom | 15.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Expensive Liaison | 2.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Okie Code | 4.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Cha Cha Dancer | 5.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Princess Ball | 6.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Rainbow Smiles | 8.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Lisa G | 20.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Misswish | 12.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Reality Check | 15.00 | 8.6 | 16-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Gospel Molly | 30.00 | 9.3 | 18-1 |
| 10 | 10 | My Golden Prize | 30.00 | 11 | 21-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Excaping the Blues | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Grandsonsam | 2.00 | 2.4 | 4-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Gist | 6.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Gospel Truth | 10.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 2 | True Dominus | 5.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Magna Tap | 8.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Computation | 4.50 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Our Bet | 8.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Ekati’s Hit | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Da Candy Cane | 5.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Always Be Dancin | 6.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | When Judy Calls | 3.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 7 | 7 | La Paradiso Jordan | 4.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Splitsecondecision | 12.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Pacific Theater | 6.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Waldrip | 2.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Big Tap | 2.50 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Slew Skies | 4.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | I Am On the List | 5.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | What the Hey | 15.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Code Eleven | 12.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Yvonne’s Miss | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Chojo | 6.00 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Jade Empire | 4.00 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Brad’s Sweetheart | 4.50 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Total Insanity | 5.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Bossadusu | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 6 (Starter Allowance) – Starter Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Nautical Moon | 10.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Absaroka | 3.00 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Royally | 6.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Deanos Cape | 2.00 | 4 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Charliecando | 2.50 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 6 | United Patriot | 4.50 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Caribbean Beauty | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Happy Sailor | 3.50 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Dixie Penny | 4.50 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Jackie Flash | 6.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Gangster Rap | 12.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Rocket City | 5.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Do You Bileve | 8.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Because | 10.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Varsity | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Runhappy d’Oro | 4.50 | 1.2 | 2-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | I’m Crenshaw | 8.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Mandolin Wind | 6.00 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Kwontro | 12.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Kentucky Peerless | 5.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Pando | 3.50 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Varnished | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 9 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Red Dirt Rich | 4.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Twentyone N Change | 3.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Quality Blastoff | 4.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Smackzilla | 6.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Blueskiesandangels | 12.00 | 4 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | La Batalla | 10.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Chuy Garza Y. G. | 10.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Canonize | 20.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | He Said Wait | 10.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Dancing Devil | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.