Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | 13 | Tireless | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Publius | 5.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 16 | 16 | Mo Caliente | 5.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Bourbon’s Fault | 6.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 14 | 14 | Sheriff Joe | 6.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Vivaldi | 4.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 |
| 12 | 12 | Raguel | 5.00 | 8.2 | 15-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Gamblin George | 12.00 | 9.2 | 17-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Phreddie Mac | 12.00 | 10.3 | 19-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Mandatory Meeting | 8.00 | 10.4 | 20-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Higginsville | 15.00 | 11.6 | 22-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Melee | 12.00 | 12.6 | 24-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Live to Ride (GB) | 4.50 | 12.6 | 24-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Tuscany’s Eagle | 20.00 | 13.7 | 26-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Noahs Ark | 30.00 | 15 | 28-1 |
| 15 | 15 | Finn McSorley | 8.00 | 16 | 30-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | El Magnifico | 4.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 12 | 12 | Top of the Street | 10.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 15 | 15 | Vesture | 4.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Rocketeightyeight | 15.00 | 7.7 | 15-1 |
| 16 | 16 | Drobny | 12.00 | 8.4 | 16-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Daily Grind | 12.00 | 10.3 | 19-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Linebacker | 3.00 | 11.1 | 21-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Legalize | 3.50 | 12.3 | 23-1 |
| 13 | 13 | Riverwalk | 10.00 | 12.8 | 24-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Military Cruiser | 8.00 | 13.3 | 25-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Gold Search | 15.00 | 13.7 | 26-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Full Armor | 15.00 | 14.4 | 27-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Smackover Lime | 12.00 | 14.5 | 27-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Anthem King | 20.00 | 14.9 | 28-1 |
| 14 | 14 | Kissthemoon | 12.00 | 15.9 | 30-1 |
| 4 | 4 | San Siro | 15.00 | 16 | 30-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Lagynos | 4.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Gorilla Trek | 5.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Steeler Mischief | 20.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Footprint | 6.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 12 | 12 | Tifareeh | 6.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Depiction | 3.50 | 7.2 | 14-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Good Bali | 20.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Time Song | 12.00 | 8.5 | 16-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Aspenite | 6.00 | 9.6 | 18-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Mission Ready | 30.00 | 10.1 | 19-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Thomas Aquinas | 10.00 | 10.8 | 20-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Legal Titan | 30.00 | 12 | 23-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 9 | Asternia | 20.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Our Keepsake | 15.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 13 | 13 | Kenwick | 20.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Autumn Chill | 10.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Floored | 20.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Zadorsky | 6.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Wee Bit O Mischief | 20.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Lookster | 4.50 | 8.8 | 17-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Mo Sense | 20.00 | 10.7 | 20-1 |
| 12 | 12 | Balladry | 30.00 | 10.7 | 20-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Tarifa | 2.50 | 11.6 | 22-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Denim and Pearls | 5.00 | 11.7 | 22-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Ice Cold | 5.00 | 13 | 25-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 | 16 | Lady Moscato | 5.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 12 | 12 | Perfect Shot | 3.50 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Legal Deceiver | 15.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Takethesilver | 12.00 | 8.2 | 15-1 |
| 14 | 14 | Fun Loving | 20.00 | 8.3 | 16-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Irina’s Charm | 3.00 | 8.5 | 16-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Flight to Paris | 6.00 | 9.5 | 18-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Shiloh’s Mistress | 15.00 | 10.1 | 19-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Mishka | 4.00 | 10.2 | 19-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Little Jamie | 20.00 | 12.2 | 23-1 |
| 15 | 15 | Viable | 15.00 | 13.4 | 25-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Oh My Mia | 20.00 | 13.9 | 26-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Just a Coed | 8.00 | 14.2 | 27-1 |
| 13 | 13 | Churning Berni | 20.00 | 15.9 | 30-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Winnable | 15.00 | 15.9 | 30-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Streetwhereyoulive | 20.00 | 16 | 30-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Pendulum | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 13 | 13 | Pin Up Betty | 6.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Yammy Yammy Bella | 30.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Floribunda | 2.50 | 7.9 | 15-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Round the Town | 10.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Dazzlin’ Dictator | 10.00 | 8.4 | 16-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Speak Up | 10.00 | 9.3 | 18-1 |
| 15 | 15 | Magic Gathering | 12.00 | 11.2 | 21-1 |
| 16 | 16 | Its Satisfactual | 12.00 | 12 | 23-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Willowy | 20.00 | 12.1 | 23-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Contour | 10.00 | 13.2 | 25-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Washashore | 5.00 | 13.4 | 25-1 |
| 12 | 12 | Band of Gold | 12.00 | 15.2 | 29-1 |
| 14 | 14 | Egyptian Candy | 3.00 | 15.2 | 29-1 |
| 6 | 6 | My Sexy Blonde | 20.00 | 15.9 | 30-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Luminous Ruler | 30.00 | 16 | 30-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Vitement | 12.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Informed Patriot | 3.00 | 1.2 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Who Dey | 10.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 12 | 12 | Market Street | 20.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Candymaker | 15.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Barksdale | 20.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Triple Trea | 12.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Mystik Dan | 4.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Mi Oscuro Secreto | 30.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Bergen | 3.50 | 8.2 | 15-1 |
| 10 | 10 | The Process | 8.00 | 8.5 | 16-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Knicks Storm | 10.00 | 12 | 23-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | 11 | Top Gun Rocket | 4.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Track Phantom | 3.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Lat Long | 4.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
| 5 | 5 | D Day Sky | 10.00 | 8.6 | 16-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Greers Ferry | 15.00 | 8.8 | 17-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Lou’s Legacy | 15.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
| 14 | 14 | Yell County | 20.00 | 9.1 | 17-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Wistucky | 10.00 | 9.8 | 19-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Stop the Press | 10.00 | 11.8 | 22-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Domingo | 12.00 | 12.3 | 23-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Surf City | 12.00 | 12.6 | 24-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Mr. Faversham | 20.00 | 12.9 | 24-1 |
| 13 | 13 | Hall of Fame | 8.00 | 13.3 | 25-1 |
| 12 | 12 | Droptop Caddy | 10.00 | 14 | 26-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Ed Brown S.) – Ed Brown S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Molly’s Town | 12.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Just Steel | 6.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Divieto | 8.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Normandy Hero | 5.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Agoo | 6.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Bye Bye Liam | 8.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Gabarra | 15.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Bowstreet | 10.00 | 8.2 | 16-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Booth | 1.40 | 9 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 10 (Golden Rod S.) – Golden Rod S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | West Sunset | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Gin Gin | 8.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Central Avenue | 5.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Thorpedo Anna | 1.60 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Intricate | 6.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Here’s the Spider | 30.00 | 6.6 | 13-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Dozen Diamonds | 20.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Purloin | 10.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 11 (Kentucky Jockey Club S.) – Kentucky Jockey Club S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Risk It | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Stretch Ride | 3.00 | 1.1 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Awesome Road | 3.50 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Honor Marie | 8.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Dancing Groom | 10.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Nomos | 12.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Real Men Violin | 5.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 |
| 8 | 8 | One Red Cent | 20.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 12 (Fern Creek S.) – Fern Creek S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Youalmosthadme | 1.60 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Sharp Tune | 6.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Saratoga Secret | 12.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 12 | 12 | Irish Maxima | 12.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Bella Haze | 12.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Wellareyouhappynow | 30.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Pinotslilgirl | 30.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Fibber | 15.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Field Lass | 10.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Talkin in Cursive | 30.00 | 10.9 | 21-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Halina’s Forte | 2.50 | 11 | 21-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Ma Rae’s Girl | 20.00 | 12 | 23-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.