Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Prince Prancealot | 0 | 0-1 | |||
| 3 | 3 | Mr. Chivas | 5.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Curlin’s Kaos | 2.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Billy Joe Shaver | 3.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Prince Prancealot | 20.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Travelin’ Show | 3.50 | 6.4 | 12-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Final Storm | 4.50 | 6.7 | 13-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Running Tiger | 12.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | King Zog | 6.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Magnificent Ride | 0.80 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Atta Boy Lloyd | 3.50 | 1.5 | 3-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Bluegrass Ryder | 4.50 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Nahan | 15.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Getemdusty | 10.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 2 | La Paloma Blanca | 1.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Blessed Angel | 3.50 | 1.1 | 2-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Modera | 2.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Sugar Sugar | 10.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Back On the Street | 8.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 98 | Barbera | 0.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Hill Sixteen | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Dark Marcus | 3.50 | 1.5 | 3-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Big Drinker | 5.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | El Rey Dorado | 2.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Rays Regal | 20.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Logon to Win | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 9 | Equipo A | 4.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 7 | 7 | King Adrock | 5.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Kislovodsk | 3.50 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Afternoon Heat | 6.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Mighty Matt | 12.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Crosskirk | 20.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Warrens World | 8.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Divine Feminine | 3.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Agrigento | 12.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 6 | 6 | San Jac | 30.00 | 10 | 19-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Capacity | 6.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Thrust | 1.60 | 2.4 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Smarty Nose | 5.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Beyond Compare | 3.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Chasing Alchemy | 4.50 | 4.5 | 9-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Number One Son | 20.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Won Bid | 8.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Take Action | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Papa Tiger | 3.50 | 1.4 | 3-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Soul of Midnight | 6.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Macnamara | 8.00 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Tangledupingrey | 8.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Eagles Landing | 3.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Road of Love | 12.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Tiz the Tale | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 8 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 7 | Divine Rascal | 8.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | I’m a Lucky Man | 4.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Tom Bombadil | 3.00 | 1.1 | 2-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Missed Call | 8.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Top of My Game | 4.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Brutto | 4.50 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Whoa Buddy | 30.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Sir Flatter | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 98 | John Grey | 0.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 8 | Sai Con (FR) | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.