Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Beautiful and Bold | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | What’s to Do | 2.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Miss Tappy Tone | 4.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Steel Racer | 2.50 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Byzantine | 12.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Fast Gal | 6.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Starter Allowance) – Starter Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Like a Saltshaker | 1.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Shackleford Strong | 5.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Junior Bug | 6.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Sand Mountain | 20.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | All West | 2.00 | 4 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Spend Benjamins | 10.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| All West | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Aunt Jo | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Islandinthestream | 4.50 | 2.9 | 6-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Shesasmalltowngirl | 3.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 7 | 7 | The Princess Says | 2.50 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Valiant Praise | 6.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Rockabillie | 20.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Lil Town Sis | 8.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Proud Performer | 20.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Zing | 5.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Love of My Heart | 4.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Pipeline Girl | 4.50 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Honey Run | 5.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Let’s Be Clear | 3.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Founder’s Day | 10.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Mercy Warren | 3.50 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Otis On the Cape | 12.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Shefflin | 10.00 | 1.1 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Tasterfor the King | 3.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Pinfire | 2.50 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Cuore Sacro | 3.50 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Papa Alden | 12.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Be There | 5.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Whiskey and Easy | 10.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Uncle William | 20.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Starter Allowance) – Starter Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Timely Prospect | 10.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Desert Wolf | 2.00 | 1.4 | 3-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Philharmonic | 15.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Weslan | 10.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Washington’s Union | 10.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Carnivore | 5.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Jr’s Gift | 1.80 | 7.5 | 14-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Harleezy | 20.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Left Tackle | 4.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Give Me a Reason | 3.50 | 1.5 | 3-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Sharp Shot | 6.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Huracan Xander | 15.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 8 | 8 | McQueen | 5.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Penrod | 10.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Knightsbridge | 4.50 | 7.1 | 13-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Lou’s Legacy | 20.00 | 8.1 | 15-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Poker Run | 20.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Promissio | 6.00 | 10 | 19-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Whenthedawnbreaks | 4.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Sweet Alyssa | 30.00 | 1.4 | 3-1 |
| 12 | 12 | Be My Sunshine | 3.50 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 15 | 15 | Empirical View | 8.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 14 | 14 | Best Performer | 3.50 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Make the Boys Wink | 4.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 16 | 16 | Storm Bay | 8.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Lemon Bomb | 15.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Faccia Bella | 10.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 |
| 13 | 13 | Hurry Up Hannah | 15.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Pretty Provocative | 12.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Wings Like Eagles | 5.00 | 8.4 | 16-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Beautifulnavigator (IRE) | 6.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Work of Fiction | 10.00 | 9.3 | 17-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Spicy Italian | 30.00 | 10.3 | 20-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Lady Commander | 30.00 | 16 | 30-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Koolhaus | 20.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Gasoline | 6.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Two Birds | 20.00 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Giant Game | 2.50 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Warrior Johny | 3.50 | 2.9 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Confidence Game | 6.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Decision Maker | 12.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 3 | 3 | War Campaign | 5.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Big Blue Line | 6.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Regular Guy | 20.00 | 10 | 19-1 |
RACE NUMBER 10 (Bet On Sunshine S.) – Bet On Sunshine S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Tejano Twist | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Bango | 1.20 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Sir Alfred James | 12.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Empire of Gold | 20.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Miles Ahead | 6.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Exxel | 20.00 | 8.2 | 15-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Awesome Aaron | 20.00 | 8.4 | 16-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Necker Island | 8.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Manny Wah | 10.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 11 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | 13 | Black Diamond | 6.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Edgartown | 2.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 4 | 4 | British Sea | 5.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Evening News | 12.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 16 | 16 | St. Armands Key | 2.50 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Polar Bear Plunge | 10.00 | 10.1 | 19-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Drobny | 8.00 | 10.6 | 20-1 |
| 2 | 2 | The Look Factor | 6.00 | 10.6 | 20-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Sharon’s Prince | 20.00 | 12.2 | 23-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Surf City | 12.00 | 12.5 | 24-1 |
| 14 | 14 | Who’s the King | 12.00 | 12.6 | 24-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Union Run | 20.00 | 13.2 | 25-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Tiggeroo | 12.00 | 14.5 | 27-1 |
| 12 | 12 | Dashman | 6.00 | 14.6 | 28-1 |
| 15 | 15 | General Issue (FR) | 20.00 | 15.7 | 30-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Moneyshot | 20.00 | 16 | 30-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.