Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
2 |
2 |
Reaux Bina |
4.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
4 |
4 |
Surrey |
3.50 |
1.4 |
3-1 |
7 |
7 |
Destiny’s Grace |
4.50 |
3.4 |
7-1 |
5 |
5 |
Bold Exaggeration |
8.00 |
3.9 |
7-1 |
3 |
3 |
Adayinspain |
2.50 |
4 |
8-1 |
1 |
1 |
Irish Molly |
10.00 |
5.3 |
10-1 |
6 |
6 |
Run Bambi Run |
6.00 |
7 |
13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
5 |
5 |
Leprechaun Charm |
5.00 |
SCRATCH |
7 |
7 |
Oochie |
3.50 |
3.4 |
6-1 |
4 |
4 |
Miss Charge It |
2.50 |
4.8 |
9-1 |
2 |
2 |
Sheza Cat |
4.00 |
5.9 |
11-1 |
1 |
1 |
Angel and Me |
8.00 |
6.6 |
12-1 |
3 |
3 |
Mave Runner |
8.00 |
7 |
13-1 |
6 |
6 |
Old School Flash |
6.00 |
7 |
13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
3 |
3 |
Tarkington Girl |
5.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
5 |
5 |
Hey You |
6.00 |
2.5 |
5-1 |
7 |
7 |
Gap Daddy |
6.00 |
3.1 |
6-1 |
6 |
6 |
Long Shot Louise |
3.00 |
3.2 |
6-1 |
9 |
9 |
Honest Deal |
10.00 |
3.4 |
6-1 |
8 |
8 |
Jennysbigbaby |
4.50 |
3.7 |
7-1 |
10 |
10 |
Whorl Girl |
8.00 |
3.7 |
7-1 |
4 |
4 |
Scrappy |
20.00 |
4.9 |
9-1 |
2 |
2 |
St. Francis of La. |
12.00 |
6.1 |
11-1 |
1 |
1 |
Starry Starry Day |
20.00 |
7.5 |
14-1 |
11 |
11 |
Share the Doe |
20.00 |
SCRATCH |
12 |
12 |
Tensas Clear |
20.00 |
SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
2 |
2 |
Magic Glass |
3.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
9 |
9 |
Friendly Aces |
6.00 |
2.1 |
4-1 |
7 |
7 |
Acela Express |
10.00 |
3.2 |
6-1 |
6 |
6 |
California Belle |
8.00 |
4.4 |
8-1 |
4 |
4 |
Little Z |
10.00 |
4.7 |
9-1 |
10 |
10 |
Black Ace |
5.00 |
4.7 |
9-1 |
5 |
5 |
Sue’s Little Zing |
10.00 |
5.1 |
10-1 |
8 |
8 |
High Donna |
3.50 |
6.2 |
12-1 |
3 |
3 |
Ms. Priestly |
20.00 |
6.3 |
12-1 |
1 |
1 |
That You Margaret |
20.00 |
6.8 |
13-1 |
11 |
11 |
Layla’s Song |
4.00 |
SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
5 |
5 |
Troska |
2.50 |
1 |
2-1 |
3 |
3 |
Marina |
4.50 |
1.8 |
3-1 |
9 |
9 |
Sho Nuff |
10.00 |
2.8 |
5-1 |
2 |
2 |
Run Away Samari |
3.50 |
3.5 |
7-1 |
7 |
7 |
Boston Belle |
15.00 |
5.7 |
11-1 |
10 |
10 |
Savannah’s Here |
8.00 |
7.6 |
14-1 |
6 |
6 |
Sweet Stormy Elle |
6.00 |
7.8 |
15-1 |
1 |
1 |
Tenpins Tempest |
10.00 |
8.5 |
16-1 |
4 |
4 |
Don’t Look Ethel |
20.00 |
SCRATCH |
8 |
8 |
Respect All |
20.00 |
10 |
19-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
3 |
3 |
Doctor Leo |
4.50 |
1 |
2-1 |
5 |
5 |
Venn |
3.50 |
1.9 |
4-1 |
4 |
4 |
Jack Bob and Larry |
10.00 |
2.7 |
5-1 |
1 |
1 |
Guitar Slim |
8.00 |
3.1 |
6-1 |
6 |
6 |
Veterans Day |
12.00 |
3.9 |
7-1 |
7 |
7 |
Touchdown Joe |
6.00 |
4.7 |
9-1 |
8 |
8 |
Ballinonabudjet |
2.50 |
4.8 |
9-1 |
2 |
2 |
Monarch’s Mischief |
8.00 |
6 |
11-1 |
9 |
9 |
Seehoss |
20.00 |
9 |
17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
1 |
1 |
Gracie Diamond |
5.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
2 |
2 |
Ring Twice |
3.00 |
1.2 |
2-1 |
7 |
7 |
Lightning Hart |
10.00 |
2.5 |
5-1 |
9 |
9 |
Cant Attack Arch |
15.00 |
2.6 |
5-1 |
4 |
4 |
Flat Out Rose |
8.00 |
3.5 |
7-1 |
8 |
8 |
Allotrope |
6.00 |
3.8 |
7-1 |
5 |
5 |
Firey Emblem |
4.00 |
3.9 |
7-1 |
6 |
6 |
Frosted Diamond |
5.00 |
5.2 |
10-1 |
3 |
3 |
Atomic Rose |
12.00 |
9 |
17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
10 |
10 |
Ever a Rebel |
4.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
6 |
6 |
My Crazy Neighbor |
6.00 |
2.1 |
4-1 |
9 |
9 |
Thirsty Pappy |
3.00 |
2.7 |
5-1 |
1 |
1 |
Mazing Mark |
4.50 |
2.8 |
5-1 |
3 |
3 |
Summer Lover |
6.00 |
2.9 |
5-1 |
8 |
8 |
First Class Harlow |
10.00 |
3.9 |
7-1 |
5 |
5 |
Uxmal |
10.00 |
4.7 |
9-1 |
7 |
7 |
Optimal Trip |
12.00 |
5.6 |
11-1 |
2 |
2 |
Taraashoq |
20.00 |
7.6 |
14-1 |
4 |
4 |
Flying Houdini |
20.00 |
SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
7 |
7 |
Whiskey Red |
8.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
4 |
4 |
Monolith |
3.00 |
1.1 |
2-1 |
2 |
2 |
Midnight Crown |
4.00 |
3 |
6-1 |
6 |
6 |
Nephi |
20.00 |
3.1 |
6-1 |
5 |
5 |
Valley Mischief |
6.00 |
4.8 |
9-1 |
3 |
3 |
Chamois’ Empire |
10.00 |
5.3 |
10-1 |
1 |
1 |
My Uncle Billy |
4.50 |
5.6 |
11-1 |
9 |
9 |
R T’s Iron Man |
6.00 |
6.6 |
12-1 |
10 |
10 |
Camaleon |
20.00 |
7.3 |
14-1 |
8 |
8 |
Valid Early |
20.00 |
7.7 |
15-1 |
12 |
12 |
All Together |
6.00 |
SCRATCH |
11 |
11 |
Tapit Twice |
12.00 |
SCRATCH |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.