Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Starter Allowance) – Starter Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | P H Factor | 6.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Tiger Moon | 2.00 | 1.3 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Indian Gulch | 3.50 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Secret Pocket | 4.00 | 2.4 | 4-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Best of Greeley | 5.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Man On the Moon | 4.50 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Fashion Rage | 4.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Altered Shot | 2.00 | 1.1 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Megan’s Clara | 2.50 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Dealing Justice | 4.50 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Backyard Money | 8.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Need Some Money | 6.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Ice Time | 4.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Alexander Helios | 2.50 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Tiz Wicked Strong | 5.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Treble Clef | 4.50 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Ben Franklin | 3.50 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Bearings | 6.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Game Keeper | 12.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | 11 | Luz Divina | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 14 | 14 | Whimsically | 2.50 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Fundamentally | 6.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Yes to Champagne | 6.00 | 8.2 | 15-1 |
| 13 | 13 | Stephanieswarrior | 30.00 | 8.4 | 16-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Neom Beach | 2.50 | 9.4 | 18-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Butterfly Queen | 3.50 | 9.7 | 18-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Adrasteia | 12.00 | 10.2 | 19-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Kiss Blue | 10.00 | 11 | 21-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Fantastical | 8.00 | 11.2 | 21-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Its Satisfactual | 12.00 | 11.5 | 22-1 |
| 10 | 10 | On the Nile | 8.00 | 11.6 | 22-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Voice From Above | 15.00 | 12 | 23-1 |
| 12 | 12 | Magic Gathering | 20.00 | 14 | 26-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Starter Allowance) – Starter Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Hurry Hurry | 1.80 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | What’s Up Doc | 6.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Inexorable | 1.60 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 1 | 1 | St. Elmo | 5.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Southern Crush | 15.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Luna Vieja | 5.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| Inexorable | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Crushed Ice | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Itsablingthing | 4.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Vicki Rose | 3.50 | 2.4 | 4-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Icicles | 2.50 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Market Profile | 10.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Ladan | 10.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Dream On Stormy | 12.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Alwaysgototheparty | 12.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | 10 | Poblano | 1.80 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Pigalle | 4.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | New Beat | 6.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Tower Bridge | 12.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Flashy Lass | 3.50 | 5 | 10-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Let’s Duet | 12.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Dear Lady | 15.00 | 7.7 | 15-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Lexa | 12.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Her Ladyship | 15.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Queen of Missoula | 20.00 | 10 | 19-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Granato | 8.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Tales of Home | 5.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Current Climate | 3.50 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 3 | 3 | American Starlet | 4.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Lady Goldstart | 2.50 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
| 4 | 4 | High Class | 4.00 | 6.6 | 13-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Laura’s Charm | 8.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Cora Pearl | 20.00 | 8.5 | 16-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Trouble Making | 20.00 | 9.4 | 18-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Miner’s Queen | 20.00 | 9.8 | 19-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Frango Electrico | 30.00 | 11 | 21-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | 12 | Controlled Temper | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Spiritual Lady | 8.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Sweet Mimi | 3.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Sister Ella | 4.00 | 8.5 | 16-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Contrabbanda | 10.00 | 10 | 19-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Sing a Little Song | 15.00 | 10 | 19-1 |
| 13 | 13 | You’re Forever | 12.00 | 10 | 19-1 |
| 14 | 14 | Tappin Into Genius | 15.00 | 10.2 | 19-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Mydixielanddelight | 12.00 | 10.3 | 19-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Windy Walk | 20.00 | 10.9 | 21-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Up the Creek | 12.00 | 10.9 | 21-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Classic Mystery | 12.00 | 11 | 21-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Iuka Miss | 20.00 | 11.1 | 21-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Marco Sunset | 15.00 | 11.1 | 21-1 |
| Up the Creek | 16 | 30-1 | |||
| Sweet Mimi | 16 | 30-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.