Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
3 |
3 |
Tongue Twister |
4.50 |
1 |
2-1 |
6 |
6 |
Dusk |
3.50 |
1.2 |
2-1 |
5 |
5 |
Lil’ Hayadoin |
8.00 |
2.7 |
5-1 |
4 |
4 |
Saving Memories |
12.00 |
4.2 |
8-1 |
1 |
1 |
Lu’s Redemption |
8.00 |
4.9 |
9-1 |
2 |
2 |
Handle On You |
5.00 |
5.5 |
10-1 |
9 |
9 |
Fabulous Fox |
4.00 |
9.6 |
18-1 |
8 |
8 |
Starlight Dancer |
8.00 |
13.1 |
25-1 |
10 |
10 |
Baroness Bourbon |
20.00 |
13.6 |
26-1 |
7 |
7 |
Learning to Fly |
20.00 |
13.9 |
26-1 |
16 |
16 |
Necessaryandproper |
8.00 |
SCRATCH |
15 |
15 |
Call Her Bluff |
3.00 |
SCRATCH |
11 |
11 |
Tsukimi |
12.00 |
SCRATCH |
13 |
13 |
Marco T. |
1.60 |
SCRATCH |
12 |
12 |
Elusive Fashion |
15.00 |
SCRATCH |
14 |
14 |
Wild Magic |
15.00 |
SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Mohawk S.) – Mohawk S.
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
4 |
4 |
Spirit of St Louis |
1.60 |
1 |
2-1 |
2 |
2 |
City Man |
1.80 |
1.6 |
3-1 |
6 |
6 |
Jerry the Nipper |
4.00 |
1.8 |
3-1 |
1 |
1 |
Dakota Gold |
6.00 |
3.3 |
6-1 |
7 |
7 |
Ruse |
20.00 |
3.9 |
7-1 |
3 |
3 |
Call Me Harry |
10.00 |
SCRATCH |
5 |
5 |
Kaz Sugar Bank |
50.00 |
SCRATCH |
8 |
8 |
Noble Huntsman |
50.00 |
SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maid Of The Mist S.) – Maid Of The Mist S.
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
4 |
4 |
Caldwell Luvs Gold |
0.80 |
1 |
2-1 |
8 |
8 |
Lika Rolling Stone |
15.00 |
1.1 |
2-1 |
3 |
3 |
My Mane Squeeze |
3.50 |
1.3 |
2-1 |
2 |
2 |
Bernietakescharge |
12.00 |
4 |
8-1 |
5 |
5 |
Cara’s Time |
6.00 |
4.4 |
8-1 |
7 |
7 |
Kaz’ Rose |
30.00 |
5.6 |
11-1 |
6 |
6 |
Valentine Gift |
15.00 |
6.8 |
13-1 |
1 |
1 |
Tricky Temper |
8.00 |
SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
13 |
13 |
Zeebear |
3.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
1 |
1 |
Disarmed |
4.00 |
2 |
4-1 |
9 |
9 |
Runningwscissors |
2.50 |
3.5 |
7-1 |
14 |
14 |
Factually Correct |
3.50 |
3.9 |
7-1 |
3 |
3 |
King Moonracer |
10.00 |
4.7 |
9-1 |
12 |
12 |
Radio Red |
2.00 |
6.3 |
12-1 |
5 |
5 |
Sinful Dancer |
15.00 |
6.9 |
13-1 |
2 |
2 |
Steelersfanforlife |
30.00 |
SCRATCH |
8 |
8 |
Me ‘n Sap |
15.00 |
SCRATCH |
10 |
10 |
Big Package |
8.00 |
SCRATCH |
11 |
11 |
Phantom Smoke |
6.00 |
SCRATCH |
7 |
7 |
Yarrow |
3.50 |
SCRATCH |
6 |
6 |
Battle Scars |
15.00 |
SCRATCH |
4 |
4 |
Rough Draft |
6.00 |
SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Empire Distaff S.) – Empire Distaff S.
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
|
|
Venti Valentine |
|
0 |
0-1 |
|
|
Know It All Audrey |
|
0 |
0-1 |
7 |
7 |
Ichiban |
4.50 |
1 |
2-1 |
5 |
5 |
Venti Valentine |
2.00 |
2.1 |
4-1 |
6 |
6 |
Tough Street |
3.00 |
2.4 |
4-1 |
3 |
3 |
Sunset Louise |
6.00 |
2.8 |
5-1 |
4 |
4 |
Sweet Mystery |
5.00 |
3 |
6-1 |
2 |
2 |
Know It All Audrey |
6.00 |
4.1 |
8-1 |
1 |
1 |
April Antics |
20.00 |
7 |
13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Ticonderoga S.) – Ticonderoga S.
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
|
|
Amanda’s Folly |
|
0 |
0-1 |
8 |
8 |
Silver Skillet |
2.50 |
1 |
2-1 |
10 |
10 |
Amanda’s Folly |
2.00 |
3.4 |
6-1 |
2 |
2 |
Sweetie |
10.00 |
4.3 |
8-1 |
1 |
1 |
Saratoga Chrome |
50.00 |
7.6 |
14-1 |
6 |
6 |
Itsakeyper |
15.00 |
7.6 |
14-1 |
3 |
3 |
Spungie |
3.00 |
SCRATCH |
7 |
7 |
Runaway Rumour |
3.00 |
SCRATCH |
4 |
4 |
Whatlovelookslike |
4.00 |
SCRATCH |
9 |
9 |
Waterville |
12.00 |
SCRATCH |
5 |
5 |
Can’t Fool Me |
20.00 |
SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Iroquois S.) – Iroquois S.
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
4 |
4 |
Funny How |
4.50 |
1 |
2-1 |
6 |
6 |
Cairo Sugar |
15.00 |
1.4 |
3-1 |
5 |
5 |
Sterling Silver |
0.60 |
2.7 |
5-1 |
8 |
8 |
Leeloo |
6.00 |
3.5 |
7-1 |
1 |
1 |
Captainsdaughter |
12.00 |
4.7 |
9-1 |
3 |
3 |
Bank On Anna |
10.00 |
4.9 |
9-1 |
2 |
2 |
Vallelujah |
30.00 |
7 |
13-1 |
7 |
7 |
Security Code |
15.00 |
SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Sleepy Hollow S.) – Sleepy Hollow S.
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
1 |
1 |
El Grande O |
0.80 |
1 |
2-1 |
10 |
10 |
Wine Responsibly |
20.00 |
3.8 |
7-1 |
8 |
8 |
Mischief Joke |
10.00 |
4.7 |
9-1 |
2 |
2 |
Bonne Chance |
10.00 |
4.8 |
9-1 |
3 |
3 |
Aggelos the Great |
6.00 |
4.9 |
9-1 |
5 |
5 |
Solo’s Fury |
15.00 |
5.4 |
10-1 |
7 |
7 |
B D Saints |
12.00 |
6.5 |
12-1 |
4 |
4 |
Skyler’s Starship |
8.00 |
6.5 |
12-1 |
9 |
9 |
Two’s a Crowd |
30.00 |
8.1 |
15-1 |
6 |
6 |
Detective Tom |
15.00 |
SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Hudson S.) – Hudson S.
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
9 |
9 |
Rotknee |
4.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
2 |
2 |
Today’s Flavor |
3.50 |
2.3 |
4-1 |
5 |
5 |
Win for Gold |
10.00 |
2.5 |
5-1 |
8 |
8 |
Ny Traffic |
2.00 |
3.5 |
7-1 |
4 |
4 |
Ocean’s Reserve |
15.00 |
5 |
10-1 |
6 |
6 |
Amundson |
10.00 |
5.4 |
10-1 |
7 |
7 |
Thin White Duke |
4.50 |
5.7 |
11-1 |
1 |
1 |
Jemography |
20.00 |
SCRATCH |
3 |
3 |
Be the Boss |
20.00 |
SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 10 (Empire Classic S.) – Empire Classic S.
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
4 |
4 |
Olympic Dreams |
5.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
3 |
3 |
Lobsta |
15.00 |
1.8 |
3-1 |
6 |
6 |
Drake’s Passage |
3.00 |
2.4 |
4-1 |
5 |
5 |
Barese |
12.00 |
2.7 |
5-1 |
7 |
7 |
Sheriff Bianco |
5.00 |
3.1 |
6-1 |
1 |
1 |
Curlin’s Wisdom |
10.00 |
3.5 |
7-1 |
8 |
8 |
Un Ojo |
10.00 |
5.3 |
10-1 |
10 |
10 |
Straight Arrow |
4.00 |
7.3 |
14-1 |
9 |
9 |
Cicciobello |
30.00 |
8 |
15-1 |
2 |
2 |
Aggregation |
6.00 |
SCRATCH |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.