Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
4 |
4 |
Raymond |
2.50 |
1 |
2-1 |
6 |
6 |
Scooteranddabigman |
6.00 |
1.8 |
3-1 |
3 |
3 |
Aspen Club |
3.50 |
3.7 |
7-1 |
2 |
2 |
Fastbyte |
8.00 |
5.2 |
10-1 |
1 |
1 |
Longshadow |
3.00 |
5.6 |
11-1 |
7 |
7 |
Ready Pursuit |
12.00 |
6.7 |
13-1 |
5 |
5 |
Ashaab |
5.00 |
7 |
13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
6 |
6 |
In a Jam |
4.50 |
1 |
2-1 |
12 |
12 |
Silent Heart |
6.00 |
1.6 |
3-1 |
5 |
5 |
Geno’s Myth |
12.00 |
2.4 |
5-1 |
8 |
8 |
Norwich |
4.00 |
4.9 |
9-1 |
10 |
10 |
Brennan’s Honor |
8.00 |
5.4 |
10-1 |
3 |
3 |
Irish Ransom |
10.00 |
6.6 |
13-1 |
9 |
9 |
Crash the Gate |
8.00 |
7 |
13-1 |
15 |
15 |
Baraye |
4.00 |
7.8 |
15-1 |
11 |
11 |
Trouble’s Roaring |
5.00 |
9.4 |
18-1 |
1 |
1 |
Trap Line |
12.00 |
10.3 |
20-1 |
7 |
7 |
Austin Strong |
15.00 |
11.2 |
21-1 |
2 |
2 |
Trust Issues |
15.00 |
12.1 |
23-1 |
13 |
13 |
Famous Final Scene |
15.00 |
14.4 |
27-1 |
16 |
16 |
Meet You Now |
15.00 |
14.4 |
27-1 |
14 |
14 |
Henro |
12.00 |
14.9 |
28-1 |
4 |
4 |
Camaro Z |
20.00 |
16 |
30-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
2 |
2 |
Heartbreaker |
2.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
4 |
4 |
Digital |
3.50 |
1.5 |
3-1 |
5 |
5 |
Expensive Cut |
6.00 |
2.8 |
5-1 |
1 |
1 |
He’s Got This |
2.50 |
3.5 |
7-1 |
7 |
7 |
Bird King |
8.00 |
4.6 |
9-1 |
3 |
3 |
Land Mark Deal |
12.00 |
5.4 |
10-1 |
6 |
6 |
W W Crazy |
15.00 |
7 |
13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
8 |
8 |
Kid’s Last Laugh |
3.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
2 |
2 |
Musical Prayer |
3.50 |
1.1 |
2-1 |
1 |
1 |
Tapitara |
10.00 |
2.8 |
5-1 |
7 |
7 |
Port Townsend |
4.00 |
3.3 |
6-1 |
3 |
3 |
Marmalade Skye |
10.00 |
3.5 |
7-1 |
6 |
6 |
Speedy Traveler |
5.00 |
4.6 |
9-1 |
5 |
5 |
Tenenbaum |
5.00 |
5.5 |
10-1 |
4 |
4 |
A Dollar a Day |
12.00 |
8 |
15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Starter Allowance) – Starter Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
5 |
5 |
One Giant Leap |
3.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
4 |
4 |
Backside Buzz |
3.50 |
1.3 |
2-1 |
2 |
2 |
Hocus |
15.00 |
1.4 |
3-1 |
3 |
3 |
Goodasiwonswas |
10.00 |
1.6 |
3-1 |
8 |
8 |
Forrest City |
2.50 |
2 |
4-1 |
1 |
1 |
Emperador |
15.00 |
2.7 |
5-1 |
6 |
6 |
Own the Field |
6.00 |
3.1 |
6-1 |
7 |
7 |
Captain Jack |
15.00 |
3.4 |
6-1 |
|
|
Emperador |
|
9 |
17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
5 |
5 |
Bourbon Breeze |
2.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
2 |
2 |
Ice Cold |
3.00 |
1.1 |
2-1 |
4 |
4 |
Cozee Rags |
6.00 |
1.3 |
2-1 |
7 |
7 |
Thorpedo Anna |
2.50 |
1.7 |
3-1 |
3 |
3 |
Peignoir |
5.00 |
2.6 |
5-1 |
1 |
1 |
Umeboshi |
12.00 |
3.9 |
7-1 |
6 |
6 |
Miss Tena Marie |
20.00 |
3.9 |
7-1 |
|
|
Thorpedo Anna |
|
8 |
15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
12 |
12 |
Roman Centurian |
4.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
10 |
10 |
Creative Minister |
1.60 |
1.1 |
2-1 |
9 |
9 |
Catch That Party |
4.00 |
3.9 |
7-1 |
11 |
11 |
Mr. Big News |
5.00 |
4.1 |
8-1 |
1 |
1 |
Corelli |
3.50 |
4.9 |
9-1 |
8 |
8 |
Temple |
3.00 |
4.9 |
9-1 |
6 |
6 |
O P Firecracker |
8.00 |
5.2 |
10-1 |
7 |
7 |
Tough Tickets |
8.00 |
5.9 |
11-1 |
5 |
5 |
Fowler Blue |
10.00 |
6.8 |
13-1 |
4 |
4 |
Bear Oak |
4.00 |
7 |
13-1 |
2 |
2 |
February Son |
15.00 |
8.3 |
16-1 |
3 |
3 |
Wind Twist |
30.00 |
12 |
23-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
9 |
9 |
Ro Town |
20.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
5 |
5 |
Zeitlos |
4.00 |
2.7 |
5-1 |
10 |
10 |
Three Polks |
8.00 |
3 |
6-1 |
11 |
11 |
The Great Maybe |
6.00 |
3.5 |
7-1 |
4 |
4 |
Bandita |
3.00 |
3.6 |
7-1 |
12 |
12 |
Mariah’s Appeal |
6.00 |
4.4 |
8-1 |
7 |
7 |
Pumpkin Scone |
8.00 |
4.6 |
9-1 |
3 |
3 |
Pat’schromecompass |
30.00 |
6.6 |
12-1 |
8 |
8 |
Socially Selective |
5.00 |
6.9 |
13-1 |
13 |
13 |
Mighty Madison |
12.00 |
8.2 |
15-1 |
1 |
1 |
Souper Explosive |
15.00 |
8.6 |
16-1 |
6 |
6 |
Sweet Curalina |
30.00 |
11.1 |
21-1 |
2 |
2 |
Ervadean |
20.00 |
13 |
25-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
3 |
3 |
Honed |
4.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
5 |
5 |
Princely |
4.50 |
1.5 |
3-1 |
9 |
9 |
Single Ruler |
3.50 |
1.9 |
4-1 |
2 |
2 |
Bright Spark |
8.00 |
2.4 |
5-1 |
6 |
6 |
Boone’s Path |
15.00 |
2.8 |
5-1 |
10 |
10 |
Dance Some Mo |
5.00 |
3 |
6-1 |
1 |
1 |
Star Nation |
30.00 |
3.9 |
7-1 |
4 |
4 |
Glen Airy |
12.00 |
4.2 |
8-1 |
11 |
11 |
Gamer |
6.00 |
4.4 |
8-1 |
7 |
7 |
Winston Wolf |
20.00 |
5.1 |
10-1 |
8 |
8 |
Iconicus |
30.00 |
5.1 |
10-1 |
|
|
Iconicus |
|
12 |
23-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.