Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
2 |
2 |
Sir Lumpalot |
6.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
9 |
9 |
Coronova |
4.50 |
3.3 |
6-1 |
13 |
13 |
Carloun (IRE) |
3.00 |
4.3 |
8-1 |
4 |
4 |
Ballyhoo Prince |
5.00 |
5 |
10-1 |
8 |
8 |
Awesome Strike |
3.50 |
5.5 |
10-1 |
1 |
1 |
Celtic Sea |
8.00 |
6.1 |
11-1 |
11 |
11 |
Stormy Fire |
30.00 |
6.7 |
13-1 |
5 |
5 |
California Ghost |
30.00 |
6.7 |
13-1 |
10 |
10 |
Lightning Lad |
4.00 |
7.1 |
13-1 |
6 |
6 |
Kbcya Later |
6.00 |
7.4 |
14-1 |
3 |
3 |
Rushin Tothecircle |
30.00 |
SCRATCH |
16 |
16 |
King Swansboro |
8.00 |
SCRATCH |
7 |
7 |
Eagle in Love |
12.00 |
SCRATCH |
15 |
15 |
Mackenzie’s Novva |
12.00 |
SCRATCH |
14 |
14 |
Gettin’downonit |
6.00 |
SCRATCH |
12 |
12 |
Rollercoaster Man |
15.00 |
SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
4 |
4 |
Tirico |
0.60 |
1 |
2-1 |
6 |
6 |
Xcellent Men |
8.00 |
3.3 |
6-1 |
1 |
1 |
Trustme Iamadoctor |
8.00 |
3.5 |
7-1 |
3 |
3 |
Tap Your Heart |
12.00 |
3.7 |
7-1 |
7 |
7 |
Clancy Fancy |
15.00 |
4.6 |
9-1 |
2 |
2 |
Napoleon’s War |
5.00 |
5.1 |
10-1 |
5 |
5 |
The Queens Mage |
6.00 |
SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
1 |
1 |
Cheers for Kitten |
3.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
8 |
8 |
Slippin Jimmy |
12.00 |
4.7 |
9-1 |
10 |
10 |
Aesthetically |
5.00 |
5.3 |
10-1 |
6 |
6 |
Boss Is a Pal |
4.00 |
6 |
11-1 |
3 |
3 |
Putin Online |
3.50 |
6.9 |
13-1 |
2 |
2 |
Indefatigable |
8.00 |
9 |
17-1 |
12 |
12 |
E. P. Milton |
30.00 |
10.1 |
19-1 |
5 |
5 |
Tenax |
15.00 |
10.3 |
20-1 |
9 |
9 |
Bourbon Currency |
12.00 |
10.5 |
20-1 |
4 |
4 |
Our Hoisted Mast |
15.00 |
12.2 |
23-1 |
11 |
11 |
Aristocratic |
4.50 |
SCRATCH |
16 |
16 |
Jareth |
12.00 |
SCRATCH |
15 |
15 |
Stanhope |
30.00 |
SCRATCH |
13 |
13 |
Military Drill |
12.00 |
SCRATCH |
14 |
14 |
Eddie the Great |
10.00 |
SCRATCH |
7 |
7 |
Rominski |
1.80 |
SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
9 |
9 |
Cloud Music |
8.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
4 |
4 |
Thunderian |
1.60 |
2 |
4-1 |
6 |
6 |
Hay Chief |
4.50 |
2.6 |
5-1 |
2 |
2 |
Super Accelerate |
3.00 |
2.9 |
6-1 |
5 |
5 |
No Easy Days |
8.00 |
3.4 |
6-1 |
3 |
3 |
Ampersand |
15.00 |
3.9 |
7-1 |
7 |
7 |
Critical Threat |
12.00 |
5.3 |
10-1 |
8 |
8 |
North Highland |
20.00 |
6.7 |
13-1 |
1 |
1 |
Aequor |
20.00 |
SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
1 |
1 |
Holey Moley |
1.60 |
1 |
2-1 |
8 |
8 |
Lunar Dash |
4.00 |
1.6 |
3-1 |
3 |
3 |
Golden Salute |
12.00 |
1.9 |
4-1 |
10 |
10 |
King Covee |
3.00 |
3.5 |
7-1 |
5 |
5 |
Here’s Liam |
12.00 |
3.8 |
7-1 |
6 |
6 |
The Big Enchilada |
30.00 |
4.2 |
8-1 |
7 |
7 |
Affamato |
30.00 |
7.8 |
15-1 |
2 |
2 |
Bad Lineage |
10.00 |
8.1 |
15-1 |
9 |
9 |
Swing Sammy |
8.00 |
8.3 |
16-1 |
4 |
4 |
Fazzani |
30.00 |
13.3 |
25-1 |
12 |
12 |
Lunar Mission |
30.00 |
SCRATCH |
14 |
14 |
Harness Creek |
30.00 |
SCRATCH |
16 |
16 |
We Got Lucky |
10.00 |
SCRATCH |
15 |
15 |
Heart of Fire |
12.00 |
SCRATCH |
11 |
11 |
Cripple Creek |
4.50 |
SCRATCH |
13 |
13 |
Tio Tony |
5.00 |
SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
8 |
8 |
Fainor’s Filets |
6.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
9 |
9 |
Chublin |
6.00 |
2.6 |
5-1 |
5 |
5 |
Roanan Goddess |
5.00 |
4.2 |
8-1 |
10 |
10 |
Kissedbyanangel |
6.00 |
4.7 |
9-1 |
4 |
4 |
Forest Fuel |
8.00 |
5.9 |
11-1 |
3 |
3 |
Feelin So Lucky |
10.00 |
6.3 |
12-1 |
6 |
6 |
Momma’s Lino |
30.00 |
6.6 |
12-1 |
11 |
11 |
Low Society |
10.00 |
7.1 |
13-1 |
2 |
2 |
True Sunshine |
20.00 |
7.7 |
15-1 |
7 |
7 |
Foxy Curl |
30.00 |
SCRATCH |
12 |
12 |
Leslie’s Loot |
8.00 |
SCRATCH |
1 |
1 |
Belle’s Blue Bell |
4.50 |
SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
|
|
Tocayo |
|
0 |
0-1 |
11 |
11 |
Derbyness |
4.50 |
1 |
2-1 |
7 |
7 |
Massif |
2.50 |
2.6 |
5-1 |
2 |
2 |
Wine Collector |
3.50 |
4.3 |
8-1 |
4 |
4 |
Understudy Kitty |
12.00 |
4.4 |
8-1 |
9 |
9 |
Masakado |
12.00 |
4.6 |
9-1 |
3 |
3 |
Masterofhiscraft |
5.00 |
5.6 |
11-1 |
8 |
8 |
Street Rockin |
8.00 |
6.2 |
12-1 |
10 |
10 |
Cap Com |
12.00 |
7.1 |
13-1 |
6 |
6 |
Chica Chuck |
20.00 |
7.5 |
14-1 |
1 |
1 |
Tocayo |
30.00 |
7.8 |
15-1 |
5 |
5 |
Secret Zipper |
8.00 |
SCRATCH |
12 |
12 |
Dance for Green |
20.00 |
SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
6 |
6 |
Northern Glow |
2.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
3 |
3 |
Wright Up Front |
8.00 |
4.6 |
9-1 |
8 |
8 |
Brzina |
6.00 |
5.1 |
10-1 |
4 |
4 |
Nymph |
4.00 |
5.7 |
11-1 |
9 |
9 |
Freccia d’Argento |
12.00 |
6.1 |
12-1 |
1 |
1 |
Loving Cup |
8.00 |
6.4 |
12-1 |
5 |
5 |
Caroline Krystyna |
4.50 |
7.7 |
15-1 |
2 |
2 |
Little Josie Wales |
15.00 |
7.9 |
15-1 |
7 |
7 |
Bella Bettina |
20.00 |
9 |
17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
9 |
9 |
Crisper |
6.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
4 |
4 |
Dear Santa |
6.00 |
1.5 |
3-1 |
7 |
7 |
Code Name |
3.00 |
2.5 |
5-1 |
5 |
5 |
Imagine It All |
12.00 |
3.3 |
6-1 |
3 |
3 |
Pavoni |
5.00 |
4.1 |
8-1 |
6 |
6 |
Landbiscuit |
4.00 |
4.2 |
8-1 |
12 |
12 |
Mr Matuschek |
12.00 |
4.6 |
9-1 |
2 |
2 |
Benny Havens |
20.00 |
5.4 |
10-1 |
1 |
1 |
Here Comes Billy |
12.00 |
5.6 |
11-1 |
10 |
10 |
The Happy Giant |
30.00 |
7.8 |
15-1 |
13 |
13 |
Bryce Canyon |
8.00 |
SCRATCH |
11 |
11 |
Never Change |
1.60 |
SCRATCH |
8 |
8 |
Feral’s Joy |
6.00 |
SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 10 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
2 |
2 |
Minxzluckystarfyre |
2.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
4 |
4 |
Sugar Hoof |
12.00 |
2.2 |
4-1 |
6 |
6 |
Eyes Eleven |
3.00 |
3.6 |
7-1 |
1 |
1 |
Tizawinner |
6.00 |
4.5 |
8-1 |
3 |
3 |
Bowie Mun |
12.00 |
4.8 |
9-1 |
8 |
8 |
Simon’s Choice |
4.50 |
5.2 |
10-1 |
7 |
7 |
Gino Thinkaboutit |
6.00 |
6.4 |
12-1 |
5 |
5 |
Eric’s Gift |
15.00 |
8 |
15-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.