Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | 14 | Sharp Shot | 1.20 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Master of Disguise | 3.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Express Cruiser | 8.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Summer in Aiken | 4.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Don’t Stop | 8.00 | 9.2 | 17-1 |
| 8 | 8 | The Rush Is On | 20.00 | 9.5 | 18-1 |
| 10 | 10 | King Bukele | 15.00 | 9.8 | 19-1 |
| 12 | 12 | Camilas Warrior | 15.00 | 10.4 | 20-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Petingas Twin | 5.00 | 12.1 | 23-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Dancing Noah | 15.00 | 12.4 | 23-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Tagliatelle | 12.00 | 12.5 | 24-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Palhaco | 8.00 | 13.2 | 25-1 |
| 13 | 13 | Mirage | 8.00 | 13.6 | 26-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Pilot Mountain | 12.00 | 14 | 26-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 9 | Promisemeanempire | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Aaralyn | 8.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Up On the Edge | 2.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Lost Love | 20.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Roselee May | 3.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Cheyenne Moon | 12.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Kentuckyterminator | 12.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Bright Lady Day | 20.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
| 4 | 4 | You Proof | 10.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Methodology | 4.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Lakeside Music | 20.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Mighty Madison | 3.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Yes Day | 12.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Unstable Princess | 8.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Malibu Smart | 12.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 8 | 8 | H. T. Xena | 8.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Dear Lady | 3.50 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Devil Blue Dress | 4.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Wellareyouhappynow | 20.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Alpine Princess | 6.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Buttercream Babe | 5.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Copper Em | 6.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Sistina Chapel | 8.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 |
| 12 | 12 | Pharoah’s Wine | 4.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 11 | 11 | April’s Diamante | 15.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Falabella | 20.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Gigi’s World | 30.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Cairo Street | 10.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 |
| 13 | 13 | Late Nite Lizzie | 30.00 | 8.9 | 17-1 |
| 14 | 14 | Toasted Roll | 5.00 | 9.5 | 18-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Celtic Charm | 4.50 | 12.4 | 23-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Reagan’s Flame | 8.00 | 14 | 26-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Emperador | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Bolshie | 12.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | River Boy | 3.50 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Commando Joe | 20.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Must Be Love | 4.50 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Stand for Freedom | 3.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Tropic Storm | 6.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Ready Pursuit | 20.00 | 7.7 | 14-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Criminal Defense | 20.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | 11 | Cactus Flower | 12.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Varton | 6.00 | 1.1 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Donya Know It | 4.00 | 1.2 | 2-1 |
| 9 | 9 | O’Babe | 15.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Charge Account | 3.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 10 | 10 | La V. | 3.50 | 6.4 | 12-1 |
| 4 | 4 | My My Munny | 15.00 | 8.8 | 17-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Elia | 20.00 | 9.5 | 18-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Lookin Royal | 30.00 | 9.8 | 19-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Everyotherwon | 12.00 | 10.4 | 20-1 |
| 7 | 7 | She Dazzle | 6.00 | 11.9 | 22-1 |
| 12 | 12 | Future Flay | 30.00 | 12 | 23-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Forced Ranking | 4.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Zambezi | 4.50 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 9 | 9 | B Sudd | 10.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Laver | 10.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Bourbon Resolve | 6.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Spend Benjamins | 5.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Fan the Fire | 15.00 | 8.8 | 17-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Arro Smash | 3.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Showdown King | 12.00 | 9.9 | 19-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Juilliard | 12.00 | 10 | 19-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Bowstreet | 4.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Vesture | 6.00 | 8.6 | 16-1 |
| 14 | 14 | Yell County | 20.00 | 9.9 | 19-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Head Lad | 20.00 | 12.1 | 23-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Hall of Fame | 3.00 | 12.7 | 24-1 |
| 1 | 1 | J J’s Ranger | 12.00 | 14 | 26-1 |
| 15 | 15 | Dimatic | 8.00 | 14 | 26-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Redeposit | 10.00 | 14.1 | 27-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Ask Arthur | 20.00 | 14.5 | 27-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Ghostly Spitfire | 15.00 | 14.7 | 28-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Box Office | 4.50 | 14.8 | 28-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Wind Rider | 15.00 | 14.8 | 28-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Riverwalk | 10.00 | 15.1 | 29-1 |
| 12 | 12 | Frio River | 12.00 | 16 | 30-1 |
| 13 | 13 | Kykeon | 20.00 | 16 | 30-1 |
| 16 | 16 | Hold Out | 12.00 | 16 | 30-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Briterdayzahead | 12.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Bromley | 12.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Cyclone Mischief | 3.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Act a Fool | 12.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Wico (IRE) | 2.50 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Promise Me a Ride | 3.50 | 6.7 | 13-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Denington | 4.50 | 7.2 | 14-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Curly Jack | 10.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 10 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Traegar | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Giant Mischief | 2.50 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Kupuna | 5.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Osbourne | 5.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Payne | 10.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Go West | 15.00 | 7.7 | 15-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Minnesota Ready | 8.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Shooters Shoot | 15.00 | 8.1 | 15-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Friar Laurence | 20.00 | 8.8 | 17-1 |
| 7 | 7 | C F V Bullet | 20.00 | 10 | 19-1 |
RACE NUMBER 11 (Commonwealth Turf S.) – Commonwealth Turf S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 | 15 | J. P. Race | 30.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Northern Invader | 3.00 | 1.2 | 2-1 |
| 13 | 13 | Clyde’s Got a Gun | 15.00 | 1.4 | 3-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Irish Aces | 8.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Runaway Storm | 3.50 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Anglophile | 12.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Gigante | 10.00 | 4 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Smokey Mandate | 8.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Worthington | 20.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Winters Lion | 20.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Bal a Kazoo | 20.00 | 5 | 10-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Ohana Honor | 6.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
| 12 | 12 | Lincoln Highway | 12.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Santorini | 10.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
| 14 | 14 | Wild Sean | 30.00 | 15 | 28-1 |
RACE NUMBER 12 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 | 15 | Reactive | 15.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 14 | 14 | Wicked Beautiful | 20.00 | 1.3 | 2-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Sassy Walker | 15.00 | 1.4 | 3-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Fast N Happy | 6.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 13 | 13 | Toffee | 10.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Rita’s Onthe Beach | 8.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Beautiful Bolt | 15.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Rubia | 8.00 | 9.1 | 17-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Misintention | 10.00 | 9.6 | 18-1 |
| 5 | 5 | A Dollar a Day | 20.00 | 10.4 | 20-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Victorious | 4.00 | 12.5 | 24-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Bourbon to Blame | 4.50 | 13.6 | 26-1 |
| 12 | 12 | Lisa’s Nonno | 8.00 | 13.7 | 26-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Missile | 10.00 | 14 | 26-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Johanny | 10.00 | 15 | 28-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.