Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Grazia | 0 | 0-1 | |||
| 1 | 1 | She’s a Tempest | 8.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Girl of My Dreams | 3.00 | 1.4 | 3-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Grazia | 1.20 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Air Force Thunder | 8.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Affair | 1.80 | 5 | 9-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Starter Allowance) – Starter Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Jamming Eddy | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Red Cross Knight | 15.00 | 1.3 | 3-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Table for Ten | 1.80 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Mo Rewards | 2.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Zimba Warrior | 3.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Elegant | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Pacific Rose | 2.50 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Greer My Dear | 12.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Great Forty Eight | 8.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Nafisa | 2.50 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Flynn’s Chance | 4.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Starter Allowance) – Starter Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Rugelach | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Precocious Times | 3.00 | 1.1 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Tickle My Fancy | 8.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Firsttimeinforever | 4.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Dolly May (IRE) | 10.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Mahina | 3.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Ropers N Wranglers | 20.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Tiff With Jimmy | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Unkept Secret | 3.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Miss Commander | 6.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Chevy Girl | 8.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Geejaytee | 15.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Take Caramie | 3.50 | 6 | 11-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Always Smiling | 3.50 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Colt Fiction | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Bag’s Gold | 2.50 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Sauls Call | 5.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Book Smart | 2.00 | 2.4 | 4-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Minister Shane | 6.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Amigo G A | 10.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Mr. Leasure | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | Bandwagon | 3.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Shot of Courage | 15.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Tribal | 3.50 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | American Hope | 2.50 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Potential Spam | 20.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Gold Foot | 12.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | El Rey Rey | 3.50 | 8 | 15-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Betty Grable S.) – Betty Grable S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Carmen Miranda | 4.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Chancery Way | 2.50 | 1.9 | 3-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Rose Dawson | 3.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Chismosa | 5.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Glorious Spring | 8.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Smoothlikebuttah | 8.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Bella D | 15.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Power Surge | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 9 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Cali Bay (IRE) | 1.60 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Jacks Outlaw | 10.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Nauvoo | 15.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
| 7 | 7 | My Indy | 20.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Taishan | 6.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Buck Owens | 20.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Soulmate | 2.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Subsidize | 4.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.