Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Overanalytical | 1.80 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Chi Town Hustler | 2.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Seeking Sawyer | 4.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Lupo’s Legacy | 10.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Charlie’s Creed | 3.50 | 5 | 9-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Payoff Cycle | 6.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | My Lil Dude | 2.00 | 1.1 | 2-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Main Dude | 3.50 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Stone Alliance | 8.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Rock Star Alex | 4.50 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Swift N Traffic | 6.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Shady Grady | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Skinny Bobby | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Craken Jax | 4.50 | 1.5 | 3-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Hangin’ Tuff | 3.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Muncle | 6.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Takeover Fiftyfour | 8.00 | 4 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Not Likely | 8.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Cajun Mischief | 8.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Speightful One | 8.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Butler Cabin | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Win Worthy | 4.50 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Clarestown | 8.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Jrue Breeze | 8.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | My Romeo Lima | 4.50 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Flawless Ruler | 4.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Of the Moment | 8.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Sword Zorro (IRE) | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Family Creed | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Forsaken | 4.50 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Yankee Humor | 6.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Gunner Bay | 10.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Ghent | 5.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Flat Out American | 4.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Cartographer | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Liquid Addiction (IRE) | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Billy’s Got Issues | 3.50 | 1.2 | 2-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Sir Liam | 8.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | El Perfecto | 4.50 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Under Surveillance | 8.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Lookin At Betty | 20.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Summer Lover | 10.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | El Mucho | 8.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | He Gots to Go | 8.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Single Ruler | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Clear as a Bele | 4.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Star Redemption | 10.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Hardly Able | 12.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Macho Beanie | 12.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Duvee | 6.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Calibrachoa Kid | 5.00 | 7.7 | 15-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Ranch Badge | 8.00 | 8.7 | 16-1 |
| 2 | 2 | George Allen | 12.00 | 8.9 | 17-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Guitar Doctor | 8.00 | 9.1 | 17-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Tambourine Star | 5.00 | 10.3 | 19-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Big Boo | 15.00 | 11 | 21-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | 12 | Straight and Level | 4.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Gilded Ruler | 6.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Battle Scars | 8.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Son of a Birch | 5.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Western Command | 8.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Startonahighnote | 12.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Simple Logic | 4.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Mesa Spirit | 12.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Charging | 6.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Monjid | 15.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Proud Civilian | 6.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | More Than Five | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 9 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 9 | Crossing Iris | 8.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Marvins’ Posse | 8.00 | 1.4 | 3-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Cajun Connection | 15.00 | 1.4 | 3-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Mucho Bueno | 4.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Double On the Red | 8.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Mysterious Spirit | 15.00 | 1.9 | 3-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Run On Aces | 8.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Snakebit | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 7 | My Pal Sweet | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | Tonteria | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.