Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
6 |
6 |
Rainbow Angel |
5.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
9 |
9 |
Short Stretch |
4.00 |
1.4 |
3-1 |
10 |
10 |
Keen Intention |
3.50 |
2.9 |
5-1 |
3 |
3 |
Da Last Tequila |
12.00 |
4 |
8-1 |
1 |
1 |
Sarah Express Y G |
8.00 |
4.4 |
8-1 |
4 |
4 |
Holy Ama |
15.00 |
5.2 |
10-1 |
5 |
5 |
Posse Cat |
15.00 |
6.5 |
12-1 |
8 |
8 |
Astern Maid |
6.00 |
7.6 |
14-1 |
11 |
11 |
Gospel Extra |
20.00 |
7.7 |
15-1 |
7 |
7 |
Paula M |
15.00 |
8.4 |
16-1 |
2 |
2 |
Mamie D |
15.00 |
10.2 |
19-1 |
12 |
12 |
Red Rose Cafe |
15.00 |
12 |
23-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
1 |
1 |
Liars Club |
10.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
5 |
5 |
Kentucky Peerless |
3.50 |
1.3 |
3-1 |
4 |
4 |
Deanos Cape |
2.50 |
1.7 |
3-1 |
8 |
8 |
Move Over (GB) |
3.00 |
3.2 |
6-1 |
2 |
2 |
Nomoremrniceguy |
6.00 |
4.9 |
9-1 |
3 |
3 |
Passthecat |
20.00 |
5.7 |
11-1 |
9 |
9 |
Goose Drank Wine |
15.00 |
6 |
11-1 |
10 |
10 |
Waverunner |
20.00 |
6 |
11-1 |
6 |
6 |
Chocolateicecream |
20.00 |
SCRATCH |
7 |
7 |
Win for Fun |
20.00 |
SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
7 |
7 |
Searchin Safari |
6.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
3 |
3 |
Skyflyer |
8.00 |
3.6 |
7-1 |
2 |
2 |
Computation |
0.80 |
3.7 |
7-1 |
5 |
5 |
Franz |
4.50 |
4 |
7-1 |
4 |
4 |
Dens Deville |
20.00 |
4.4 |
8-1 |
6 |
6 |
Bold Excaper |
12.00 |
5.3 |
10-1 |
1 |
1 |
Prince Carolina J |
5.00 |
SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
7 |
7 |
Over Blinged |
1.20 |
1 |
2-1 |
2 |
2 |
Anna Up |
6.00 |
2.2 |
4-1 |
5 |
5 |
Unbridled Kisses |
4.50 |
2.4 |
5-1 |
4 |
4 |
Kona Kinley |
4.00 |
3.4 |
6-1 |
3 |
3 |
Full Moon Beach |
12.00 |
3.5 |
7-1 |
6 |
6 |
Amber’s Diamond |
8.00 |
5.5 |
10-1 |
1 |
1 |
Miss You No More |
8.00 |
SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
2 |
2 |
Unrestricted |
10.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
5 |
5 |
Thundershook |
4.50 |
1.3 |
2-1 |
3 |
3 |
California Swing |
4.00 |
1.9 |
4-1 |
7 |
7 |
Inca Empire |
6.00 |
2.1 |
4-1 |
6 |
6 |
Shamayim |
3.00 |
2.7 |
5-1 |
4 |
4 |
Gospel Musketeer |
10.00 |
4.5 |
9-1 |
1 |
1 |
Absaroka |
2.00 |
SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
1 |
1 |
Crow’s Nest |
4.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
5 |
5 |
Ronic |
8.00 |
1.7 |
3-1 |
4 |
4 |
Spin Wheel |
6.00 |
2 |
4-1 |
3 |
3 |
Mandolin Wind |
10.00 |
2.1 |
4-1 |
8 |
8 |
Glendale |
1.60 |
3.2 |
6-1 |
7 |
7 |
Jim Ned |
10.00 |
4.2 |
8-1 |
6 |
6 |
Accrual |
4.50 |
4.3 |
8-1 |
2 |
2 |
Super Prospector |
15.00 |
SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
5 |
5 |
Commander Rex |
2.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
4 |
4 |
Promise Code |
5.00 |
2.5 |
5-1 |
3 |
3 |
Kentucky Ice |
6.00 |
3.3 |
6-1 |
2 |
2 |
El Smooch |
8.00 |
3.5 |
7-1 |
1 |
1 |
Fridaynightsoldier |
15.00 |
4.2 |
8-1 |
10 |
10 |
Xkuz |
15.00 |
5.9 |
11-1 |
6 |
6 |
Abes Day |
15.00 |
6.9 |
13-1 |
8 |
8 |
Native Moonshine |
20.00 |
7.9 |
15-1 |
7 |
7 |
Smokey Story |
4.00 |
SCRATCH |
9 |
9 |
Silver Stef Hit |
12.00 |
SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
7 |
7 |
Tigers ‘n Bears |
4.50 |
1 |
2-1 |
6 |
6 |
Wish Man |
4.00 |
1.5 |
3-1 |
9 |
9 |
True and Ready |
3.50 |
2.1 |
4-1 |
4 |
4 |
Third Street |
6.00 |
2.4 |
4-1 |
3 |
3 |
Bell Dozer |
12.00 |
4.3 |
8-1 |
5 |
5 |
Unbridled Bling |
10.00 |
4.4 |
8-1 |
8 |
8 |
Storm Catcher |
5.00 |
4.6 |
9-1 |
2 |
2 |
Ozzies Wings Y G |
10.00 |
5.4 |
10-1 |
1 |
1 |
Super Renzo |
8.00 |
SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
1 |
1 |
Our Moon Pie |
2.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
4 |
4 |
Soul Sacrifice |
4.00 |
1.5 |
3-1 |
3 |
3 |
La Batalla |
5.00 |
2.9 |
5-1 |
2 |
2 |
Quality Blastoff |
3.00 |
3.5 |
7-1 |
7 |
7 |
You’reobadboy |
12.00 |
3.8 |
7-1 |
5 |
5 |
Forty Strangers |
6.00 |
6.7 |
13-1 |
6 |
6 |
Canonize |
10.00 |
7 |
13-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.