Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Enclosure | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Vanished | 1.80 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Medaglia Forever | 1.20 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Shirl’s Delight | 12.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Raggity Sand | 12.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Starter Allowance) – Starter Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Implementation | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Tee Burns | 8.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Prisoner | 1.60 | 4.5 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Don’t Wait Up | 15.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Vulcan | 8.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Nifty | 6.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Group Eighteen | 12.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Solidify | 8.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Quebrancho | 6.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Stone Harbor | 5.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Brilliant Man | 10.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 5 | 5 | B Wayne | 1.60 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Mor Jazz | 15.00 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Action Hero | 2.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Gotta Have Dreams | 8.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| Stone Harbor | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Belperron | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | The Princess Says | 4.50 | 1.1 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Summer of Mischief | 2.50 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Ruby Foo | 10.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Jennifer My Love | 3.50 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Code for Success | 5.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Royal Blood | 12.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Princess Is Olivia | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Mischief Jac | 8.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Shezthefactor | 4.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Pam Pam | 5.00 | 7.7 | 15-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Miss Jeopardy | 10.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Pounce | 10.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Evocation | 20.00 | 8.9 | 17-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Splash Master | 10.00 | 9.8 | 19-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Mahjong Girl | 12.00 | 10.1 | 19-1 |
| 13 | 13 | Safecracker Sue | 15.00 | 10.7 | 20-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Rybakina | 12.00 | 10.8 | 20-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Sybarite | 20.00 | 10.8 | 20-1 |
| 12 | 12 | The Big Calhouna | 12.00 | 13 | 25-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Faithful King | 6.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Treaty | 2.50 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Yono | 3.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Mohaafeth | 6.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Liam the Brave | 8.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Schmoozin | 8.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Carmichael | 8.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Cox Canyon | 12.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Shakin Loose | 6.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | High Headed | 12.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Yo Banana Boy | 5.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Danner | 12.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Goldbrick | 8.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Famous Final Scene | 15.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Carbone | 4.50 | 7.6 | 14-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Miyagi | 3.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Decatur Street | 8.00 | 8.4 | 16-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Moonlight Road | 10.00 | 10 | 19-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 9 | Rarify | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Little Mombo | 3.50 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Kick a Rhyme (IRE) | 4.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Numero Seis | 8.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Just a Care (IRE) | 3.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Proud Mary | 8.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Firing Bullets | 10.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 |
| 12 | 12 | Little Blaze | 8.00 | 10.9 | 21-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Yolanda Who | 20.00 | 11.2 | 21-1 |
| 13 | 13 | Ruthless Rua | 10.00 | 11.8 | 22-1 |
| 14 | 14 | Souper Explosive | 4.00 | 12.2 | 23-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Mornin’ Boss | 20.00 | 13.1 | 25-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Devine Charger | 12.00 | 14 | 26-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Happy Am I | 15.00 | 14 | 26-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Know Who You Are | 10.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Cash Only | 3.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Coastal Brink | 6.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Jacked | 4.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Tis Charming | 3.50 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Manfredi | 15.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Midnight Maestro | 15.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Cathy’s Boy | 8.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Runnin Munnin | 10.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Karlwithanarl | 15.00 | 10 | 19-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.