Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | City of Clouds | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Roman Giant | 15.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Dreaming of Smarty | 1.80 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Born Flawless | 2.50 | 2.9 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Jewelstown | 10.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Cox Canyon | 20.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Bruce Banner | 15.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Line to Gain | 6.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| City of Clouds | 9 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Lat Long | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 13 | 13 | Creek | 10.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Publius | 4.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Raguel | 8.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Transcendental | 8.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Disattached | 6.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 14 | 14 | I’m Your Man | 15.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
| 15 | 15 | Buffoon (FR) | 6.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Coastal Brink | 15.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Polar Bear Plunge | 15.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Fort Thomas | 12.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Calon Lan | 30.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Rocketeightyeight | 10.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 |
| 5 | 5 | J Bird Time | 15.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 |
| 16 | 16 | Chaperone | 8.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 |
| 12 | 12 | Battle of Dover | 20.00 | 9.5 | 18-1 |
| Buffoon (FR) | 17 | 32-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Bromley | 8.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Promise Me a Ride | 6.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Dubyuhnell | 2.50 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 6 | 6 | King Ice | 4.00 | 5 | 10-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Curly Jack | 3.50 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Tahoe Run | 20.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Denington | 3.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Nikki M P | 12.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Insensitive | 4.50 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Kid’s Last Laugh | 10.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Crushed Ice | 8.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 12 | 12 | Howl | 8.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Musical Prayer | 6.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Rubia | 6.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Bourbon to Blame | 15.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Adiva | 30.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Foxfire | 3.50 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 13 | 13 | Rita’s Onthe Beach | 12.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 2 | 2 | A Dollar a Day | 30.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 15 | 15 | Port Townsend | 15.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Rare Affair | 15.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
| 14 | 14 | Alwaysgototheparty | 30.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 |
| Howl | 16 | 30-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 | 15 | Baba Voss | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Truly Quality | 4.50 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Clever Thought | 2.50 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Spirit Maker | 6.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Horace Mann | 10.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Jungfrau | 8.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 |
| 14 | 14 | St. Elmo | 6.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
| 13 | 13 | Kigali | 20.00 | 10.2 | 19-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Just a Photo | 30.00 | 10.3 | 20-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Hilliard | 3.50 | 12.1 | 23-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Fleet of Hoof | 30.00 | 12.1 | 23-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Our Dream Rye’d | 15.00 | 13 | 25-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Maasai Warrior | 20.00 | 14.5 | 27-1 |
| 16 | 16 | Karma Director | 30.00 | 14.8 | 28-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Boco | 50.00 | 14.9 | 28-1 |
| 12 | 12 | Bright Spark | 20.00 | 16 | 30-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Bowman Mill S.) – Bowman Mill S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Patriot Spirit | 8.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Cowes | 10.00 | 1.4 | 3-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Glengarry | 6.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Valentine Candy | 3.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Normandy Hero | 2.50 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Sweet Soddy J | 30.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Maycocks Bay | 8.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Royal Slipper | 4.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Market Street | 20.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| Glengarry | 10 | 19-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Pro Oxidant | 8.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Traegar | 3.00 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Fortin Hill | 6.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 9 | 9 | O Besos | 10.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Doctor Oscar | 4.50 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Surly Furious | 10.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Chasing Time | 6.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Caddo River | 15.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Top Gunner | 12.00 | 8.8 | 17-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Payne | 8.00 | 10 | 19-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Bryan Station S.) – Bryan Station S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | 10 | Appraise (IRE) | 8.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Talk of the Nation | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 9 | 9 | More Than Looks | 1.80 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Gigante | 12.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Dude N Colorado (GB) | 15.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Mo Stash | 12.00 | 6.1 | 11-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Runaway Storm | 20.00 | 6.1 | 11-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Smokey Mandate | 4.50 | 7.5 | 14-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Worthington | 20.00 | 8.9 | 17-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Santorini | 30.00 | 10 | 19-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Hagyard Fayette S.) – Hagyard Fayette S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | 12 | Best Actor | 10.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Dash Attack | 8.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Twilight Blue | 15.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Film Star | 6.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Law Professor | 8.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 |
| 9 | 9 | O’Connor (CHI) | 5.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Giant Game | 8.00 | 8.1 | 15-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Trademark | 4.50 | 9.5 | 18-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Il Miracolo | 6.00 | 9.7 | 18-1 |
| 3 | 3 | King Fury | 20.00 | 10.4 | 20-1 |
| 14 | 14 | Time for Trouble | 20.00 | 11 | 21-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Happy American | 15.00 | 11.9 | 22-1 |
| 13 | 13 | Gasoline | 20.00 | 11.9 | 22-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Speed Bias | 20.00 | 14 | 26-1 |
RACE NUMBER 10 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 | 16 | Real Men Violin | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Act of Mutiny | 3.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Time Song | 10.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Sheriff Joe | 8.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
| 15 | 15 | Phreddie Mac | 12.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Domingo | 12.00 | 7.7 | 14-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Vivaldi | 4.00 | 8.2 | 16-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Veracruzin | 20.00 | 8.8 | 17-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Trikari | 15.00 | 9.3 | 17-1 |
| 12 | 12 | Mo Caliente | 6.00 | 9.9 | 19-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Deadpan | 4.50 | 12.2 | 23-1 |
| 14 | 14 | Tapitoro | 15.00 | 12.6 | 24-1 |
| 13 | 13 | Uno Mas Bourbon | 8.00 | 13.4 | 25-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Wauhatchie | 20.00 | 14.5 | 27-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Gotta Have Dreams | 30.00 | 15.9 | 30-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Merlin’s Magic | 30.00 | 16 | 30-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.