Gulfstream Park Horse Racing Picks for Thursday, December 7, 2023

Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Carsown 4.50 1 2-1
9 9 Barry the Builder 2.00 1.2 2-1
7 7 Joint Resolution 3.00 2.5 5-1
5 5 Billy Price 10.00 4 7-1
13 13 High Stakes 8.00 4 8-1
3 3 Mr Brizel 6.00 4.3 8-1
11 11 Hari 12.00 5.5 10-1
8 8 Chromotion 30.00 6.3 12-1
6 6 Motown Punk 20.00 6.7 13-1
1 1 Assertive Attitude 20.00 6.8 13-1
2 2 Tizaduke 30.00 7.5 14-1
10 10 Bulletonthecharts 30.00 10.1 19-1
14 14 Royal Fox Hills 12.00 SCRATCH
12 12 Bourbon Clearance 30.00 SCRATCH
15 15 Soupersilverdollar 4.50 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 2 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Anajuliaforever 1.00 1 2-1
5 5 Heaven in Mind 6.00 1.6 3-1
6 6 Kozem 12.00 3.4 7-1
7 7 Special Affair 6.00 4.3 8-1
2 2 Sweet Miss 20.00 5.4 10-1
3 3 Just Take Notes 4.50 6.2 12-1
1 1 Miguel’s Belle 5.00 7 13-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
Game Warden 0 0-1
5 5 Aquarius Moon 3.00 1 2-1
1 1 Malibu Springs 6.00 1.1 2-1
3 3 Game Warden 2.50 1.9 3-1
6 6 Cuore Sacro 6.00 3.2 6-1
7 7 Mwari 3.50 3.5 7-1
2 2 Expert Witness 20.00 3.8 7-1
4 4 Cacciatore 5.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
Money Factor 0 0-1
1 1 Social Engagement 4.00 1 2-1
5 5 Current Situation 1.40 1.1 2-1
6 6 Runaway Breeze 4.50 1.2 2-1
8 8 Dancingwthdaffodls 6.00 1.6 3-1
2 2 Radiant Gem 12.00 3.4 6-1
3 3 Winning At Ease 20.00 3.9 7-1
7 7 Katiesdreamgirl 5.00 8 15-1
4 4 Money Factor 30.00 8 15-1

RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Khozy Colby 1.60 1 2-1
6 6 Dream Diamond 6.00 2.5 5-1
9 9 Lunetta Jak 6.00 4 8-1
7 7 Cajun Anthem 8.00 4.9 9-1
5 5 Mochi Girl 10.00 5.5 10-1
8 8 Nouveau Riche 3.50 5.9 11-1
3 3 Daddy’s Pigeon 15.00 7.2 14-1
4 4 She Can Scat 10.00 7.6 14-1
2 2 Beautifullyperfect 30.00 9 17-1

RACE NUMBER 6 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Siegel (IRE) 3.50 1 2-1
5 5 Tapit Three Times 2.00 1.4 3-1
6 6 Magicshadow 4.00 2.3 4-1
3 3 Rezasrolex 2.50 2.7 5-1
1 1 Severance 8.00 3.2 6-1
7 7 Tenth Mountain 12.00 4.8 9-1
2 2 Flight Catcher 20.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 7 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
Silent Heart 0 0-1
10 10 Muazarah 6.00 1 2-1
11 11 Silent Heart 2.50 1.3 2-1
1 1 Bourbon Boss 8.00 1.5 3-1
3 3 Crash the Gate 4.50 2.4 4-1
7 7 Cacique Abarrio 12.00 3.5 7-1
8 8 Overmars 15.00 3.7 7-1
9 9 Fastest 5.00 4 8-1
5 5 Bee Plus 15.00 7.1 13-1
6 6 Wasamattafoyou 30.00 8.5 16-1
2 2 Soar Richard 12.00 SCRATCH
4 4 Chicago Theatre 10.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 8 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 Emboite (IRE) 2.00 1 2-1
6 6 Sigrun Fast Boy 3.00 2.5 5-1
3 3 Classic Mo Town 2.50 3 6-1
8 8 Truth and Honesty 12.00 4.6 9-1
4 4 King Silvio 5.00 4.8 9-1
5 5 Opposites Attract 10.00 5.4 10-1
1 1 Media Sensation 20.00 6.9 13-1
2 2 Chacharero 30.00 8 15-1

RACE NUMBER 9 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Bourbon Breeze 1.80 1 2-1
2 2 Kiss 8.00 2.7 5-1
7 7 Lincoln Park 4.50 4.5 8-1
5 5 Fiona’s Magic 2.00 5 9-1
1 1 Sweet Hazely 6.00 5.1 10-1
3 3 Quimichis 10.00 6.9 13-1
4 4 Contessa’s Song 15.00 7 13-1

RACE NUMBER 10 (Maiden Optional Claiming) – Maiden Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Cumberland 3.00 1 2-1
4 4 He’s a Lucky Guy 6.00 1.5 3-1
7 7 Flat Top Box 2.50 2.1 4-1
2 2 Blind Eye 10.00 2.4 4-1
5 5 Song On the Radio 10.00 2.6 5-1
3 3 For the Chief 6.00 3.6 7-1
1 1 Don’t Answer 20.00 3.7 7-1
9 9 Sixwillberich 20.00 3.9 7-1
10 10 Trustme Iamadoctor 20.00 6.4 12-1
8 8 Caspian Sea (GB) 6.00 SCRATCH

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.