Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Fact Or Fiction | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Midnight Love | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | T G I F Alpha | 3.50 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Blackjack and Beer | 30.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Ned | 5.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Puddin Head Jones | 15.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Sir Looking Glass | 12.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Thirsty Gambler | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Elwood Blues | 1.20 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Devilish Desire | 2.50 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Don Corleone | 6.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Sneak a Smile | 8.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Anniversaire d’Or | 15.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Hey Brother | 4.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Tiff With Jimmy | 1.40 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Yvett’s Surprise | 2.50 | 2.4 | 5-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Storming Gray | 3.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Take Caramie | 5.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Fever | 20.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Lights Astern | 10.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Tokamak | 1.60 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Ivory Sky | 5.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 8 | 8 | My Partner Glen | 2.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
| 1 | 1 | I Got a Guy | 3.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Reef City | 15.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Venom | 20.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Diamonds Preferred | 30.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Churchmeister | 20.00 | 7.7 | 14-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Nyquiler | 15.00 | 8.6 | 16-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Aviator Nation | 5.00 | 10 | 19-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Paco’s Pico | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Mike Operator | 3.50 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Egomania | 2.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Signofthecross | 4.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Sol Del Sur | 8.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 4 | 4 | My Indy | 8.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Cornelia Fort | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Issa Court | 2.50 | 1.7 | 3-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Tizzy Twister | 4.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Sweet Hello | 5.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Hot Rod Mama | 6.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Warrior Lady | 12.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Roman Empress | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Red Cross Knight | 4.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Rodrigoknows | 2.50 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Buck Owens | 3.50 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Discretionary Day | 3.50 | 4 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Nolongerahobby | 6.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Star Prospect | 4.50 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Top Gun Tommy | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Lansdowne (GB) | 4.50 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Mongolian Legend | 6.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 6 | El Diablo Rojo | 6.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Head for Business | 8.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Conch Daddy | 8.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Subsidize | 4.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Sonic Brees | 20.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Trusty Rusty | 12.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Starlet S.) – Starlet S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Chatalas | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Nothing Like You | 1.80 | 2.4 | 4-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Grazia | 2.50 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Great Forty Eight | 8.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Pacific Rose | 15.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Flynn’s Chance | 8.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.